Back Door Cover

Back Door Cover

By MWBK CreativeSports
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Back Door Cover episodes

  • Bet The Algo: Week 7 Free 3
    Can't Miss Mitch and his brainchild the Value Index Algorithm AKA ALGO return for week 7 of the NFL season to bring you 3 free picks.
    Get every ALGO pick every single week along with bonus content by subscribing to the Bet the Algo Patreon Page at patreon.com/betthealgo
    LA Chargers vs Kansas City
    Predicted Score: LAC 23.72 | KC 25.28
    Home Spread: -5.50
    Value Index: 3.94
    Pick: LAC
    Green Bay vs Denver
    Predicted Score: GB 21.32 | DEN 22.55
    Home Spread: 1.00
    Value Index: 2.23
    Pick: DEN
    Pittsburgh vs LA Rams
    Predicted Score: PIT 18.02 | LAR 22.59
    Home Spread: -3.00
    Value Index: 1.58
    Pick: LAR
    30 min
  • College Football Week 7 Recap
    Micah and Brad are back with your Taco Tuesday BDC Week 7 recap of the college football season.
    Check out our guys at Earlybirdcbd.com and use promo code BACKDOORCOVER for 20% off your entire order. Code is good for 1-time use.
    Thanks for listening
    28 min
  • NFL Week 6 Recap w/ Can't Miss Mitch
    Brad and Can't Miss Mitch are back on the mic together for the first time in a while- the boys run through a tough betting week and talk through a couple of particularly painful near-misses by ALGO, the Value Index Algorithm.
    Get every ALGO pick along with commentary from Mitch and Peter the Irish Guy at patreon.com/betthealgo - find the right subscription option for your betting needs. Mitch also does fantastic writes ups previewing certain match ups that are emailed to subscribers - there's a ton of value in every subscription package option so go check them out if you haven't already.
    Special thanks to the crew at Early Bird CBD. Check them at at earlybirdCBD.com and use promo BACKDOORCOVER for 20% off your entire order.
    And more importantly of all, thanks for listening.
    31 min
  • Bet The Algo: Week 6 Free 3
    Can't Miss Mitch and his brainchild the Value Index Algorithm AKA ALGO return for week 3 of the NFL season to bring you 3 free picks.
    Get every ALGO pick every single week along with bonus content by subscribing to the Bet the Algo Patreon Page at patreon.com/betthealgo
    New England Patriots vs. Las Vegas Raiders
    Predicted Score: NE 16.48, LV 19.05
    Spread: -3.0
    Value Index: 0.43
    Preview: Pressure cooker situation – can the Raiders' QB handle the heat from NE's front seven? • Even though NE's Sack % at 6.94% is ranked 19th, the spotlight falls on LV's QB Sacked % at a worrying 8.38%, ranking them 22nd. Expect the Patriots to dial up the pressure and aim to disrupt the Raiders' offensive rhythm.
    Model's Pick: New England Patriots
    Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Jets
    Predicted Score: PHI 24.36 - NYJ 17.36
    Spread: 6.5
    Value Index: 0.51
    Offensive Dominance:
    Preview: High-flying Eagles versus grounded Jets; who will emerge victorious? • Philadelphia's offense is in a league of its own when compared to the Jets. With a 5th rank in Points/Game (28.2), they dwarf the Jets who languish at 24th with just 18.6 points. This pronounced differential suggests a clear offensive edge for the Eagles.
    Rushing Strength:
    Preview: Ground and pound - Can the Eagles exploit the Jets' rush defensive frailties? • The Eagles, with a league-leading average of 35.8 rushes per game and ranking 2nd in Rush Yards/Game (164.0), seem set to target the Jets' weak run defense, which allows 146.2 Rush Yards/Game and ranks a poor 29th.
    Defensive Solidity:
    Preview: An impenetrable fortress or a house of cards? How will the Jets' offense fare against Philadelphia's defense? • Philadelphia's defense stands tall, ranking 10th in limiting Opponent Yards/Game (308.8). The Jets, on the other hand, struggle with their offensive output, averaging a mere 283.6 Yards/Game (27th rank). The Eagles might just have the defensive tools to keep the Jets at bay.
    Conversion Efficiency:
    Preview: To convert or not? That's the question for the Jets against the Eagles. • The Eagles shine bright in 3D Conversion Percentage, boasting a 50.68% success rate, ranking them 2nd. The Jets seem to falter here, holding the unfortunate last position in the league with a paltry 26.23%. Expect the Eagles to sustain drives, while the Jets might find themselves punting more often.
    Turnovers:
    Preview: A battle of wits and skills - which team will maintain ball security? • Both teams are positive when it comes to turnover margin. Yet, the Eagles edge out with 1.6 Takeaways/Game (10th rank), hinting at a higher likelihood of them capitalizing on the Jets' mistakes, especially given the Jets' offense tendency to give away the ball.
    Model's Pick: Philadelphia Eagles
    Detroit Lions vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Predicted Score: DET 24.33 - TB 19.65
    Spread: 3.0
    Value Index: 1.68
    Offensive Powerhouse vs. Defensive Average:
    Preview: Fire meets water as Detroit's offense clashes with Tampa's defense. • Detroit, with their impressive 4th rank in Points/Game (29.6), looks set to test TB's defense, which allows 17.0 Points/Game (8th rank). While the Buccaneers have a commendable defensive unit, Detroit's explosive offense has consistently put up significant numbers, hinting at a potential fireworks show this weekend.
    Preview: Showstoppers or bystanders? How will Detroit's defense perform against Tampa Bay's offense? • Detroit's defense, with 3.8 Takeaways/Game, ranks 5th and showcases their ability to change the game's momentum. In contrast, Tampa Bay's offense, which gives away the ball 2.2 times per game (21st rank), might be playing with fire against this opportunistic Detroit defense.
    Model's Pick: Detroit Lions
    28 min
  • The Cream Rises
    Micah and Brad are in the studio this Monday recapping a rough and rowdy weekend of football. The best teams around the NFL and CFB seem to be sitting firmly on top.
    Shout out and special thanks to the team at Earlybird CBD. They've supported BDC for years and EB is the reason Micah and I are able to continue putting out this podcast. You can show them your appreciation by visiting earlybirdcbd.com and perusing their lineup of awesome CBD + THC products. Use promo code "backdoorcover" for 20% off your entire order. Promo code is good for 1-time use.
    24 min
  • BDC Football Weekend Preview
    Micah and Brad preview a solid Saturday lineup of college football games headlined by Texas OU- they go on to preview NFL week 5 headlined by Cowboys 49ers.
    BDC is Presented by Earlybird CBD. Visit EarlyBirdCBD.com and use promo code BACKDOORCOVER for 20% off your entire order. Code is good for 1-time use. Eligible for use by new or returning customers.
    Thanks for listening,
    32 min
  • Bet The Algo: Week 5 Free 3
    The Bet The Algo boys are back with your NFL Week 5 Free 3 picks.
    Baltimore Ravens (BAL) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (PIT)
    Predicted Score: BAL 22.55 - PIT 18.24
    Spread: 4.00 (H)
    Value Index: 0.31
    Scoring Prowess: Baltimore averages 24.8 points/game, placing them 12th in the league. Pittsburgh's defense, allowing 25.0 points/game, might have a tough day against this offense.
    Defensive Superiority: Ravens are a fortress, allowing just 14.5 points/game and 260.8 yards/game. Steelers' offense, lagging at 25th in points and 29th in yards, faces a daunting challenge.
    Red Zone Efficiency: Ravens lead the league in Red Zone Scoring % (TD) at 80.00%. Steelers' 22nd rank in defensive red zone metrics hints at a potential exploitation.
    Passing Advantage: Ravens have a potent air attack with 7.0 yards/pass and a 74.29% completion rate. Steelers' defense, giving up 7.1 yards/pass, might be on the back foot.
    Rushing Consistency: Ravens dominate on the ground, leading in rush play percentage (54.51%) and averaging 151.3 rush yards/game. Steelers' 29th rank in rush defense spells potential trouble.
    PICK: Baltimore
    New Orleans Saints (NO) vs. New England Patriots (NE)
    Predicted Score: NO 19.50 - NE 18.99
    Spread: -1.00 (H)
    Value Index: 1.52
    Points Allowed: NO is a fortress, allowing only 19.0 points/game, making them a tough nut for any offense to crack.
    Defensive Turnovers: NO excels in forcing turnovers, ranking 8th in the league. This ability could be pivotal against NE.
    Passing Defense: NO's secondary is formidable, limiting opponents to a 59.03% completion rate, a potential hurdle for the NE passing attack.
    Red Zone Defense: NO stands strong in the red zone, allowing touchdowns only 46.15% of the time. NE might find it challenging to convert their red zone visits.
    Third Down Stops: NO's defense shines on 3rd downs, ranking 13th with a 37.29% conversion allowance. NE, close behind, could still find it challenging on these crucial downs.
    PICK: New Orleans
    Carolina Panthers (CAR) vs. Detroit Lions (DET)
    Predicted Score: CAR 18.90 - DET 25.49
    Spread: -9.50 (H)
    Value Index: 2.90
    Third Down Defense Efficiency: Panthers are a wall on 3rd downs, ranking 3rd in defensive conversion allowance. Lions, ranked 17th offensively, might find it hard to maintain drives.
    Pass Defense vs. Pass Offense: CAR restricts opponents to just 176.8 passing yards/game. They're all set to challenge DET's 8th ranked pass offense.
    Sacking the QB: Panthers' defense, ranking 4th in sack percentage, will be a menace for the Lions' offensive line.
    Turnover Game: Panthers excel in picking off passes with a 3.64% interception rate. The Lions might want to be careful with their aerial plays.
    Rush Defense: Lions love to rush, but Panthers might be prepared. While they allow significant rush yards, their knowledge of Lions' run-heavy game might lead to strategic defensive plays to disrupt the Lions' primary mode of attack.
    PICK: Carolina
    29 min
  • US Rough Ryders + Weekend Football Preview
    Micah and Brad open the episode talking about day 1 of the Ryder Cup and the swift whoopin' Team USA was dealt by Jon Rahm and his filthy Euro friends. The boys go on to preview an action packed weekend of College and NFL Football.
    Shout out and special thanks to the team at Earlybird CBD. They've supported BDC for years and EB is the reason Micah and I are able to continue putting out this podcast. You can show them your appreciation by visiting earlybirdcbd.com and perusing their lineup of awesome CBD + THC products. Use promo code "backdoorcover" for 20% off your entire order. Promo code is good for 1-time use.
    Thanks for listening,
    28 min
  • Bet The Algo Week 4 Free 3
    Can't Miss Mitch and his brainchild the Value Index Algorithm AKA ALGO return for week 3 of the NFL season to bring you 3 free picks. Mitch and Peter are joined by Fox Sports betting analyst Jared Smith.
    Get every ALGO pick every single week along with bonus content by subscribing to the Bet the Algo Patreon Page at patreon.com/betthealgo
    50 min
  • Deion Goes Down, Broncos Country Goes Up (in flames)
    Micah and Brad recap of week 4 of the college football season then go on to run through NFL week 3 results.
    BDC is Presented by Earlybird CBD. Visit EarlyBirdCBD.com and use promo code BACKDOORCOVER for 20% off your entire order. Code is good for 1-time use. Eligible for use by new or returning users.
    Thanks for listening,
    29 min

About Back Door Cover

From the publisher's feed

Sports news, gambling notes, and friendly banter from Micah Wiener and Bradley Kee.

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