Ben Lakoff and Arnav Pagidyala from Bankless Ventures lay out how they’re thinking about crypto investing heading into 2026.

The conversation spans four persistent pillars of every cycle: DeFi, tokenization, capital formation, and speculation and how each is evolving as crypto matures.

Topics include the next wave of on-chain lending, equity perps, DeFi neobanks, verticalized tokenization platforms, compliant ICOs, prediction and opinion markets, and where AI agents may reshape crypto-native finance.

A candid look at what’s investable now, what’s changing, and how Bankless Ventures is underwriting the next cycle.

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

11:59 DeFi

36:20 Tokenization

50:25 Capital Formation

1:00:44 Speculation Markets

1:09:58 AI

1:13:26 Founders & Teams

1:15:31 Closing & Disclaimers

------
RESOURCES

Ben Lakoff

https://x.com/benlakoff 

Arnav

https://x.com/0xArnav 

Bankless Ventures

https://x.com/banklessvc 

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ 

Ryan and David skip a quiet holiday weekly rollup and instead break down the biggest 2026 crypto forecasts from Bitwise, Coinbase, Galaxy, Grayscale, CoinShares, Fidelity, a16z, and Pantera. They lay out the clearest consensus, stablecoins as real payment rails, tokenization scaling beyond pilots, and ETFs expanding institutional access, then hit the big debates around regulation, prediction markets, token value capture, and the growing quantum question for Bitcoin.

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

2:14 Predictions for Stablecoins

6:42 Tokenization Trends

11:27 ETF Explosion

11:45 Market Structure Legislation

14:06 Prediction Markets Rise

15:20 Quantum Concerns

20:29 Broad Themes Emerge

24:11 Hybrid Finance Concept

28:02 Privacy in Crypto

33:27 DEX Transition Predictions

35:09 Tokenomics Evolution

39:43 Controversies in Predictions

42:58 Market Cycles & Macro Trends

48:12 Year-End Reflections on Ethereum

1:01:08 Bitcoin's Performance Overview

1:10:03 Future Visions for Crypto

1:10:40 Closing & Disclaimers

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Is the crypto cycle already over? Ben Cowen returns to break down what a post-euphoria cycle looks like, why Bitcoin may have already topped, and how 2026 could play out across crypto, stocks, and macro. We explore the case for a prolonged bear market, why a true alt season may not arrive, and the narrow scenarios where Ethereum could still make a fleeting run at new highs. From Fed policy and labor markets to AI stealing investor attention, this episode maps the competing paths ahead and what patient investors should be watching next.


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🦄UNISWAP | CONTINUOUS CLEARING AUCTIONS 

https://bankless.cc/uniswap-cca

🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025

https://bankless.cc/mantle-hackathon

💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

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------

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

0:49 Bitcoin's Cycle & its Implications

2:18 Ethereum's Performance & Expectations

8:58 Future Predictions for Ethereum

10:39 Comparing Ethereum to Tesla

12:32 The State of the Altcoin Market

18:26 Disappointment & Hope for ETH Holders

20:23 Macro Factors Affecting Crypto

24:37 Why No Euphoria This Cycle?

32:56 The Shift of Investor Attention

37:56 The Future of Crypto Cycles

44:16 The Need for Utility in Crypto

56:14 Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Comparison

59:45 Bitcoin's Unique Position in the Market

1:02:31 Patience and Strategy for Crypto Investors

1:06:01 Closing & Disclaimers

------

RESOURCES

Ben Cowen

https://x.com/intocryptoverse

Ben’s Channel

https://www.youtube.com/@intothecryptoverse

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Joey Krug (Founders Fund partner, former Pantera co-CIO, and Augur co-founder) returns to unpack whether the “crypto-native era” is fading as institutions and mainstream apps adopt crypto rails without adopting crypto culture. 

We dig into prediction markets’ breakout (and why Polymarket finally found product-market fit), the coming regulatory fights around market structure and “insider” edges, and what’s next for founders building in a post-cypherpunk, distribution-first phase of crypto.

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🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

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------

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

5:45 Is Crypto-Native Dead?

16:37 Lessons From Augur

20:29 Prediction Market’s Success

25:24 Just Gambling?

27:50 Prediction Market Regulation

41:03 Founders Fund Polymarket Bet

44:37 FBI Raid

46:47 Founders Fund Crypto Investment Thesis

53:46 DATs

57:02 Layer1 Valuation

1:00:40 ETH Valuation

1:04:32 What Would Joey Build Today?

1:06:13 Crypto x AI

1:10:09 Frontier Tech x Crypto

1:14:26 4-Year Cycles

1:16:16 Less Upside in Crypto Now?

1:19:37 Crypto Privacy

1:20:41 Last & Next Decade

1:23:05 Closing & Disclaimers

------
RESOURCES

Joey Krug

https://x.com/joeykrug 

Augur

https://augur.net/ 

Founders Fund

https://foundersfund.com/ 

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠

Crypto prices are down, but the most important players are still building. In this week’s Weekly Rollup, Ryan and David break down Coinbase’s push to become a financial super app, JPMorgan’s first tokenized money market fund on Ethereum, and why regulators are quietly opening the door for onchain settlement through DTCC pilots.

They also unpack Solana’s Firedancer finally going live, the growing fight over tokenholder rights at Aave and what Uniswap’s unification proposal gets right, and why tokenization and prediction markets are advancing faster than prices suggest.

---
📣M0 | THE UNIVERSAL STABLECOIN PLATFORM

https://bankless.cc/m0 

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

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---

TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES

0:00 Intro

2:14 Markets

https://www.google.com/finance/beta/quote/BTC-USD?hl=en&window=1Y&comparison=SOL-USD%2CETH-USD&type=line

https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/12/12/barclays-sees-down-year-for-crypto-in-2026-without-big-catalysts

https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/cpi-november-inflation-rate-rcna249847

https://x.com/0xNonceSense/status/2000561186497233247 

https://x.com/leshka_eth/status/2000738467953967362

12:38 Bankless Announcements

https://x.com/Bankless/status/2001694903084937469

https://www.bankless.com/ico-watch/

https://x.com/JustDeauIt/status/2001380424329892009

20:12 Coinbase System Update

https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1BRJjgWpwwpxw 

https://www.coinbase.com/ccm

https://dune.com/entropy_advisors/robinhood-stock-tokens

https://www.coinbase.com/prediction-markets

https://app.morpho.org/base/borrow

https://swap.cow.fi/#/1/swap/0xA0b86991c6218b36c1d19D4a2e9Eb0cE3606eB48/GOOGLON

37:50 Aave Drama, v4 & the 2026 Master Plan

https://governance.aave.com/t/aave-cowswap-integration-tokenholder-questions/23530

https://x.com/aave/status/1996591393817473247

https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/1999728596626342177

https://www.circle.com/blog/circle-signs-agreement-to-acquire-interop-labs-team-intellectual-property

https://x.com/howdymerry/status/1991932582938943798

https://x.com/haydenzadams/status/2001566377656602705

https://x.com/StaniKulechov/status/2001036446098919461

https://x.com/RyanSAdams/status/2001303903447466476

47:20 Solana BreakPoint

https://x.com/solana/status/1999399841957576741

https://x.com/phantom/status/1999442547039756491

https://x.com/jerallaire/status/2000926577727562023

https://x.com/theoneandomsy/status/1999654845607710749

52:48 SEC says DTCC can tokenize stocks

https://x.com/Snapcrackle/status/1999389068321300814

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CS5cDEyEf38

https://www.dtcc.com/news/2025/december/17/dtcc-and-digital-asset-partner-to-tokenize-dtc-custodied-us-treasury-securities

https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/canton

57:06 JPMorgan launched their first ever tokenized money market fund - Ethereum

https://x.com/ethereum/status/2000665928598524014

57:56 Do Kwon was sentenced to 15 years in prison 

https://x.com/zoomerfied/status/1999237162361888869

59:43 New York Times put out another anti-crypto piece 

https://x.com/intangiblecoins/status/2000334663479447557

https://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/2000573428093341865

1:01:23 Netflix announced new Bitcoin comedy 

https://x.com/BitcoinArchive/status/1999491003451867515

1:03:02 Closing & Disclaimers 

---

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

Trading is no longer just a financial activity; it has become a spectator sport. In this episode, Threadguy explains how Gen Z’s internet-native fluency, built through sneaker markets, NFTs, and meme cycles, translates into a new kind of market intuition: attention, momentum, and mimetics. We delve into “Entertainment Finance,” where perps, prediction markets, and live trading are starting to resemble streaming and esports more closely than Wall Street. Along the way, we explore why “internet capital markets” may pull everything on-chain over time, what happens when every asset becomes content, and why creators and traders will keep pushing into the open frontier.

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🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025
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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP
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---
TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Threadguy: “Gen Z crypto face”
2:58 Sneaker Twitter: trade-first upbringing
8:03 Onboarding via social proof
13:08 Two Gen Z money paths
16:53 Crypto as opportunity engine
20:38 Why he won’t leave crypto
23:35 Media growth and infinite TAM
29:31 Entertainment finance: markets as content
37:28 Risk takers become “athletes”
42:27 PVP arcs and downfall appetite
44:25 Trading mimetics: valuation doesn’t matter
49:53 One internet note, spills to equities
55:15 Counterparty: home for internet markets
58:40 Token launch replaces IPO
1:02:38 Where to follow + content grind

---
RESOURCES

Threadguy
https://x.com/notthreadguy

Threadguy’s Twitch
https://www.twitch.tv/threadguy

---
Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

The Fed cut rates and announced $40B/month in T bill purchases. Is that the signal to buy back into crypto? Mike says no. In this episode, we explain why “QE light” is not real easing, the key indicators Mike needs before flipping risk on, and what Bitcoin’s onchain market structure suggests about where this cycle could go next.

----
📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE
https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/
https://thedefireport.io/
https://x.com/the_defi_report
https://x.com/JustDeauIt

----
TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Introduction to the DeFi Report
2:28 Current Market Positioning
9:25 Federal Reserve's Actions Explained
13:13 Economic Conditions & Predictions
18:35 Big Picture of Economic Strategy
23:17 Analyzing Bitcoin's Market Structure
29:57 Closing & Future Outlook

----
Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Bitwise’s Matt Hougan and Ryan Rasmussen return with 10 big predictions for 2026.

From the case for $1M BTC (and why the classic four-year cycle may be dead) to a world where ETFs soak up more than 100% of new BTC/ETH/SOL supply.

We get into Bitcoin volatility vs. mega-cap tech, crypto equities vs. tech equities, and why Polymarket could smash past its 2024 election-era highs.

Plus: stablecoins as an “escape valve” that emerging economies may blame for currency stress, on-chain also known as “ETFs 2.0,” and how the Clarity Act could be the starter’s gun for ETH and SOL to run.

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🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025
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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP
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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep

------

TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Last Year Predictions

13:12 1. Bitcoin Breaks 4-Year Cycle

16:19 2. BTC Less Volatile Than NVDA

22:09 3. ETFs Purchasing New Supply of Crypto

30:02 4. Crypto Equities Outperforming Equities

37:23 5. Prediction Markets All-Time Highs

42:50 6. Stablecons Destabilizing Currencies

48:16 7. Onchain Vaults Doubling in AUM

52:56 8. Clarity Act Triggering ETH & Sol All-Time Highs

56:40 9. Ivy League Endowments Investing in Crypto

58:49 10. 100+ Crypto ETPs Launching

1:01:14 Bitwise Announcement

1:04:08 Bonus. Bitcoin Equity Correlation Falling

1:07:29 Progress in 2025

1:10:48 Cross-Generational Wealth Transfer?

1:13:02 Closing Thoughts & Disclaimers

------
RESOURCES

Matt Hougan

https://x.com/Matt_Hougan 

Ryan Rasmussen

https://x.com/RasterlyRock 

Bitwise

https://bitwiseinvestments.com/ 

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠ 

AI is becoming the most powerful surveillance machine ever built and most people are feeding it their deepest secrets without realizing who can read them. Proton founder Andy Yen joins Bankless to explain how Big Tech captures your identity, why AI chat logs are a privacy disaster waiting to happen, and what a self-sovereign, user-aligned future could look like.
We explore how AI models profile you, why subscription business models don’t guarantee privacy, how Proton built Lumo without retaining user data, and why encrypted email remains the cornerstone of your digital identity. Andy also breaks down EU “chat control,” Apple’s privacy-washing, the crisis of trust in crypto, and the practical steps anyone can take today to reclaim their digital freedom.

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP
https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep

---
TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro
2:18 Why Privacy Matters More Than Ever
3:24 How Screwed Are We? Andy’s 1–10 Privacy Score
5:43 Who Can Read Your AI Chats?
12:22 Worst-Case Scenarios: AI Breaches & Behavioral Profiles
15:08 AI Knows You Better Than You Know Yourself
16:55 Privacy as a Digital Civil Liberty
20:26 Can Big Tech Ever Offer Real Privacy?
26:28 Why Lumo AI Can Be Private (and Big Tech Won’t Copy It)
31:08 What Lumo Runs On & How It Competes With Frontier Models
35:45 The Case for a Self-Sovereign AI
38:46 How Proton’s Foundation Model Really Works
45:47 Can Private AI Be Sustainable?
49:47 The Full Proton Privacy Stack
54:59 The Messy State of Encrypted Chat Apps
58:49 Browsers, Search, and the Dark Patterns of AI Integration
1:02:53 Are iPhones Actually Private?
1:12:42 The Fight Over Encryption: EU Chat Control & Beyond
1:26:08 “A Backdoor for the Good Guys” — Why It Can’t Work
1:29:42 Financial Privacy = Freedom
1:32:58 Crypto’s Reputation Problem
1:39:24 Practical Privacy: The One High-Leverage Step
1:45:15 Two Futures: One Dark, One Bright

---
RESOURCES

Andy Yen
https://x.com/andyyen

---
Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:
https://www.bankless.com/disclosures

The final Fed meeting of 2025 delivered a surprise rate cut, but the real story is how the market is reacting. In this week’s Weekly Rollup, Ryan and David unpack what the new policy shift means for crypto liquidity, why regulators across the SEC, CFTC, and OCC are suddenly embracing onchain markets, and how Tom Lee’s massive ETH accumulation is reshaping sentiment.

We also get into Ethereum’s growing momentum from ZK advancements and blob upgrades, the ZKsync Atlas rollout, Base’s bridge drama with Solana, and Farcaster’s pivot away from social. Plus, the rise of tokenization, new prediction market rails, and whether this week marks the first real cycle turn for Ethereum.

------
📣REYA | ETHEREUM FOR TRADERS

https://bankless.cc/reya   

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🦄UNISWAP LABS | SWAP NOW

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🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025

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💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP

https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep

------

TIMESTAMPS & RESOURCES

0:00 Intro

5:01 Markets

https://x.com/EricBalchunas/status/1998424357232922883

https://www.theblock.co/post/381737/bitmine-13-2-billion-holdings-eth-treasury-expands-november-slowdown

https://x.com/RyanWatkins_/status/1998529576331522334

https://x.com/MikeIppolito_/status/1998495400869900626

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/10/fed-interest-rate-decision-december-2025-.html

https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1998835306800505140

https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1998407015756964343

https://x.com/JustDeauIt/status/1998905919577452765

24:52 Farcaster is pivoting to a wallet

https://farcaster.xyz/dwr/0xd29fe760

https://x.com/DefiIgnas/status/1997915182073626802

https://x.com/eth_call/status/1998406182092906534

http://x.com/nic_carter/status/1998813611997745386

https://x.com/TrustlessState/status/1999134280757235767

37:11 ZK … early stage of unleashing Ethereum’s vision

https://x.com/zksync/status/1996678308214264145
https://x.com/zksync/status/1996678311997853752
https://x.com/StaniKulechov/status/1996990055043223659
https://x.com/zksync/status/1998405700637356056
https://x.com/Celo/status/1998780366988128562

47:06 Did Base launch a vampire attack on Solana’s liquidity?

https://x.com/jessepollak/status/1996750308933091359
https://x.com/vibhu/status/1996698682545107247
https://x.com/0xyoussea/status/1997763313909092415
https://x.com/solana/status/1999035191323759024

52:30 Ethereum's first Blob Parameter Only (BPO) fork is now live on the network

https://x.com/i/status/1998936032314523977

https://dune.com/hildobby/blobs

56:17 Regulators are doing a complete 180

https://x.com/OndoFinance/status/1998015670278148283

https://x.com/coinbureau/status/1997128653650657338

https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2025/12/08/cftc-launches-digital-assets-pilot-allowing-bitcoin-ether-usdc-as-collateral

https://x.com/joechalom/status/1998421401049710686

https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1998379541132402987

https://www.fdic.gov/news/inactive-financial-institution-letters/2023/fil23001.html

https://x.com/USComptroller/status/1998793576663187561

https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/08/guaranteeing-fair-banking-for-all-americans/

https://occ.gov/news-issuances/news-releases/2025/nr-occ-2025-123a.pdf

https://www.bankless.com/read/news/occ-calls-out-americas-largest-banks-for-politicized-and-unlawful-debanking-behaviors

https://www.theblock.co/post/381815/sen-moreno-calls-crypto-bill-talks-decently-frustrating-as-senate-races-toward-year-end-goal-posts 

1:05:03 The New York Times put out an anti-stablecoin explainer piece

https://x.com/0xDeployer/status/1997754736158900440

https://x.com/nic_carter/status/1997866686439928004

1:06:50 Gemini can now offer prediction markets in the US - Stock Surges Nearly 14%

https://x.com/gemini/status/1998880024401973615

https://x.com/gondorfi/status/1998754620416344483

https://gondor.fi/

1:07:49 Meme of the Week

https://x.com/Bankless/status/1998064876892442788

1:09:36 Closing & Disclaimers

------

Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here:

https://www.bankless.com/disclosures