We first had Chris on the podcast in February of this year as a lead-up to the launch of our NZ tips service.
Thankfully Chris' incredible private success has transferred to the public domain and members have enjoyed very consistent profits.
But as a relatively new professional punter, what has he learned this year that he will apply to his betting next year?
Punting Insights You'll Find:
Why he digitally times races
How his form analysis has evolved in 2014
His recommended approach to getting a bet on
A NZ horse to follow in Australia next year
Today’s Guest:
Kiwi Chris
Get the Transcript:
David Duffield: It's been a pretty successful year so far, it's probably a little bit early to review the year overall, but how do you think it's been going?
Kiwi Chris: I'm relatively happy, I've been on quite a steady upward curve, I guess, profit-wise. I'm quite content.
David Duffield: What about the mid-winter blues? You tend to be fairly disciplined when it's really wet tracks, or at the very least, like to watch a race or two before getting involved.
Kiwi Chris: Yeah, that's right. I mean, there's probably more opportunities, I think that's what it is, in sort of spring summer. There'll still be a few in that winter time but I guess they're a little bit more sparse.
David Duffield: Early in the year, you had mentioned that you'd learned a bit from various people including someone like Dean in terms of the trials and I think that things have evolved since then and I know that you've taken on doing some of your own timing and that's quite a pretty integral part in the way you do things now.
Kiwi Chris: Yeah that's probably the main factor when I'm looking at horses, you know, their ability to run a certain time, relative to other horses on the same day so you can get a really good guide as to the untried horses, their potential ability.
David Duffield: And so you mentioned on the same day, the way Vince does it, he has to suffer through a number of variables in terms of the rail, not the rail position but just the rail markings can be off, different camera angles and the like, so you simplify things and you only really look intra-day, you only compare horses on the same day rather than having a multi-year benchmark figure.
Kiwi Chris: That's right, I think there's so many different variables from day to day, obviously from track to track, but even on the same track on a different day you can get so many different variables, from weather, to rail out, to track conditions, all sorts of things. So I only compare performances from that same day.
David Duffield: What are you looking for in doing the timing yourself? Are you looking for closing sectionals, or horses that were really sent out a good clip and had a reason for tiring late, given the overall times? What are you focusing on?
Kiwi Chris: A bit of everything really. I mean, the closing sectionals are only good if they're running decent time at the start. Because you know, if they're jogging to start with, and then sprinting late very often the format of that can be a little bit false, so that's a sort of combination of all those things that you mentioned.
David Duffield: You're doing your own timing and what else has changed, or evolved since you started the year, if you can cast your mind back to then?
Kiwi Chris: I guess at the start I was primarily focused on trials and then I was mainly betting into maiden races. Maybe early two year-old, three year-old racers. Whereas now I’m sort of covering all class of races, still mainly on the North Island, a little bit in the South. I'm broadening the sort of base of races that I'm looking into.
David Duffield: What's prompted that change, the broadening of the races that you cover?
Kiwi Chris: Just getting a little bit more data on every horse and the early trials that I watched, say this time last year, they're sort of running in high grade races this year.