Treasury yields are surging, technology stocks are rotating, and Wall Street is questioning whether higher rates could finally derail the bull market. But Jay Hatfield isn’t backing away from his bullish outlook.
On this episode of Hatfield Economics, host Todd M. Schoenberger sits down with Jay Hatfield, CEO of Infrastructure Capital Management and CIO of ICAP ETFs, including the new $QVOL ETF, to break down what rising bond yields really mean for stocks.
With the 30-year Treasury moving above 5.3% and the 10-year hovering near 4.7%, Hatfield explains why he does not view higher yields as the market’s biggest threat. Instead, he argues that rates remain largely consistent with expected Fed policy and maintains a bullish S&P 500 base-case target of 8,100–8,400, with the potential for another rally in October and November.
Todd and Jay also examine the rotation away from parts of technology, whether financials and software could assume greater market leadership, why earnings remain the foundation of the bull case, and whether a 5% 10-year Treasury would actually change Jay’s outlook.
The conversation moves into small caps and AI, where Jay warns investors against blindly chasing speculative companies and emphasizes valuation and reasonable PEG ratios. He also discusses retail-investor participation, the outlook for major retailers, gold’s powerful momentum, political risks facing corporate America, and how QVOL is designed to approach today’s market.
Is Wall Street experiencing a routine bull-market reset—or is the bond market sending investors a warning they shouldn’t ignore? Jay Hatfield breaks down what he believes comes next.
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