Capital Creek Partners - 3in10

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. He analyzes the hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI data, explaining why an October Fed hike is unlikely but December looks live. He then summarizes the IMF’s Global Financial Stability Report, highlighting AI spending as the top risk. Lastly, Scott recounts bank earnings, noting widening net interest margins and clean credit against fading buybacks.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. He explains why the 40-year decline in interest rates has reversed, driven by persistent demand for capital. He then assesses inflation’s higher resting heart rate and the potential for a rotation from stocks into bonds. Lastly, Scott highlights two overlooked inflation data points, noting why they point to further Fed hikes.

In this special edition episode of 3in10, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, sits down with Tim Sloan, Vice Chairman and Global Head of Real Estate at Fortress and former CEO of Wells Fargo, to discuss today's credit and commercial real estate landscape. Scott and Tim begin with the U.S. credit environment, where Tim flags recent frauds, software exposure, and growing interconnection in AI financing. Tim also frames the wall of commercial real estate maturities as an opportunity for experienced lenders and calls credit's shift from banks to private markets permanent. Lastly, Tim reiterates the lessons of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger: manage for the long term and hold extra liquidity.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses the Trump-Xi summit, noting that beyond the pageantry, Trump avoided trading geopolitical ground for commercial gain. He then explains why 10-year TIPS yields near 3%, a generational high, offer a real alternative to equities. Lastly, Scott analyzes September's booming flash PMIs, noting they strengthen the case for more Fed hikes.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses six converging headwinds, from an AI slowdown to a global tightening cycle, behind his tactically cautious view on equities. He then highlights August retail sales, noting the strongest control-group reading in nearly two years and a resilient high-end consumer. Lastly, Scott explains why Chair Warsh's hawkish hike signals more rate increases to come and a Fed reasserting its independence.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott assesses the hotter core CPI print, arguing the Fed's hike next week will not be one and done. He then recounts Oracle's earnings, noting tighter credit spreads offer relief as investors fixate on the balance sheet. Lastly, Scott highlights mounting AI fears, warning a CapEx slowdown could force cuts to growth and earnings estimates.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. He recounts Dell's blowout earnings and record AI backlog, noting that AI shortages are now raising technology costs rather than lowering them. He then assesses Governor Waller's dovish speech and its pushback against a locked-in September hike. Lastly, Scott analyzes the August payrolls surprise, noting benign wage growth leaves next week's CPI as the Fed's deciding factor.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, departs from the usual three-theme format to focus on one key topic: Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. He analyzes Warsh's seven principles, highlighting the "no excuses" commitment to 2% headline PCE, the return of monetarism, and a quieter Fed less reliant on forward guidance. Lastly, he explains why the speech reads hawkish, with markets now pricing one to two hikes by year-end.

In this special edition 3in10, Scott Slayton is joined by Lu Zhang, founder of Fusion Fund, days after Time named the firm one of America's top 100 VC funds. Capital Creek is an LP in Fusion Fund IV. Lu explains why the AI buildout is still early, the shift from language models to physical AI and agents, open source versus closed models, the emerging multi trillion dollar space economy built around SpaceX, breakthroughs in healthcare AI, and her take on new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

In this episode, Scott Slayton, Partner and Chief Strategist at Capital Creek Partners, breaks down three key market themes for the week. Scott begins with the global Treasury bear market, where softer data hasn't stopped yields from rising and September rate cut odds have fallen to 28%. Additionally, he highlights CoreWeave's smaller-than-expected loss and raised CapEx guidance, which sent the stock up 20% on evidence AI demand keeps broadening. Lastly, Scott delves into the Iran oil conflict, warning that shrinking inventories could turn dire by early October.