Capitalist Investor

For a very long time, good news seems to be bad news & bad news seems to good news. The market has been irrational digesting traditional econmic information. Over the past week, the market has become a lot more rational in it's thinking. What do we mean by that? On top of that, we haven't seen Joe Biden for a few weeks while he had COVID. After his rally, there were a couple key takeaways that Americans did not miss, and the crowd seemed not to miss either. What did Joe Biden say that threanted essentially half of America? Last week we covered student loans, and after a week of digesting this news, a lot of people are asking how much it's going to cost and how we are going to pay for it. The answer from the Biden Administration is, "No matter how much it costs, it is paid for." They don't even know how much it will cost in the end. All of this is covered in this week's "The Capitalist Investor" episode.

Outline of This Episode:

●  [2:29] Stock Market Becoming More Rational

●  [09:27] Biden Rally - Epic Fail

●  [17:11] Studen Loan Handouts Are "Paid For"

Every week the guys come in prepared and ready with their takes on the latest news, politics and trends – but this time around it’s all about returning to their roots and talking about the markets. In Episode #141 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Luke and Tony dive into the Fed’s Jackson Hole trip and what will happen if Powell decides to be hawkish or dovish. The guys also analyze behavioral finance trends taking place in their everyday lives and debate Biden’s latest student loan debt policy. This episode’s focus may be on returning to the root, but the guys are prepared to pivot, pause, hear each other’s takes, and yours. 

Outline of This Episode:

●  [1:20] The course for Jackson Hole 

●  [2:30] A hawkish Powell or… 

●  [6:55] A dovish Powell

●  [9:35] Behind the scenes of behavioral finance 

●  [12:15] Canceled this week: student loans 

It’s called the Inflation Reduction Act but as we expected, it’s name hasn’t held up. Shortly before passing the legislation, electric vehicle companies announced they would be increasing their costs – stripping the act’s intention and the $7500 EV tax break it included. On this week’s episode of “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Tony, and Luke talk about the nightmares that come when one rushes a process and cuts corners: EV agendas, tax breaks, and government spending. Episode #140 also includes a new special segment to reflect the state of today’s society, “You’re Outta Here.” 

 Outline of This Episode:

 ●  [2:20] Supply chain nightmares came true 

●  [5:20] Unfolding the EV tax credit 

●  [7:40] Reenvisioning the tax system  

●  [12:50] Introducing “You’re Outta Here”   

It's been a crazy week. Honestly, it's been a crazy month and ultimately, a crazy year. In Episode #139 Derek, Tony, and Luke discuss current events that pertain to your money, your life, and your investments. Part of the "Inflation Reduction Act" was $80 Billion dollars to increase the size of the IRS. Are they going after the billionaires or are they going after mainstreet America? What's the problem with government spending and how does it compare to the past? Productivity numbers in the United States came in the lowest ever. What does that mean for companies trying to grow and the unemployment rate? All you hear in the news right now is the FBI raid on Trump's Mar-A-Lago residence. How will that impact Trump running in 2024? Find out all of these questions and more on this week's "The Capitalist Investor".

Outline of This Episode:

 ●  [1:10] IRS Hiring Over 80k Employees

●  [10:28] U.S. Productivity Posts Biggest Drop Ever

●  [15:50] Trump Mar-A-Lago Residence Raided

Headlines are reading all over the map lately and this week’s episode of “The Capitalist Investor,” sifts through them. In Episode #138 Derek, Tony, and Luke touch on the usual topics: taxes, inflation, recessions, and employment. But after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan, new issues have arised and the threat of economic warfare is looming. What’s happening today domestically and internationally is something people will reflect on years down the road, but the guys aim to address it all now. 

Outline of This Episode:

 ●  [1:45] Reactionary Acts and Bills 

●  [7:35] Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan 

●  [12:40] Global trade warnings 

Do you believe in coincidences? How attached are you to textbook definitions? This week, Derek, Luke, and Tony talk about politicians and corporations buying time – or perhaps pitching lies. As we approach the second quarter GDP reading, the White House quickly adjusted the concrete definition of a recession to soften the administration’s blow, meanwhile companies are holding back a bit of the blunt truth on their earnings calls. The guys also touch a bit on the latest insider trading hint in the House of Representatives and Nancy Pelosi’s husband’s stock buying game. Episode #137 of “The Capitalist Investor,” is about calling out the nonsense unfolding from those we should all hold accountable. 

 Outline of This Episode:

 ●  [2:00] Recession; defined as… 

●  [10:50] Earning season visions 

● [16:35] Insider trading on Capitol Hill

The banks aren’t providing the best guidance right now as we inch towards a recession. Simply put: they’re concerned, cutting buybacks a bit, hunkering down, and building up a war chest in case we repeat 2008. In Episode #136 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Tony and Derek spend time naming key recession indicators and how everything ties together – even employment, although lately it’s been raising some questions. Wherever you get your news, there’s so much to pay attention to these days but this week is all about anticipating slowdowns before the big headlines come.  

Outline of This Episode:

●  [2:30] Colossal, complex questions 

●  [3:00] The beginnings in the job market  

●  [6:35] Homebuilding rate indicator 

●  [7:50] Where the pieces connect: the Fed 

●  [13:55] The banks’ picture 

●  [16:20] LIV News and Crypto 

While we may be experiencing some tough times here in the states, the European economy is taking some harder hits. For the first time since 2002, the value of the euro is about equal to the U.S. dollar again – a sign of a shrinking European economy and a surging American dollar. 

This week, Derek and Tony discuss some of the good news going around: a strong U.S. dollar, cheaper imports, and a much needed decrease in gas prices. But with good news follows some bad news. In this week’s episode of “The Capitalist Investor,” the narrative changes – it’s no longer about a looming recession, but coming to terms with the fact that it’s now here. Just how long and deep will it last though?  

Outline of This Episode: 

●  [1:25] Strong U.S. dollar vs. strong U.S. economy 

●  [5:50] Gas prices are finally dropping… BUT 

●  [9:35] People’s spending is corroding  

●  [12:10] Some lighter news: our British Open favorites   

Nothing these days is normal –– gas prices, food costs, inflation, and inverted yield curves are all onto worrisome paths. This week on “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Tony, and Luke talk about extremes and the warning signs the economy is giving off. While people are still spending, there’s still some panic going around. But when will the mass panic ignite? Will it be in the next month? Will it come in November with the midterm elections? In Episode #134 the guys focus on what’s happening around us and although facing such unpredictable times, aim to predict the economy’s future.  

Outline of This Episode:

●  [2:30] Biden’s student loan policies are bad attempts to buy votes 

●  [15:00] The *third* inverted yield curve as another warning 

●  [22:10] Red states’ economies are winning post-pandemic 

Inflation is hitting all over the globe right now, but American’s will really feel it where it hurts the most: on the Fourth of July. Cookouts, fireworks, and the typical Independence Day festivities will all cost a little bit more this year. So, what does being an educated consumer look like? Is now the right time to start buying into speculative stocks? Would a giant flying sky hotel be a mistake, or a marvel? In Episode #133 of “The Capitalist Investor,” Derek, Luke, and Tony shed some light on a few recent flares that popped up in the news this week. 

 Outline of This Episode:

 ●  [2:45] Cathie Wood’s flagship fund  

●  [8:55] Microsoft missed out, Zoom won

●  [11:50] The hotel in the sky 

●  [17:15] Inflation cookouts on Independence Day