Carolina Weather Group

South Carolina Governor Henry McMaster, joined by state officials, holds a Wednesday afternoon briefing to declare a state of emergency ahead of Ian.

Officials with the City of Charlotte and Mecklenburg County hold a Wednesday afternoon briefing to discuss preparations for Ian.

Hurricane Ian is making landfall Wednesday in Florida before continuing across the state. The storm will reemerge into the Atlantic Ocean waters off the East Coast.

This will allow Ian, then expected to be a tropical storm, to make a second landfall somewhere along the Georgia or South Carolina coast Friday.

The biggest threat from Ian in the Carolinas will be flooding, with rainfall amounts between 6 and 8 inches and storm surge upward of 3 feet along the coast.

The storm could also produce an isolated number of tornadoes.

Following a potential second landfall Friday, the storm will push inland where it will weaken into a tropical depression. Impacts from the storm are still expected across all of North Carolina and South Carolina from the remnants of this storm. Localized flash flooding is the greatest threat for many Carolinians.

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The Carolina Weather Group operates a weekly talk show of the same name. Broadcasting each week from the Carolinas, the show is dedicated to covering weather, science, technology, and more with newsmakers from the field of atmospheric science. With co-hosts across both North Carolina and South Carolina, the show may closely feature both NC weather and SC weather, but the topics are universally enjoyable for any weather fan. Join us as we talk about weather, environment, the atmosphere, space travel, and all the technology that makes it possible.

This week on a special episode of the Carolina Weather Group, an inside look at the development of Outbrk, multiplayer open-world storm chasing simulation PC game based on real weather data.We're joined by the development team of David and Marc, who are using their real world knowledge of weather to create a safe and entertaining way to chase with your friends virtually.Never before seen, they give us an inside look at how they model the virtual tornadoes that will make the game so realistic for chasers and enthusiasts alike.The game remains in early development. 

To learn more and to add the game to your Steam wishlist: https://store.steampowered.com/app/1107320/OUTBRK/. You can also follow their ongoing development tasks on Trello: https://trello.com/b/nsBmMfIa/outbrk-game.

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The Carolina Weather Group operates a weekly talk show of the same name. Broadcasting each week from the Carolinas, the show is dedicated to covering weather, science, technology, and more with newsmakers from the field of atmospheric science. With co-hosts across both North Carolina and South Carolina, the show may closely feature both NC weather and SC weather, but the topics are universally enjoyable for any weather fan. Join us as we talk about weather, environment, the atmosphere, space travel, and all the technology that makes it possible.

Hurricane Ian is growing in strength ahead of landfall in Florida later this week.

There is still uncertainty in the forecast for Ian. As the storm's track progresses, there will be a better certainty of where and when the storm makes landfall. This data will allow forecasters to better and more accurately predict what happens to Ian as it approaches Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina.

Both the NAM and a European weather forecast model envision a landfall near Tampa with the storm passing over Orlando and the space coast before returning to the Atlantic Ocean. This would put the storm closer to cities like Savannah, Hilton Head, Charleston, Myrtle Beach, and Wilmington. This scenario would bring more beach erosion and heavier surf to the Carolina coast.

The GFS model wants to take the storm further west and further inland following landfall in Florida's panhandle. If Ian's center of circulation were to pass over Georgia, upstate South Carolina, and western North Carolina, more of the Carolinas would see more severe weather.

In either scenario, all of the Carolinas are at risk for heavy rain and flash flooding. 

The strongest part of any storm is the top right, or northeast, quadrant. A storm track further west puts more of the Carolinas under the right side of the storm. Thus this would bring more of Ian's heavy rain, flash flooding, strong winds, and possible tornado threat further inland and over more of the Carolinas.

The certainty in the forecast will improve over the coming days.  In any scenario, impacts from Ian are not expected to reach the Carolinas before late Thursday with the most likely arrival overnight on Friday. Impacts will move from south-to-north with storm impacts reaching North Carolina by later Friday. Storm impacts will continue into Saturday and linger into Sunday.

The Carolina Weather Group will continue to track Ian, the forecast, and the impacts that can be expected in the Carolinas. Now is the time to prepare for possible evacuations, power outages, flooding, and more.

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The Carolina Weather Group operates a weekly talk show of the same name. Broadcasting each week from the Carolinas, the show is dedicated to covering weather, science, technology, and more with newsmakers from the field of atmospheric science. With co-hosts across both North Carolina and South Carolina, the show may closely feature both NC weather and SC weather, but the topics are universally enjoyable for any weather fan. Join us as we talk about weather, environment, the atmosphere, space travel, and all the technology that makes it possible.

It's been 33 years since Hurricane Hugo arrived in the Carolinas. The infamous storm, which impacted coastal and inland Carolina alike, is still ingrained in us over three decades later. This week, we're revisiting our 30th anniversary special from 2019.  

Learn more: https://www.weather.gov/ilm/hurricanehugo  

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Hurricane Florence, a large and slow moving category one hurricane, made landfall during the morning of September 14, 2018.  After the eye crossed Wrightsville Beach, NC at 7:15 a.m. the storm spent the next two days producing record-breaking rainfall across eastern North Carolina and a portion of northeastern South Carolina.  Over 30 inches of rain were measured in a few North Carolina locations, exceeding the highest single-storm rainfall amounts ever seen in this portion of the state.  A station in Loris, SC recorded 23.63 inches rain, setting a new state tropical cyclone rainfall record for the state of South Carolina. 

Record river flooding developed over the next several days along the Cape Fear, Northeast Cape Fear, Lumberton, and Waccamaw Rivers, destroying roads and damaging thousands of homes and businesses.  A USGS report indicated nine river gauges reported floods exceeding their 1-in-500 year expected return intervals.  Although Florence will be remembered primarily for its record-breaking flooding, wind gusts over 100 mph caused significant damage to buildings, trees, and electrical service across the Cape Fear area, and a storm surge of over four feet eroded beaches and damaged property between Cape Fear and Cape Lookout. 

The state of North Carolina reported 42 fatalities due to the hurricane and preliminary damage estimates of $16.7 billion.  An estimated 74,563 structures were flooded and 5,214 people were reportedly rescued from flooding.  Nearly 140,000 North Carolinians registered for disaster assistance after the storm.  South Carolina Emergency Management reported 9 fatalities across the state; $607 million damage; 11,386 homes with moderate or major damage; 455,000 people evacuated, and 11 dams breached or failed.

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