China Explained

Today I want to write some thoughts on the Taiwan issue. My core thinking is: China is defensive on the Taiwan Strait issue and still hopes to solve the problem peacefully. It only uses force as a last resort, especially not "proactively attacking" and seeking to resort to force to solve the problem through "man-made" excuses. 

When its sovereignty and territorial integrity are endangered, this is a matter of national justice, a fundamental bottom line, and historical responsibility. Beijing's will is extremely firm, and it will not even simply make decisions based on short-term gains and losses. Its strong determination may be underestimated by the Taiwan authorities and the United States/West. There have been precedents for similar things in history, that is, during the Korean War. 

The United States is not what it used to be. After a series of failed wars, especially Iraq and Afghanistan, it has passed its "point of no return", and will no longer participate in military hot wars that are not directly related to the country’s territory. Therefore, no matter how the U.S. government tries to provoke the Taiwan Strait issue, no matter how much it hopes to use the Taiwan issue to check, balance and contain China’s rise and development, if an armed conflict really occurs, the U.S. will not send troops to support Taiwan because of such behavior is no domestic political support

Actually, what the United States has to do is to provide strategic, tactical, and technical "peripheral" support to Taiwan, but not to send physical bodies to fight. After the armed actions took place, allies and international forces would be mobilized to launch long-term sanctions against China, seeking long-term and sustained strikes and suppressions against China.

The above is my basic judgment. It is also the starting point of the following 11 points of discussion. 

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The situation across the Taiwan Strait has suddenly become tense recently.

On October 26, U.S. Secretary of State Blinken suddenly publicly expressed the U.S. support for Taiwan’s participation in the UN system.

Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party authorities also followed. On October 28, Tsai publicly admitted that there were US troops stationed in Taiwan for training purposes.

So, what does the United States want to do? Is it going to have a showdown with the mainland on the Taiwan issue?

I don’t think so.

Now that the US domestic economy is in a mess, it simply does not have the ability to start a war on the Taiwan Strait.

I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. 

The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone’s lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.

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In a BBC report on China a few days ago, where the word "ziganwu" appeared.

In my impression, as China continues to develop, mainstream Western media increasingly use "Chinese vocabulary" in China-related reports, such as "taikonaut", meaning Chinese astronaut, which, to a certain extent, is also the increase in China's international influence. 

Few Western mainstream media talked about "ziganwu" before, and the BBC is the first of its kind.

But unsurprisingly, the BBC severely distorted and slandered the term in its report. From what I understand, the term refers to a group of people on the internet spontaneously using their knowledge and opinions to criticize the people who slandered and attacked China. In the United States and other Western countries, this kind of behavior" is called "nationalism" and "public opinion propaganda".

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On September 23, the U.S. Department of Commerce held a semiconductor supply chain summit at the White House. The name looks grand, but it is actually very dirty, which is to force the chip giants to help the United States solve the chip shortage.

 The giants have to participate. Those named are TSMC, Samsung, SK Hynix, Intel, etc.

 These giants can be said to be the best in the industry, but now it seems that they are nothing more than senior wage earners of American capitalists. From this perspective, Huawei has much more guts.

 At the meeting, U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimundo claimed that in order to determine the cause of the global chip shortage, the U.S. government needs more information about the chip supply chain, requiring chip manufacturers such as TSMC and Samsung to submit it within 45 days.

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Recently, the Financial Times speculated that China tested a "hypersonic missile with nuclear warheads" in August. However, this may also be a spacecraft test. 

On October 18, the spokesperson of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs hosted a regular press conference and responded to reporters' questions. “This test is a routine spacecraft test to verify the spacecraft's reusable technology, which is of great significance for reducing the cost of spacecraft, and can provide a convenient and cheap way for humans to use space peacefully. Many companies in the world have carried out similar experiments. Before the spacecraft returns, it is the supporting equipment of the spacecraft that will be burned and disintegrated in the process of falling into the atmosphere, and will fall in the East China Sea. China will work with other countries in the world for the peaceful use of space for the benefit of mankind.”

Therefore, the news that the Financial Times received from the United States is purely speculation, and it is finally confirmed that it is a spacecraft test rather than a hypersonic weapon. So what does this incident show? This shows two points: First, the so-called "hypersonic weapons" are technically connected with spacecraft technology, and the United States is likely to conduct research on this, but there are no mature results. On this point, we can learn from The research direction of the US space weaponization. The second is that China is testing the technology, which the US does not have. Therefore, the US is very nervous.

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By coincidence, as soon as Donald Trump came to power, the US Embassy in Cuba, which had only been open for a year, had an accident.
Several CIA agents working in the embassy at the time described a sense of pressure in their heads and heard sounds similar to cicadas. They feel sick and tired, and can't remember things. They also complained of ear pain and hearing loss.
Later, these human brain scans showed tissue damage similar to that caused by a car accident or bomb explosion. The U.S. government was terrified. Everyone fell ill and had to find out the cause, but they searched but couldn't find it.
Not finding it is actually a good thing for Americans, so let's just say what you want.

I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. 

The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone’s lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.

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Recently, the Taiwan issue has received great attention. Everyone thinks that this has something to do with the fate of China in the next few years. The following are some of my analyses of relations between the Taiwan Strait. In fact, it is not analysis, but some speculations and judgments. 

These can be summarised into ten points:

1. Beijing hopes to solve the Taiwan issue by peaceful means.

2. Beijing can wait (although it is reluctant), but there should be no timetable for reunification.

3. In the foreseeable future, peaceful means cannot resolve the Taiwan issue.

4. Even so, Beijing will not take the initiative to use force to reunify Taiwan 

5. Taiwan's politicians will continue to engage in "Taiwan independence politics", but they will not go further to avoid intensifying conflicts 

6. The biggest risk to reunification comes from the United States, especially if the Trump government comes to power again. 

7. If its bottom line is challenged, Beijing will definitely attack by force, and its determination exceeds outside expectations.

8. Even if Beijing tries to dominate Taiwan by force, the United States will not directly send troops to intervene

9. US's main countermeasures will be to launch sanctions and embargoes against China.

10. The United States is the biggest hidden danger: the more China-US relations deteriorate, the greater the possibility of Beijing's military reunification.

 I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. 

The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone’s lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.

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It can be said that the Sino-US relations have deteriorated to the lowest point since the normalization of Sino-US relations. However, the responsibility does not lie with China.

The United States has used various insidious tricks to contain China in the past ten years, such as from the pivot to Asia and TPP during the Obama period, to the trade war and technological war during the Trump period, and the Xinjiang card, Hong Kong card, virus origin card during Biden period.

Joe Biden even proposed a "competition, cooperation, and confrontation" are the three areas of Sino-US relations. To put it simply, it means to seek cooperation with China in areas where it has advantages; to cut off supply and sanctions China in areas where it has advantages.

According to their logic, China must also cooperate with the United States in sanctions against China, this is a proper robber logic.

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According to the South China Morning Post, John Thornton, the US chairman of the China-US Financial Roundtable and former Goldman Sachs president, spent three weeks in Shanghai for quarantine in early August and met with the Vice Premier of China in Beijing at the end of August. then left for Xinjiang for a week. He stayed in China for a total of six weeks.

The SCMP quoted a "person familiar with the matter" who requested anonymity, saying, "Thornton's trip was similar in nature to Henry Kissinger's secret trip to China in 1971."

I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. 

The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone’s lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.

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China finally forced the U.S. to say "We do not pursue decoupling with China, we want to reconnect."

US Trade Representative Katherine Tai delivered a speech on China's trade policy on the 4th, categorizing China as "it has not abided by global trade rules for a long time." The accusation of China's "state-centered and non-market trade practices" has generally shown a tough attitude towards China. At the same time, she said that she will not seek to intensify trade tensions with China and will initiate a targeted "tariff exclusion procedure" to exempt Chinese goods from American tariff. Asked about decoupling from China, Tai said it was not realistic for the world's two largest economies to stop trading with each other. "I think that the issue perhaps is, what are the goals we're looking for in a kind of 'recoupling.'"

I set up and operate this channel alone, hoping to share the real China with the world as well as clarify misconceptions and lies against China. 

The continued development of China is the biggest game-changer in this century that affects all aspects of everyone’s lives. Embrace the change and seize the opportunity.

Creating original content is hard work, your support is what keeps me going. Please donate to this channel: https://paypal.me/ChinaExplained?locale.x=en_GB