There is not much I enjoy more than sitting down with some of the most innovative thinkers on an issue. I recently had the opportunity to do so on a topic I have been thinking about for some time: the commercial real estate market post-COVID and the US housing crisis. Over this three-part series, we will introduce the problem and challenges around commercial real estate in the mid-2020s, the future of where (and how) employees work, and take a deep dive into the nation’s housing crisis and propose some solutions. In this special three-part series, I am joined by industry experts John Petrovski, Mike Flanagan, Bart Peterson, Walter Calhoun, Andrew Gay, and Gilbert Paiz to delve into the current state of commercial real estate. In Episode 1, we deeply dive into the impact of rising interest rates and regulatory pressures on the market, the cultural shift towards remote work, and the potential for repurposing commercial properties.

The remote work trend has profoundly influenced the commercial real estate market, leading to a notable decrease in office space demand and sparking urban revitalization efforts. They ask whether the 20% decline in property values is a temporary phase rather than a precursor to a market crash. They note that the market’s dynamics can significantly differ based on specific buildings and locations, and he underscores the importance of being prepared for higher interest rates and down payment requirements. Investors should focus on long-term goals and diversify their portfolios to navigate these turbulent times effectively, ensuring sustained success in the evolving commercial real estate landscape. Their conversation underscores the importance of adaptability and diversification amid economic fluctuations.

Highlights and Issues

Tom Fox

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