Coronavirus Central

Episode 26 sees a quarantine imposed across Italy as prisoners revolt, the economy shudders, and doctors tell of war zones as the #Covid-19 pandemic is raging beyond their ability to try.  We look at the four critical shortages that hinder the effort:  Lack of PPE, lack of antiviral drugs, lack of ICU beds, and lack of ventilators.  That last point with a nationwide hospital supply of only 160k may prove the inescapable obstacle as we see multiple reports describe people dying from the inability to breathe.  Who lives and who dies is the question. The question to quarantine or not is considered, and we look also at food vulnerabilities.

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Viral spread through air greater than previously thought: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/science/article/3074351/coronavirus-can-travel-twice-far-official-safe-distance-and-stay

Case study finds all patients recovered still carry infection: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762452

Xi claims victory for China in Wuhan as residents differ: https://qz.com/1815533/xi-jinping-visits-wuhan-for-first-time-since-coronavirus-outbreak/

Italy under lockdown to stop spread of Covid: https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/09/europe/coronavirus-italy-lockdown-intl/index.html

Italy suspends mortgage payments: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/coronavirus-italy-economy-mortgage-payments-symptoms-lockdown-latest-a9389486.html

Italian doctor describes war zone in ER in Bergamo: https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-italian-doctor-says-fighting-covid-19-outbreak-is-like-war-11954229

Another Italian report on severity of coronavirus: https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1237142891077697538.html

Prisoner riot in Italy: https://nypost.com/2020/03/09/six-dead-in-italy-as-prisoners-riot-over-coronavirus-emergency-lockdowns/

Austria shuts border to Italy for all Italians: https://www.derstandard.at/jetzt/livebericht/2000115559530/coronavirus-ganz-italien-wird-zur-sperrzone-oesterreichs-regierung-reagiert-mit?responsive=false

UK delays enacting quarantine measures: https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-51812326

Sacramento County, CA moves past quarantines:

Our fifth week of service begins with Episode 25.  A report from Japan of the first coronavirus related case of meningitis kicks off our coverage.  16 million Italians are now under quarantine to arrest the spread of the deadly pandemic even as doctors in Italy report the ICUs are overloaded, younger people are getting sick in a later wave, and that rationing access to hospitals will be necessary.  We look at how Germany is slowly getting up to speed and how borders are starting to form in Europe.  A trip to New York which is racing to surpass Washington for case numbers shows community spread is increasing, and we see Houston following a similar model just a few days behind.  New mathematical modeling reveals thousands of cases likely to be present in the United States.  On the testing front, America asks Korea for help as the University of Washington pilots a drive thru testing facillity to increase safety and sanitation, needed as we now know air conditioners may spread #Covid-19.

Support our Kickstarter launching today! at: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/coronaviruscentral/coronavirus-central-the-pandemic-podcast

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Meningitis related to Covid observed in Japan: https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2020/03/08/national/7-eleven-yamanashi-coronavirus/#.XmYhzXJKipp

Italy quarantines northern portion of country: https://apnews.com/f3be69cc2cf55f74a35118c557ad8461

Italian Intensitve Care Association claims hard choices must be made about who gets care as cases exceed capacity for treatment: https://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2020/03/07/coronavirus-i-medici-delle-terapie-intensive-in-lombardia-azioni-tempestive-o-disastrosa-calamita-sanitaria-lipotesi-delle-priorita-daccesso-prima-chi-ha-piu-probabilita-di-sopravvivenza/5729020/

Italian doctors inform that ICU demand is rising with younger patients showing infection later than older victims: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/coronavirus-italy-doctors-intensive-care-deaths-a9384356.html

Germany crosses 1,000 cases with closures on the horizon: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-germany-spahn/coronavirus-germany-promises-support-to-companies-urges-public-to-stay-home-idUSKBN20V0PK

Swiss unable to import protective equipment from Germany: https://nzzas.nzz.ch/schweiz/offener-stre

We close our fourth week with Episode 24.  New evidence emerges to substantiate claims of neurological damage, substantial risks to cardiovascular health, and we find Covid may not just mutate, but also reconfigure itself in a process called genetic recombination.  A DOD Study suggests a flu shot might heighten your risk to contract any coronavirus, and we see two different studies about how the new endemic virus will have major consequences for our medical system at first and our society at large.  China is almost as frustrated with America's tepid response as we are here at home as we watch the escalation continue.

Support our Kickstarter launching Monday! at: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/coronaviruscentral/coronavirus-central-the-pandemic-podcast

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus Central

Florida reports first two deaths from coronavirus: https://www.foxnews.com/us/coronavirus-florida-first-fatalities-east-coast

Inside an Italian ICU (skip to 5:45): https://www.la7.it/piazzapulita/video/coronavirus-dentro-il-reparto-di-terapia-intensiva-05-03-2020-311522

More confirmation of nervous system infection from China: http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2020-03/05/c_138846529.htm

Cardiovascular impact from Covid common: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41569-020-0360-5

Genetic recombination a feature of coronavirus: https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa219/5781085

Genomic analysis of Covid spread: https://nextstrain.org/narratives/ncov/sit-rep/2020-03-04

14% of recovered cases test positive again in Guangdong: https://www.straitstimes.com/asia/east-asia/14-of-recovered-coronavirus-patients-in-chinas-guangdong-tested-positive-again

China suggests increasing post treatment quarantine to 28 days: http://www.bjnews.com.cn/news/2020/03/06/700265.html

US DOD study suggests viral interference from influenza vaccinations may reduce resistance to coronavirus: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X19313647?via%3Dihub

University of Washington/Seattle Flu Study estimates of growth by Trevor Bedford: https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1236097553520660483

Liz Sprecht Analysis of why medical system will break:

In Episode 23, we're looking at a new study from Shenzhen in China about how this virus spreads and the suggestion that children, thankfully spared the worst of the disease to all current accounts, may also be a primary source of transmission.  Feces might offer another alternate equally valid and more easily accessible path for future testing.  We share the story of a nurse who got sick and the system that failed her as Washington State calls on Federal help for resupply of key equipment revealing we likely do not yet have all we will need as this spreads nationwide in America.  Congress' 8 billion dollar spending bill represents the first action toward putting major additional resources into the fight which we analyze.  We report upon BC seeing community spread in the Northwest in Canada, and we look at the UK and their seeming decision to let this blow through choosing a terrible set of medical consequence over perhaps other economic dangers.  Are homeless shelters one part of a larger government plan hiding in plain sight to prepare for mass quarantines?  Lastly, some good news as we learn while dogs may get sick, best evidence suggests they are not a health threat to us for Covid-19.

Support our Kickstarter launching Monday! at: https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/coronaviruscentral/coronavirus-central-the-pandemic-podcast

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus Central

Links:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

Study from Shenzhen, China about Covid-19 epidemiology and transmissibility which looks at children as potential spread source: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.03.20028423v1.article-info

Journal of American Virology Article suggests feces could provide a safer mechanism for testing: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/jmv.25742

California nurse in quarantine because established PPE protocol was inadequate; could not get testing from CDC: https://act.nationalnursesunited.org/page/-/files/graphics/NU-Quarantine-RN-press-conf-statement.pdf

Link to Washington Post article about WA request to DC for strategic reserve medical supplies: https://twitter.com/EndGameWW3/status/12

In this twenty-second episode, we report new evidence from China which further suggests #Covid-19 is a neurological disorder, as well as another example of an infected person who was nominally "cured" who has now died.  India has found their first cluster, California has their first reported death, and South Africa is now infected.  An NHS doctor from the UK lays out what help ICUs need and Singapore develops a new three hour 99% accurate test.  The NHS stops reporting daily and Florida refuses to expand testing as two examples of bad policy endangering the public trust.   Lastly, we look at a predictive model from Australia suggesting this will cost 3-10% of the world economy and a death toll in the tens of millions in the best-case scenario.

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Links:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

China: Recovered patiend dies four days after discharge: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3065091/coronavirus-recovered-patient-dies-china-reports-139-new-cases

China finds first case with hard evidence of neurological infection serving as cause of death for Covid: https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1181630.shtml

First major cluster detected in India: https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/05/asia/coronavirus-covid-19-update-india-intl-hnk/index.html

First death in California, emergency in Los Angeles: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2020/03/05/coronavirus-live-updates-us-death-toll-schools-amtrak/4953471002/

First reported case in South Africa: https://m.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/breaking-sas-first-positive-case-of-covid-19-confirmed-20200305 

NHS Doctor: ICUs not ready: https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2020/mar/03/icu-doctor-nhs-coronavirus-pandemic-hospitals

UK now reporting weekly: https://www.theguardian.com/w

For Episode 21, we begin laying foundations for the Human War against Covid-19 by reporting we now have evidence there are (at least) two dominant and different strains of the virus in the larger public, with a more aggressive "L" strain that appears to have evolved from an ancestral but perhaps less easily detectible "S" strain.  Adding that to our list of questions, we review what happened from Wuhan in detail as precusor to how other world cities are approaching their outbreaks.  We see Qom struggling badly in Iran, Italy's health system in peril in Milan, and Daegu is even taxing the robust Korean effort.  What lessons can Seattle learn as researchers think that city is three weeks away, perhaps less, from going through the same problems? 

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus CentralLinks:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

Fed cuts interest rate by .5%.  Stocks still tank: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/fed-cuts-rates-by-half-a-percentage-point-to-combat-coronavirus-slowdown.html

SARS-CoV-2 mutating into at least two strains: https://academic.oup.com/nsr/advance-article/doi/10.1093/nsr/nwaa036/5775463

WHO raises Covid-19 death rate to 3.4%: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/03/who-says-coronavirus-death-rate-is-3point4percent-globally-higher-than-previously-thought.html

Review of major events from Wuhan, China, and Covid-19 from December to February: https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/02/coronavirus-outbreak-timeline/

Video from Qom, Iran of many filled body bags with coronavirus victims (translation in replies): https://twitter.com/CoronavirusCast/status/1234621596788236289

Iranians lick Shi'ite shrine in defiance of coronavirus: https://nypost.com/2020/03/02/iranians-licking-religious-shrines-in-defiance-of-coronavirus-spread/

Iran frees 54,000 people from prison to arrest spread: https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-

With our twentieth episode, Coronavirus Central evolves in a new direction as we seek to make sense of how to deal with the burgeoning pandemic versus reacting and reporting to cases.  An active mindset based on reality and threat assessment is emerged instead of a reactive mindset based on feelings and risk mitigation.  We look at why South Korea's model is working better, why Europe's is not, and how taking the fight to Covid, declaring war against this common threat to humanity, is precisely the right mindset for how we must mobilize all people and all capacities of our society for victory.  Crucial to that defense is understanding and developing the ability of our front line defense, our medical systems, and we report upon the shortfalls in ICU beds, protection gear, and information being shared with medical practitioners and citizens alike, with suggested action both big and necessary needed for the fight ahead.  Our thanks to our 20,000 daily listeners, as we ask your help to grow the human resistance to the virus that targets us all.

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus CentralLinks:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

Coronavirus cases outside China are 9 times higher than inside: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/02/who-says-9-times-more-coronavirus-cases-outside-china-than-inside-in-last-24-hours.html

CNN Updates: Up to one million Americans to be tested by week's end: https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-03-03-20-intl-hnk/index.html

Six deaths now reported from Washington State: https://www.cnbc.com/2020/03/02/seattle-area-officials-report-3-new-coronavirus-deaths-bringing-us-total-to-5.html

South Korea declares "War" on Coronavirus and implements stronger measures: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/03/coronavirus-south-korea-declares-war-on-outbreak-as-who-experts-arrive-in-iran

Italian Covid-19 victim leaves hospital, takes taxi, goes home: https://www.ecodibergamo.it/stories/Cronaca/scappa-dallospedale-con-il

It's a sobering Episode 19 where we start by looking at rapid worldwide progression of the Covid-19 pandemic.  We start by evaluating risk factors to have a better understand of this disease, noting the elevated cancer, diabetes, and obesity numbers, as well as having a larger elderly population, suggest our vulnerable population percentage may be higher than China.  Two new articles are covered in exhaustive detail cataloging both that Covid may behave like AIDS in actively suppressing the immune system, and detailing how that function could be causing people to literally forget to breathe due to neurological damage that appears likely to be enduring as Covid has been demonstrated to breach the blood-brain barrier.  The CDC continues its string of bungled quarantines and releasing sick patients to the general public as we compliment the FDA for higher competence in working to get test kits out there, and we look at a promising serological test which can potentially identify those previously, or perhaps in remission, with their illnes that is being developed in Singapore.  We look at evidence spread happened sooner, wider, and more often than predicted, offering our own modeling to better understand the disease.  Clusters appear to be revealing themselves in Seattle, San Francisco, and Toronto, as new cases hit Florida and New York.  We assess which areas are at highest risk based on the evidence.  Make sure you get masks and keep them on, as well as eye protection, your life may depend upon it.

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus CentralLinks:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

China's case count excludes asymptomatic cases, reducing potential numbers by 80% or more: https://www.caixinglobal.com/2020-03-01/chinas-decision-to-leave-asymptomatic-patients-off-coronavirus-infection-tally-sparks-debate-101522529.html

Autopsies reveal AIDS like function in Covid-19: https://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1181121.shtml

Covid-19 infects the brain to hinder neurological function - patients forget to breathe: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/jmv.25728

Singapore implements new antibody test to detect who has Covid: https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020/02/singapore-cla

In Episode 18, I share a little bit more about myself and some of the reasons why this podcast has proven particularly effective at being able to find information you don't find elsewhere .  We look at the WHO report from China and question its integrity given actions by the WHO and China to suppress information throughout this outbreak.  Cases are breaking out along the West Coast of the US now as we ask again why we keep seeing more stories about "cured" people test positive.  A partial list of medications we expect to see restricted is shared, and we encourage you to prepare this weekend with a thirty day food supply while you still can.

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus CentralLinks:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

WHO China Report: https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/who-china-joint-mission-on-covid-19-final-report.pdf

China closing laboratory which sequenced Covid-19: https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3052966/chinese-laboratory-first-shared-coronavirus-genome-world-ordered

How Italy is reducing case count: https://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/italy-virus-count-methods-agencys-urging-69254949

"Cured" patient tests positive after quarantine: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8055857/Coronavirus-patient-recovered-disease-tests-positive-four-days-later.html

Reinfection case in Israel: https://www.jpost.com/Breaking-News/Third-person-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-in-Israel-619215

Case in Santa Clara County, CA: https://www.mv-voice.com/news/2020/02/28/as-third-coronavirus-case-comes-to-light-in-santa-clara-county-palo-alto-unified-alerted-to-parent-exposed-to-disease

Case in Washington County, OR: https://www.oregonlive.com/news/2020/02/co

In our seventeenth episode, we look at the tightening release of government information as the White House puts a gag on the Federal government sharing information about the outbreak.  We see a story about the UK's plan to institute care panels and their contingency planning is removed.  A report from Italy shares how ICU beds are filling up as one Chinese province reports 14% of Covid-19 victims test as reinfected.  We look closely at why Iran is in such trouble including the likelihood much of their government is at risk from this virus.  We see that Covid-19 has probably infected many, hurt some, but caution against misinterpreting finding those cases that exist as seeing them as an outbreak beyond something likely already here. 

Join the Telegram chat at: https:/t.me/coronaviruscentral.comFacebook: @coronaviruscentralTwitter: @coronaviruscastYouTube:  Coronavirus CentralLinks:Latest statistics: https://covid19info.live/Case sources: https://bnonews.com/Covid-19 news: http://covidreport.net/Support the PPE Act for safety for patients and physicians: PPE Act PetitionCDC US Case and Test Count: CDC Update

Updates from around the world: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2020/02/28/coronavirus-latest-updates-china-hubei-south-korea.html

14% of Covid-19 patients test positive on second test in Guangdong: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8052173/14-CENT-coronavirus-patients-tested-positive-SECOND-time-one-Chinese-region.html

White House gags government from public testimony: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8052775/White-House-GAGS-government-health-experts-speaking-coronavirus.html

HHS whistleblower alleges improper protection used with evacuees: https://time.com/5792135/coronavirus-whistleblower-hhs-employees/ 

Deleted story from Express.co.uk about care panels in UK: https://twitter.com/CoronavirusCast/status/1233083236529639424?s=20 

Stress mounting on Italian ICU system as case load builds: https://www.ilfattoquotidiano.it/2020/02/27/coronavirus-terapia-intensiva-dellospedale-di-cremona-sovraccarica-quanti-sono-i-posti-per-la-ria