Critical Point Podcast

The modeling creates a point of view of the 2020s to the stock markets and economies.Need to survive 2020-21. Then the bull market and economic growth into 2028-31.See the details.This is how the market and the economy really works.It has to do with debt, money printing, ambition, creativity, productivity, activity.And includes the behavior of We the people.

The model-based opinion of trend fluctuation of a REIT index. A critical point for near-term REITs.Insight to real estate.

Larry Williams showed a pattern with 95% correct past performance when the stock market was firmer into Jul 4.My model allows for a top that late but monitors for a peak as soon as this week. The US stock market is due for a critical point. Watch the podcast for details.The sequential trend and business cycle modeling can be used as reverse engineering to create a forecast of news. Price can forecast fundamental change!

The model is working well. On track. No change to overall outlook.A long-term low coming up for a market?

Still seeking a downturn by next month. Still long-term bullish. Headwinds are present and so are risks to sizable setbacks next 12 months.Eurozone Flash Jun PMI recovered remarkably. See the details.

6/19/20 Stock market:L4 trend is due to peak early today. Lower into Monday?L3 trend is likely up into next week.L1/L2 trends are the first and second most important during a year. A critical point for those trends is due, still.Today's podcast shows a chart from an article on Marketwatch.com of a long-term 'predictor' of the market relative to household investing in the stock market.Has the seasonal slump of less investor interest begun? Do some say that the best returns during a year occur from Nov into May?I find the 2020 market as rather orderly (internal structure) even though there were record-sized falls and rallies. The model worked well.Have a great weekend. Stay safe -healthy.

Special Report on the model-based outlook of climate versus crops versus prices 2021-24.