Critical Point Podcast

To subscribe: Critical Point Podcast

$27.99 per month recurring. Billing begins two weeks from signup (a form of 2-week free trial). Cancel anytime.Primary focus on the US stock market and the major grains. Short-term to super-long-term forecasts from the business cycle model, including signals.Additional model-based opinion/signals include global stock market indexes, interest rates, dollar, bitcoin, gold, oil, the boom/bust cycle of the economy, and the cyclical climate events that can cause crop problems.

For information, education, explanation see criticalpointpod.com.

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @rich_posson

To subscribe: Critical Point Podcast

$27.99 per month recurring. Billing begins two weeks from signup (a form of 2-week free trial). Cancel anytime.Primary focus on the US stock market and the major grains. Short-term to super-long-term forecasts from the business cycle model, including signals.Additional model-based opinion/signals include global stock market indexes, interest rates, dollar, bitcoin, gold, oil, the boom/bust cycle of the economy, and the cyclical climate events that can cause crop problems.

For information, education, explanation see criticalpointpod.com.

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @rich_posson

The Jun PMI manufacturing came in at 53 vs 56.1 the month prior. Extended the correctly forecast downtrend this year that signaled a slower economy.

The business cycle model shows a time frame for an end of economy and stock market rout.

I show the long-term performance of the PMI as indicator of the US economy with a business cycle perspective.

Are we in a recession? If not will we be so? And what of the business cycle this decade?

L3 alert for the major stock indexes. No change to outlook for this month per the L1/L2 and long-term trends.

I am now a major business cycle bear on gold, but the minor long-term cycle could support later this year.

Chance for a long-term bear in inflation and crude oil. But see the outlook for this month.

New downside targets for bitcoin but see the stance for this month into Sep.

 

To subscribe: Critical Point Podcast

$27.99 per month recurring. Billing begins two weeks from signup (a form of 2-week free trial). Cancel anytime.Primary focus on the US stock market and the major grains. Short-term to super-long-term forecasts from the business cycle model, including signals.Additional model-based opinion/signals include global stock market indexes, interest rates, dollar, bitcoin, gold, oil, the boom/bust cycle of the economy, and the cyclical climate events that can cause crop problems.

For information, education, explanation see criticalpointpod.com.

Email: [email protected]

Twitter: @rich_posson