Cygnal Pulse Podcast

Cygnal's Pulse Pod Ep. 79 - “Karens” Freak Out Over ICE Raids as Hispanic Support for Deportations Surges: NVT Poll w/ Pollsters Brent Buchanan and Nick Weinstein - Join us for the latest episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into the most recent political trends and public opinion shifts that are reshaping America's political landscape. Our data-driven analysis reveals some surprising developments that you won't want to miss.

Highlights:

• Spike Alert: For the first time since September 2022, threats to democracy (18%) has overtaken inflation and the economy (17%) as the top priority among likely voters. This marks an 18-point drop for concerns about inflation/economy since April. This shift is mostly driven by Democrats (-15 since June), younger voters (-17), and non-white voters (-11). 
  
  
• Immune to Changing Circumstances: 78 percent of voters who switched to Trump in 2024 or were new Trump voters said that he keeps his promises better than most politicians. Half of all voters agree, and 38 percent said Trump keeps his campaign promises “much better than most.” 
  
  
• Tale of Two Republics – CA vs. TX: Voters prefer Texas as a national model over California, except on abortion, which ranks lowest (1%) in top priorities. Even on gun control, Texas (32%) outranks California (27%) as well as on crime and public safety (TX-35% to CA-16%) 

• Karens on ICE: As we noted above, prevailing narratives don’t align with where voters are on issues surrounding illegal immigration. But who are the voters most apoplectic about the recent ICE raids? While voters are split overall, it’s mostly women – specifically, older women moved from +32 net on generic deportation to net-even while non-college educated women moved from +26 net to net-even. 
  
  
• Lions and Hammers: The Israeli-led Operation Rising Lion to destroy Iran’s terrorist apparatus and deter offensive attacks had 50 percent overall support driven largely by men (+29 net justified). The American-led Operation Midnight Hammer had more overall support (57%) with a quarter of Democrats saying the attack was justified. Swing voters also agree (58-32 in favor). Depending on voters’ cable news preferences, the cause of the Israel-Iran conflict is drastically different. If you watch MSNBC, it’s Israel’s fault (+9%) but if you watch Fox News, it’s because of Iran’s nuclear weapons ambitions (+15%). 

Cygnal's Pulse Pod Ep. 78 - Record Number Say Nation is on Right Track; Voters Back Trump’s ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’ for Tax Relief and Border Security: Poll w/ Pollsters Brent Buchanan and Alex Tarascio - Join us for the latest episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into the most recent political trends and public opinion shifts that are reshaping America's political landscape. Our data-driven analysis reveals some surprising developments that you won't want to miss.

Highlights:

• Big and Beautiful: Parents (+11 net support), swing voters (+9), and those earning under $75k (+5), are the most supportive of the “One Big Beautiful Bill” proving President Trump’s policy content is a winning message with his unique and growing coalition. When the bill is explicitly tied to the President, female support shifts 12 points to the negative. While Democrats claim the bill is a handout to the wealthy, those making over $200,000 are the least supportive (-16) group by income. 
• Tariffs Explained: A great irony among Democrat voters is that 54 percent say they prefer a free market approach on trade without government intervention. Overall, when President Trump’s tariff rationale is explained, a plurality of voters (34%) support using tariffs to pressure companies to bring production home with an additional 26 percent supporting the goal but not the method – showing broad support for the idea of reshoring. 
• Antisemitism: 82 percent of voters say they are concerned about rising antisemitism in the United States. When asked which groups are treated fairly or unfairly, Republicans and Democrats see completely different problems. Republicans say Jewish (57%), White (40%), and Native American (38%) peoples were treated most unfairly whereas Democrats say Black (73%), Palestinian (70%), and Native American (70%) peoples. Older voters are 10 points more likely than those under 55 to say Jewish people face unfair treatment. 
• Death and Taxes: When asked about specific provisions in the “BBB”, the top three most supported performers all concern taxation. Increasing the standard deduction for seniors (24%) took the top spot, followed by eliminating taxes on tips and overtime (17%) and permanently extending the Trump tax cuts (17%). Interest in the bill’s tax provisions comes alongside another record number (47%) who think the country is headed in the right direction and a growing sense of fiscal hawkishness with voters saying that reducing government waste and spending is a top priority at 12 percent. 

Cygnal's Pulse Pod Ep. 77 - AOC More Popular than Schumer, Trump Image Improving, GOP Decimating Dems on Key Issue Trust: NVT Poll w/ Pollsters Brent Buchanan and John Rogers - Join us for the latest episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into the most recent political trends and public opinion shifts that are reshaping America's political landscape. Our data-driven analysis reveals some surprising developments that you won't want to miss.

Highlights:

• First 100 Days: despite complete saturation of negative news coverage (92%), President Trump and Congressional Republicans outpace Democrats’ favorability/trust maintaining an edge on multiple key issues – on the economy (R+2), cost of living (R+2), illegal immigration (R+25), crime and public safety (R+13), cutting waste/spending (R+18), and foreign affairs (R+2). Married women (8%), union members (10%), and Hispanics (4%) also all swung to the GOP since April. 
• AOC vs. Schumer: fresh off the “Fighting Oligarchy” tour, AOC’s favorables (39% fav., 40% unfav.) versus that of Senator Chuck Schumer’s (33% fav., 49% unfav.) highlight not just a potential contentious Democratic primary battle for the senator’s seat in 2026, but accentuated ideological battles within the party. Add in that former President Obama, now eight years removed from office, is still seen as the leader (13%) of the Democratic Party, dominating all others like Schumer (10%), Harris (7%), Booker (6%), AOC (5%), and Jeffries (5%) – with most voters (33%) saying they were unsure of who the leader is. 
• Above All Else: 52 percent of voters said President Trump should focus the most on reducing the costs of living. No other issue comes even half as close with cutting wasteful spending (21%), bringing jobs back to America (18%), securing the border (18%) and deporting dangerous illegals (18%).
• Negotiate Everything: 58 percent support President Trump’s attempts to renegotiate trade deals with foreign countries, including 63% of swing voters. Additionally, 48 percent of voters support increasing tariffs on China as a way to force better trading terms for the United States.  
• DOGE Disconnect: 21 percent of voters want President Trump to focus on cutting government spending while DOGE, the entity largely in charge of this endeavor, has an underwater image of 48 unfavorable versus 44 percent favorable. This represents a messaging opportunity for the White House to showcase DOGE’s right-sizing of the federal government.  

Cygnal's Pulse Pod: 48% Support Trump Negotiating Settlement to War in Ukraine as Optimism at Home Rises - Join us for the latest episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into the most recent political trends and public opinion shifts that are reshaping America's political landscape. Our data-driven analysis reveals some surprising developments that you won't want to miss.

Highlights:

Top Priorities: ‘Threats to democracy’ rose five points to an all-time high (22%) while concerns about inflation and the economy ticked up by two points remaining the number one priority. Trump’s massive action to curtail illegal border crossings by over 90 percent and deploy more resources has resulted in a three-point drop among Americans’ top issues. Sentiments at Home vs. Abroad: for the second straight month since we’ve been running this NVT poll, optimism about the direction of the country (45%) is at its highest level. Additionally, 42 percent believe things are getting better in America. Looking abroad, just 27 percent think things on the world stage are getting better while 64 percent say things are getting worse. America’s Role: Less than half of Americans (43%) say America should play a leading role in promoting democracy worldwide while 38 percent say our role should be more supportive and 12 percent said we should be neutral. Negotiate with Putin? 48 percent support President Trump engaging in direct negotiations with Russian President Vladimir Putin to seek a resolution to the ongoing war with Ukraine. Sixty-nine percent of Democrats oppose this approach. Seventy-nine percent of Americans have an unfavorable view of Russia. Yay or NATO? Sentiment towards NATO has taken a hit over the past three years with only (55%) of Americans have a favorable opinion of NATO while 28 percent have an unfavorable opinion, largely driven by non-college men (41%) and Republicans (46%). Democrats (72%), Independents (61%), and college-educated (66%) have the most favorable opinions of NATO. United Nations Funding: views among Americans are mixed (43% support; 44% oppose) regarding President Trump’s executive order to withdraw funding for certain U.N. programs citing contradictions with American interests and value. Who’s the Superpower? 66 percent say the United States is the world’s leading superpower while 21 percent say China is the leader. Over a third (31%) of Black Americans say China is the leader over the U.S. Overall, Americans have an unfavorable opinion of China (75%) while only 13 percent have a favorable view. Every demo, except Blacks (45%), had a 50+ percent negative view of China. Most Disliked: three quarters (75%) of Americans of have an unfavorable opinion of Iran, including voters who switched to Trump (57%) in 2024 from Biden in 2020. Eighteen percent have no opinion of Iran and only seven percent have a favorable opinion. 

Quick Hits: 

• USA Image (71% favorable; 26% unfavorable) 

• Trump Image (47% favorable; 52% unfavorable) 

• Biden Image (40% favorable; 55% unfavorable) 

• Elon Musk Image (42% favorable; 53% unfavorable) 

• Congressional Republicans (44% favorable; 52% unfavorable) 

• Congressional Democrats (40% favorable; 54% unfavorable) 

Cygnal's Pulse Pod: LIVE from Dubai, New Data Shows Middle Easterners WAY More Positive About the U.S. Than Americans - Join us for this special episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into our recent poll in the Middle East (Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, and Qatar) presented by Pollsters Brent Buchanan and Alex Tarascio. This survey breaks down interesting views on international affairs and optimism about the direction of America among other key issues.

A Couple Episode Highlights:

Global Direction: generally speaking, 59 percent of respondents said things in the world are getting better versus 35 percent who said they’re getting worse. Contrast this with the United States where 64 percent said things were getting worse versus 27 percent saying things are on the upswing. 

Trump Image: Middle Easterners who have no opinion (13%) of Trump offset his unfavorable image (36%) while his favorable image (48%) is one point higher than Americans’ (47%). 


Effectiveness of NGOs? Middle Easterners, who have arguably had more interaction with international NGOs than American voters, are more likely to believe these organizations are effective in addressing global challenges (57% say NGOs are effective). In contrast, American voters, who have contributed more financially to NGOs, are more skeptical, with a plurality (43%) saying NGOs are ineffective.  

Global Images: 

• United States: among Americans (71% fav.; 26% unfav.), among Middle Easterners (55% fav.; 32% unfav.) 

• Russia: among Americans (11% fav.; 79% unfav.), among Middle Easterners (54% fav.; 30% unfav.) 

• China: among Americans (13% fav.; 75% unfav.), among Middle Easterners (69% fav.; 19% unfav.) 

• Iran: among Americans (7% fav.; 75% unfav.), among Middle Easterners (32% fav.; 48% unfav.) 

Brent Buchanan X - @brentbuc
Alex Tarascio X - @alextarascio

Cygnal's Pulse Pod: Trump's Surprising Surge and America's Shifting Landscape - Join us for the latest episode of Cygnal's Pulse Pod as we dive into the most recent political trends and public opinion shifts that are reshaping America's political landscape. Our data-driven analysis reveals some surprising developments that you won't want to miss.

Episode Highlights:

Black Men Love Trump: We'll explore the unexpected political realignment as Trump makes significant inroads with historically Democratic-leaning constituencies. A staggering 42% of black men now approve of Trump's job performance.

Top Issues: Discover why inflation and the economy have become the nation's primary concern, overshadowing previous hot-button issues like immigration.

Party Perceptions: We'll break down the current favorability ratings of Democrats and Republicans in Washington, with some surprising results.

COVID-19 Origins: Learn about the growing consensus regarding the origins of the COVID-19 virus, with two-thirds of Americans now believing it likely originated from a Chinese lab.

National Mood: Find out why Americans are suddenly feeling more optimistic about the country's direction.

Trump's Wins: We'll discuss several of Trump's policies that are gaining traction with the public, including:

• Merit-based hiring vs. DEI initiatives
• Declassification of historical assassination files
• Immigration and border security measures
• Support for reducing government spending
• Tariffs on China
• The surprising public opinion on acquiring Greenland

Mixed Reviews: We'll also touch on some policies receiving mixed public support, such as birthright citizenship and tariffs on Mexico and Canada. Don't miss this comprehensive look at the evolving American political landscape. Subscribe to Cygnal's Pulse Pod for in-depth analysis and expert insights on the latest trends shaping our nation's future.

Brent Buchanan X - @brentbuc
John Rogers X - @johnrogersal

In this special BONUS episode of the Cygnal Pulse Pod, President and Founder Brent Buchanan, together with Vice President Brock McCleary, discuss insights into the latest data shifts as the 2024 election cycle reaches its final stretch. Our experts take a deeper dive into the data in this podcast episode and illuminate pivotal trends and changes in voter behavior, offering a timely examination of the data’s implications for the current political landscape with just days to go until Election Day. Listen now and SUBSCRIBE!

On the latest episode of the Cygnal Pulse Pod, Cygnal Pollster, Founder, and President Brent Buchanan sits down with our Director of Innovation Noah Wyhof-Rudnick to discuss key takeaways from the data presented in October's national voter survey from NVT Live. Listen to expert opinion and analysis on how the election is shaping up as we are now under 4 weeks until Election Day. This is the perfect listen if you were unable to join our online panel to discover new key insights.

In this new episode of the Cygnal Pulse Pod, our pollsters and data experts reflect on key data from our latest poll on all the battleground districts nationwide after the second Presidential debate wrapped. Listen to VP of Polling Brock McCleary and Director of Polling Mike Yelovich to gain a comprehensive understanding of the prevailing political winds shaping these KEY districts as we edge closer and closer to November and discover questions asked live during the presentation. This is the perfect listen if you were unable to join our Battlegrounds Zoom Presentation!