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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. I'm Vanessa Clark, and today we're diving into some really exciting developments in the cocoa market that could impact everything from your chocolate bar prices to investment portfolios.

Let's start with where cocoa is trading right now. As of today, cocoa futures are hovering around fifty-seven hundred dollars per tonne, up nearly one percent from yesterday. We're seeing prices near one-month highs, which tells us that market sentiment is definitely shifting upward.

So what's driving this rally? Well, here's the big story. The International Cocoa Organization just released updated numbers on November twenty-eighth that totally changed the outlook. They cut their global cocoa surplus estimate for this year down to just forty-nine thousand metric tons from a previous forecast of one hundred forty-two thousand metric tons. That's a massive reduction. They also lowered their production estimate to four point sixty-nine million metric tons from four point eighty-four million metric tons. Essentially, we're looking at a much tighter cocoa supply than anyone expected.

But wait, there's more good news for cocoa prices. The inclusion of New York cocoa in the Bloomberg Commodity Index starting in January could bring significant buying pressure. According to Citigroup, this inclusion alone could attract as much as two billion dollars in investment from passive commodity funds. That's a game changer.

Now let's talk about what's happening on the ground in the world's largest cocoa producing region. The Ivory Coast has shipped about eight hundred thousand metric tons of cocoa to ports so far this marketing year, which actually represents a slight decline compared to last year. Even with favorable weather in West Africa that we're seeing right now, the overall supply picture is tightening faster than expected.

There's also the inventory story. Cocoa inventories at United States ports have fallen to an eight point seventy-five month low, with only one point six seven million bags in storage. Lower inventory levels typically support higher prices because supply becomes more constrained.

Now, you might be wondering how this affects you as a consumer. Well, chocolate prices have already jumped about twenty percent in some markets heading into the Christmas season. That's because cocoa represents a significant portion of chocolate manufacturing costs, so when cocoa prices rise, retail prices follow pretty quickly.

The market is also being supported by production concerns in Nigeria, the world's fifth largest cocoa producer. Nigeria's cocoa association is projecting that production will fall eleven percent year over year next season. That's another supportive factor for prices.

Looking ahead, traders are watching several things closely. The upcoming harmattan season in West Africa could a

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hello and welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with me, Vanessa Clark. I'm so glad you're here today because we have some really interesting developments in the cocoa market to discuss.

Let's jump right into today's trading data. As of today, cocoa is trading at five thousand five hundred thirty-two dollars and twenty cents per metric ton. Now, that might sound like a big number, but here's what's important: cocoa dropped about one point nine-six percent from yesterday, which continues a broader trend we've been seeing. Over the past month alone, cocoa prices have fallen nine point three-four percent, and compared to this time last year, we're down forty-four point three-four percent. That's a significant decline.

But before you think the sky is falling, there's actually something interesting happening underneath these numbers. Just this past week, cocoa prices actually rallied higher, posting a three and a half week high in New York trading and a three week high in London. Why? Well, the International Cocoa Organization made a major announcement on November twenty-eighth. They cut their global cocoa surplus estimate for the twenty twenty-four to twenty-twenty-five season down to just forty-nine thousand metric tons from a previous estimate of one hundred forty-two thousand metric tons. They also lowered their global production estimate.

What this means is that the cocoa market is tightening more than expected. We're also seeing something else supportive happening. The cocoa inventory levels held at US ports have fallen to an eight point seven-five month low. And Ivory Coast, which is the world's largest cocoa producer, has shipped less cocoa to ports this season compared to last year.

Now, looking ahead, we're hearing some mixed signals. While West Africa is experiencing favorable weather that could boost supplies in the medium term, the immediate supply tightness is providing support for prices right now. Chocolate makers and traders are paying close attention to these supply dynamics because they directly affect production costs.

The forecast from economists is calling for cocoa to trade around fifty-seven hundred ninety dollars per metric ton by the end of this quarter. And looking out twelve months, they're estimating prices at four thousand six hundred seventy-four dollars per metric ton.

If you're following cocoa for business or investment reasons, the key takeaway today is that while prices remain significantly down from where they were a year ago, the market is finding some support from tightening supplies. Keep your eyes on Ivory Coast cocoa arrivals in the coming weeks, as those numbers will really signal whether this rally has legs.

Thanks so much for tuning in to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. Be sure to subscribe so you never miss an update on what's moving in the cocoa market. I'm Vanessa Clark, and I'll see you n

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, this is Vanessa Clark with the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker, your quick, friendly update on what’s happening with cocoa prices and the chocolate world around us.

Right now, cocoa is trading around 5,520 U.S. dollars per metric ton on the benchmark market, up about 1.6 percent from yesterday. That’s a modest bounce after a rough few weeks where prices slid lower on expectations of a bigger global harvest, especially from West Africa. Still, even at this level, cocoa is down roughly 43 percent compared to this time last year, when prices hit record highs above 12,900 dollars per ton.

The main story lately is supply. The International Cocoa Organization recently cut its forecast for the global cocoa surplus this season, saying there will be less extra cocoa than expected. At the same time, they lowered their estimate for total world cocoa production, which is helping support prices a bit. In the world’s top producer, Ivory Coast, farmers have shipped slightly less cocoa to ports so far this marketing year compared to last, which traders are watching closely.

On the flip side, demand for chocolate and cocoa products has been soft in some big markets. Grindings in Europe and Asia have been lower than last year, and some big chocolate makers have said sales are not as strong as they hoped, especially around holidays. That weaker demand is one reason prices are still well off their peak, even though the supply outlook has tightened a bit.

If you’re a chocolate lover, baker, or small business that uses cocoa, this is a good moment to keep an eye on prices. They’re still volatile, but the extreme highs of late 2024 are behind us for now. For the next few weeks, watch for updates on the West African harvest and any changes in global chocolate demand as the holidays wrap up.

Thanks so much for tuning in to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. If you found this helpful, please subscribe so you never miss an update, and I’ll see you right back here next time.

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Welcome back to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. I am Vanessa Clark, and we are diving into the latest cocoa prices and what they might mean for you, whether you trade cocoa, buy chocolate for your business, or just love keeping an eye on the cocoa market.

Right now, cocoa futures are trading in the low to mid five thousand dollars per metric ton range on major exchanges, after a recent pullback from even higher levels earlier in the year. That means cocoa is still historically expensive, but off its peak, which matters for chocolate manufacturers, candy makers, and anyone watching input costs in the confectionery supply chain. Day to day, you can expect some volatility as traders react to fresh data and headlines.

The big story driving cocoa prices today is supply from West Africa, especially Ivory Coast and Ghana, which together produce the majority of the world’s cocoa beans. Recent seasons saw poor weather, disease pressure, and aging trees, which created large deficits and sent prices skyrocketing. Now, forecasts are improving and some agencies are even talking about a small surplus for the new cocoa year, which is one reason prices have eased from record highs.

At the same time, arrivals at key ports in Ivory Coast have been running slightly lower than last year, which keeps a floor under prices because it reminds traders that supply is not completely comfortable yet. Nigeria, another major producer, is facing expectations of lower output, and that also supports the market. On the demand side, high cocoa costs have already forced some chocolate brands to raise prices, shrink product sizes, or tweak recipes to use a bit less cocoa.

For you as a listener, here are a few practical takeaways. If you are a small chocolate maker or baker, it can help to lock in part of your cocoa needs early with your supplier, or at least ask about forward pricing so you are not caught off guard by another spike. If you are a trader or investor, watch key keywords like cocoa futures, Ivory Coast port arrivals, Ghana crop outlook, and global cocoa surplus or deficit in daily news, because those phrases often signal the next move in prices.

Looking ahead, many analysts expect cocoa prices to remain elevated compared with pre spike levels, even if they do not revisit the absolute highs, because it takes time to replant farms, improve yields, and rebuild stocks. Weather in West Africa, changes in farm gate prices paid to growers, and any new trade or environmental regulations will all be crucial for the next leg of this market. Keeping an eye on those drivers is just as important as checking the cocoa price quote itself.

That is it for today’s Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Thanks so much for listening and spending a few minutes talking cocoa prices with me. Be sure to subscribe, share this with a friend who watches commodity markets, an

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. I'm your host Vanessa Clark, and if you're tuning in for the first time, thanks so much for being here. Today we're breaking down the latest cocoa market movements, current trading prices, and what it all means for your chocolate prices at the grocery store.

Let's dive right in. As of today, December third, cocoa futures are trading around five thousand four hundred and two dollars per tonne, holding relatively steady. Now here's the thing that's been making headlines lately. Cocoa prices have absolutely plummeted in twenty twenty five compared to where we were just a year ago. We're talking about a forty one percent drop year over year. That's huge. But here's what's really interesting. Despite these dramatic price decreases, chocolate prices on store shelves aren't dropping nearly as much. Consumers are still paying premium prices even though the underlying commodity cost has fallen significantly.

So what's driving these price movements? Well, the market is shifting dramatically based on supply projections. Back in November, the International Cocoa Organization revised its outlook substantially. They cut the global cocoa surplus estimate from one hundred forty two thousand metric tonnes down to forty nine thousand metric tonnes. They also lowered production forecasts. But here's the plot twist. West Africa, where most of the world's cocoa is grown, is actually looking really strong for the upcoming harvest. We're talking favorable weather conditions, healthy crop development, and cocoa pod counts running about seven percent above the five year average.

Here's what's happening in Ivory Coast, the world's largest cocoa producer. Farmers shipped about seven hundred eighteen thousand metric tonnes of cocoa to ports between October and November. That's actually down slightly from last year, but the quality is looking good and supplies are ramping up nicely as we move into the main harvest season.

Now let's talk about inventory levels. The ICE cocoa inventories held in US ports fell to an eight point five month low of one point six million bags. Lower inventory levels typically support prices, but that supportive factor is being outweighed by the optimism about the coming West African harvest.

Weak demand has also been weighing on prices. Chocolate sales disappointed during the Halloween season, and cocoa grinding rates in Asia and Europe have been falling significantly. Asia saw cocoa grindings drop seventeen percent year over year, hitting a nine year low for the third quarter. That kind of demand weakness puts downward pressure on cocoa prices.

One more factor worth mentioning is tariff policy. In November, President Trump issued an executive order exempting cocoa and several other agricultural inputs from reciprocal tariffs, which has actually supported cocoa prices by impro

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey there, I'm Vanessa Clark, and welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. Thanks so much for tuning in today. I'm excited to break down what's happening in the cocoa market right now because honestly, things are moving fast and it's a wild ride.

So let's jump right in with today's numbers. As of December second, twenty twenty-five, cocoa is trading at around five thousand dollars per ton. Now, if you've been following cocoa prices for a while, you might remember that just a few months ago we were seeing prices near twelve thousand dollars per ton. That's a dramatic drop of about forty-five percent since January. Yeah, you heard that right. The cocoa market has been in free fall.

But here's what's really interesting. Even though prices have crashed compared to earlier this year, they're still sitting at roughly double what we saw from twenty twelve through twenty twenty-two, when cocoa averaged about twenty-five hundred dollars per ton. So while the correction has been massive, the baseline has fundamentally shifted higher.

What's driving this correction? Well, two main things. First, we're getting more optimistic harvest forecasts coming out of Ivory Coast and Ghana. Those countries produce about sixty percent of the world's cocoa, so their numbers really matter. Second, a lot of the speculation that was fueling prices earlier has unwound. Investors who were betting big on continued price increases have pulled back.

Now, here's what you need to know about the bigger picture. The supply problems in West Africa haven't gone away. Ghana and Ivory Coast are still dealing with aging trees, climate challenges, disease outbreaks, and economic instability. In fact, production for the twenty twenty-five to twenty twenty-six season is expected to drop about ten percent. Ivory Coast is looking at around one point six million tonnes, and Ghana might fall below six hundred thousand tonnes.

On the demand side, we're seeing what industry experts call demand destruction. Global cocoa grindings, which measure how much cocoa is being processed, have weakened significantly. European grindings dropped nearly five percent in the third quarter to a ten year low. Asian grindings fell seventeen percent. Even North America saw weakness. This is happening because chocolate manufacturers are struggling to absorb the higher cocoa costs without hurting their sales.

What does this mean for you as a listener? Well, if you love chocolate, prices at the store probably haven't come down even though cocoa costs have dropped significantly. Manufacturers are being careful about how they pass savings along to consumers. Some are reformulating products to use less cocoa, while others are holding prices steady to protect their margins.

Looking ahead, the cocoa market will continue to be sensitive to weather patterns in West Africa and disease reports. This really co

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Welcome to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. I'm Vanessa, and today is Monday, December first, twenty twenty five. We're going to break down the latest cocoa market movements, what's driving prices, and what it all means for you.

Let's jump right in. Cocoa is trading at five thousand three hundred sixty eight dollars and fifty two cents per metric ton today, down just zero point sixty six percent from yesterday. Now, if you've been following cocoa prices over the past month, you've probably noticed they've taken quite a tumble, dropping about eighteen percent. And if we look back over the past year, cocoa is down forty one point five percent compared to this time last year. That's a significant decline that's worth paying attention to.

So what's going on in the cocoa market? Well, there's actually some pretty interesting dynamics at play right now. First, we're seeing improving supplies coming out of West Africa, which is putting downward pressure on prices. The International Cocoa Organization, or ICCO, just released some updated numbers, and here's where it gets interesting. They cut their global surplus estimate for the twenty twenty four to twenty twenty five season to just forty nine thousand metric tons, down from an earlier estimate of one hundred forty two thousand metric tons. That's a huge revision, and frankly, it suggests the market is tightening up more than previously expected.

But here's the thing. While that tighter supply should theoretically support prices, we're also seeing other factors working against higher prices. Cocoa arrivals at ports in Ivory Coast, the world's largest cocoa producer, have been coming in lighter than last year. Through November thirtieth, they've received seven hundred eighteen thousand metric tons compared to seven hundred thirty four thousand metric tons in the same period last year. That's down two point one percent. Additionally, we've got reduced processing activity globally. Cocoa grindings, which measure how much cocoa processors are actually using, have fallen by four point three percent year over year because of high input costs that are squeezing processing margins.

We also can't ignore the tariff situation. Back in November, President Trump issued an executive order that exempted cocoa from reciprocal tariffs, along with coffee and tropical fruits. That positive tariff development has actually been supporting prices recently, though the overall trend remains downward.

Looking ahead, the ICCO is estimating global cocoa production at four point six nine million metric tons for this season, up from four point three six million the previous season. That recovery in production, combined with the improving West African harvests we're seeing right now, is keeping a lid on prices despite some of the tightening supply metrics.

If you're tracking cocoa for investment or busi

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey there, I'm Vanessa Clark, and welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. I'm so glad you're here with me today because we've got some really interesting developments in the cocoa market to talk through. Whether you're a chocolate lover, an investor, or just someone curious about commodity trading, stick around because this is going to be eye opening.

So let's jump right into today's numbers. As of November 28th, 2025, cocoa is trading at approximately 5,068 US dollars per tonne. Now, if that number sounds familiar, it's because we've been tracking some wild swings in this market. Just to give you some perspective, we're looking at declines exceeding 50 percent from the peak prices above 12,000 dollars that we saw during the 2024 holiday season. That's a massive correction, folks.

But here's where it gets interesting. Today the market actually surged, with London cocoa settling up 158 pounds, or about 4 percent, to 4,069 pounds per metric ton. This rally is happening because traders are seeing oversold conditions and think the bearish news is already priced in. It's like the market took a deep breath and said okay, maybe we've gone too far down.

What's driving all this? Well, the International Cocoa Organization just cut their global surplus estimate for 2024-25 to 49,000 metric tons, down from 142,000 metric tons. That's a huge reduction. They also lowered their production forecast to 4.69 million metric tonnes. When supply estimates get cut like that, it tends to support prices, which is exactly what we're seeing.

On the supply side, things are actually looking pretty good in West Africa. Cocoa pod counts are running about 7 percent above the five year average. Farmers in Ivory Coast, which is the world's largest cocoa producer, are reporting that their trees are performing really well. Recent dry weather has actually helped harvested beans dry properly, which is exactly what you want.

Now the flip side of this story is demand. And honestly, it's pretty weak right now. Asian cocoa grindings fell 17.1 percent year over year to the lowest third quarter grind in nine years. European grindings declined 4.8 percent, and we're seeing chocolate sales disappoint across the board. North American chocolate candy sales dropped more than 21 percent in the 13 weeks ending September 7th compared to last year. That's a significant decline.

There's also some geopolitical flavor to this market. The Trump administration recently dropped reciprocal tariffs on cocoa and other commodities back on November 14th, which actually took some pressure off prices. And the European Union is delaying and revising their deforestation regulations, which has also eased some concerns.

Nigeria, the world's fifth largest cocoa producer, is projecting production will fall about 11 percent next year though, so we do have some regional challenges.

The bottom line

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hey everyone, welcome back to Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. I'm Vanessa Clark, and today is Thursday, November 27th, 2025. We've got some fascinating market movements to break down for you, so stick around.

Let's jump right into today's numbers. Cocoa is trading at five thousand sixty eight dollars and forty seven cents per tonne as of this evening, up about seventy five dollars from yesterday's close. That's a one point five percent gain for the day. Now, before you get too excited about that bump, here's the bigger picture that everyone in the cocoa world is talking about right now.

Over the past month, cocoa prices have dropped fifteen point five six percent. And if you're comparing year over year, we're down a massive forty four percent from November of last year. We're sitting at levels not seen since January 2024, so this is a significant shift in the market dynamics.

So what's driving this dramatic change? Let me break it down for you. The main story is supply. West African cocoa production, particularly from Ivory Coast, is ramping up nicely. Port arrivals have exceeded one hundred thousand tonnes for three consecutive weeks now, which is bringing supplies close to last year's pace. Farmers are reporting that cocoa trees are doing well, and favorable weather with light rains has really supported healthy crop development. That's great news for harvest acceleration.

But there's more to this story. Demand is actually weakening globally. According to recent market reports, Asian grinding of cocoa is down seventeen point one percent year over year, hitting the lowest quarterly grind in nine years. Europe is down four point eight percent. So we've got a classic setup here: improving supply meeting weaker demand. That's putting real pressure on prices.

Then add in some policy tailwinds. The European Union just approved a one year delay to their deforestation regulations, the EUDR. That eases immediate supply concerns and keeps cocoa supplies looking ample. And on the tariff front, President Trump issued an executive order in mid November that exempted cocoa, along with coffee and other agricultural inputs, from reciprocal tariffs. That's another factor pushing prices lower.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for chocolate manufacturers. Companies like Hershey, Mondelez, and Nestle have been battling soaring ingredient costs all year. These lower cocoa prices could offer them real breathing room, especially heading into peak holiday season demand. The question everyone's asking is whether these companies will pass savings to consumers or protect their margins. That could really influence their earnings coming into twenty twenty six.

Looking ahead, the ICCO report notes that despite the bearish tone right now, things could shift quickly. Weather disruptions, regulatory changes, or seasonal uncertainties could squeeze supply again.

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This is your Daily Cocoa Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.

Hello everyone, I’m Vanessa Clark, and welcome to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. Today, let’s dive into the latest news and numbers for cocoa, the beloved bean that fuels our chocolate cravings.

Right now, cocoa is trading at about 4,970 US dollars per metric ton. That’s a bit of a drop from yesterday, and it’s actually down nearly 20 percent over the past month. If you’re wondering why, it’s because the global market is seeing a lot more cocoa coming in, especially from West Africa. In places like Ivory Coast, cocoa arrivals at ports have been strong for several weeks, which means there’s plenty of supply. Plus, the weather has been good, helping farmers harvest more beans. All of this extra supply is pushing prices lower.

Another factor affecting the market is the European Union’s decision to delay and revise its deforestation rules. This move has taken some pressure off cocoa prices, as it makes it easier for producers to keep up with regulations. On top of that, the US recently exempted cocoa from certain tariffs, which is also helping to keep prices down.

Despite all this, there are still some challenges. For example, Nigeria, one of the world’s top cocoa producers, is expecting a drop in production next year. That could help balance things out a bit, but for now, the market is focused on the surplus.

If you’re a chocolate lover, this is a good time to stock up, as lower cocoa prices might mean more affordable chocolate in stores. For farmers, though, it’s a tough situation, especially in countries like Cameroon, where falling prices are making it harder to earn a living.

Looking ahead, analysts expect cocoa prices to stay low for the next few months, but keep an eye on any changes in supply or regulations. For now, the market is all about abundance and easing pressures.

Thanks so much for tuning in to the Daily Cocoa Price Tracker. If you found this helpful, be sure to subscribe and join us again tomorrow for more updates on the world of cocoa. Until then, stay sweet and take care.

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