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This is your Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark podcast.
Hey friends, welcome back to Daily Sugar Price Tracker with Vanessa Clark. Im your host Vanessa, and today were diving into the latest on sugar prices, production updates, and what it all means for you.
First up, the current trading price. According to Trading Economics, sugar closed at 15.13 cents per pound on December 31, up 1.83 percent from the previous day. Barchart reports March New York world sugar number 11 futures rose 1.35 percent to around that level, while March London ICE white sugar number 5 gained 0.56 percent. Thats a nice bounce from recent one-week lows, driven by year-end short covering as funds reposition. Over the past month, prices are up about 2.48 percent, but still down 21.59 percent from a year ago amid bigger global supplies.
On the production front, Indias sugar output is surging. The India Sugar Mill Association reported that from October 1 to December 31, 2025-26 production jumped 24 percent year-over-year to 11.83 million metric tons. They also raised the full-season estimate to 31 million metric tons, up 18.8 percent, with less going to ethanol, freeing up more for exports. Indias government may allow extra shipments to ease their domestic glut, after already okaying 1.5 million tons this season.
Brazils no slouch either. Unica says Center-South output through November hit 39.904 million metric tons, up 1.1 percent, with more cane crushed for sugar at 51.12 percent versus last years 48.34 percent. Conab bumped their 2025-26 forecast to 45 million tons.
Globally, its a surplus story. The International Sugar Organization sees a 1.625 million ton surplus this season, thanks to gains in India, Thailand, and Pakistan. US Department of Agriculture projects record world production of 189.318 million tons, up 4.6 percent, though ending stocks dip slightly. Thailand eyes 10.5 million tons, up 5 percent.
Prices have dropped 22 percent this year, the worst since 2017, per TradingView, on these ample supplies. But that short covering hints at volatility ahead, especially with Brazils 2026-27 output possibly dipping per Safras and Mercado.
Actionable takeaway: If youre baking, buying bulk, or trading, lock in now at these levels before any supply hiccups push prices up. Watch India exports and Brazil weather for next moves.
Thanks for tuning in, friends. Subscribe, share with your crew, and catch you next time on Daily Sugar Price Tracker. Stay sweet!
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