I’m joined by Emmet Peppers as we discuss war in Ukraine vs Russia, possible scenarios, hedging, the Fed, commodities, impact on Tesla and TSLA.

Emmet Peppers on Twitter: https://twitter.com/emmetpeppers​

Emmet Peppers Interview playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLfibpgBinf9TaDMLOD8li0PHDwVD3YuYE

Good Soil Management YouTube channel, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCho9rOsQBrq-kUGjzJADHAQ

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

01:12 - How keeping up with the Ukraine vs Russia war?

07:30 - What's most likely scenarios for Ukraine war?

19:27 - Possibility of nuclear war

29:55 - Emmet hedging with Nasdaq puts

33:30 - Power of common stock

40:08 - Role of sentiment in stock price

44:51 - Optimistic market possibilities

50:20 - Prospects for TSLA stock price

56:24 - Possible market bottom

59:40 - Risks to Tesla due to war, macro, material costs

1:14:20 - Conclusion

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

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I'm joined by Jacob Shapiro, director of geopolitical analysis at Cognitive Investments and founder/chief strategist at Perch Perspectives, as we discuss the Russia-Ukraine War, geopolitical risk, commodities (oil, nickel, aluminum, wheat, food, etc), recession, China, and more.

Jacob Shapiro on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JacobShap

The Perch Pod: https://perchperspectives.com/perch-podcast/

Cognitive Investments: https://www.cognitive.investments

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

00:47 - Background of Jacob Shapiro

04:15 - Trend of growing geopolitical and international risk

07:59 - Description of multi-polar world

11:38 - Does the War in Ukraine change the global world order?

15:50 - Impact of economic sanctions against Russia

23:35 - Possibility of U.S. sanctions against China?

43:30 - Increased possibility of more global conflicts in future?

48:30 - How does war in Ukraine end?

57:30 - China's stance on Russia

1:02:01 - Will China play a role in ending the war in Ukraine?

1:04:42 - What is most likely scenario to how this war ends?

1:05:25 - Economic repercussions of war that draws out longer

1:15:39 - How will commodities respond in increasing supply?

1:21:22 - Cobalt, nickel, lithium availability in electrification

1:26:20 - Do you expect the U.S. to go into a recession? How long?

1:30:01 - International risk for investors in future?

1:47:55 - Investment moves since the war started

1:49:04 - Thesis on gold

1:51:10 - Possible scenarios of U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan

2:07:20 - Growing narrative of China as enemy of U.S.

2:14:33 - Role of propaganda shaping geopolitical conflict

2:24:50 - Conclusion

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Investing #GeoPolitics #Stocks

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I'm joined by Jacob Shapiro, director of geopolitical analysis at Cognitive Investments and founder/chief strategist at Perch Perspectives, as we discuss the Russia-Ukraine War, geopolitical risk, commodities (oil, nickel, aluminum, wheat, food, etc), recession, China, and more.

Jacob Shapiro on Twitter: https://twitter.com/JacobShap

The Perch Pod: https://perchperspectives.com/perch-podcast/

Cognitive Investments: https://www.cognitive.investments

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

00:47 - Background of Jacob Shapiro

04:15 - Trend of growing geopolitical and international risk

07:59 - Description of multi-polar world

11:38 - Does the War in Ukraine change the global world order?

15:50 - Impact of economic sanctions against Russia

23:35 - Possibility of U.S. sanctions against China?

43:30 - Increased possibility of more global conflicts in future?

48:30 - How does war in Ukraine end?

57:30 - China's stance on Russia

1:02:01 - Will China play a role in ending the war in Ukraine?

1:04:42 - What is most likely scenario to how this war ends?

1:05:25 - Economic repercussions of war that draws out longer

1:15:39 - How will commodities respond in increasing supply?

1:21:22 - Cobalt, nickel, lithium availability in electrification

1:26:20 - Do you expect the U.S. to go into a recession? How long?

1:30:01 - International risk for investors in future?

1:47:55 - Investment moves since the war started

1:49:04 - Thesis on gold

1:51:10 - Possible scenarios of U.S.-China conflict over Taiwan

2:07:20 - Growing narrative of China as enemy of U.S.

2:14:33 - Role of propaganda shaping geopolitical conflict

2:24:50 - Conclusion

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Investing #GeoPolitics #Stocks

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The epic case of SEC vs Elon Musk - who will win?

Court documents discussed in video:

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755.71.0_2.pdf

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755.72.1.pdf

https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755/gov.uscourts.nysd.501755.72.0.pdf

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

I’m joined by Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and former CTO of Crowdstrike and now chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, a think tank in Washington D.C. We discuss the Russia Ukraine War, implications and possible scenarios going forward.

Dmitri Alperovitch on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch

Silverado Policy Accelerator: https://silverado.org

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

01:10 - How Dmitri predicted Russia would invade Ukraine

04:45 - Putin determined to change status quo

06:48 - Why Putin invaded now and not later

09:35 - What was Russia’s initial expectations and timeline for invasion?

11:28 - How does the Ukraine resistance change equation and options for Putin going forward?

14:55 - What are Putin’s leverage points?

19:35 - Chance of Putin political coup

23:50 - Will Putin use nuclear weapons?

28:05 - What are Russia’s demand and what a peace agreement could look like?38:30 - Communications in war, role of Starlink

43:30 - Top future scenarios

49:55 - What is Putin’s line in sand to attack a NATO country?

52:18 - What does Silverado Policy Accelerator do? Why started?

56:35 - Recommended people to follow for Russia Ukraine war

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Ukraine #Russia #Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

I’m joined by Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and former CTO of Crowdstrike and now chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, a think tank in Washington D.C. We discuss the Russia Ukraine War, implications and possible scenarios going forward.

Dmitri Alperovitch on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DAlperovitch

Silverado Policy Accelerator: https://silverado.org

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

01:10 - How Dmitri predicted Russia would invade Ukraine

04:45 - Putin determined to change status quo

06:48 - Why Putin invaded now and not later

09:35 - What was Russia’s initial expectations and timeline for invasion?

11:28 - How does the Ukraine resistance change equation and options for Putin going forward?

14:55 - What are Putin’s leverage points?

19:35 - Chance of Putin political coup

23:50 - Will Putin use nuclear weapons?

28:05 - What are Russia’s demand and what a peace agreement could look like?38:30 - Communications in war, role of Starlink

43:30 - Top future scenarios

49:55 - What is Putin’s line in sand to attack a NATO country?

52:18 - What does Silverado Policy Accelerator do? Why started?

56:35 - Recommended people to follow for Russia Ukraine war

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Ukraine #Russia #Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

I’m joined by Dmitri Alperovitch, co-founder and former CTO of Crowdstrike and now chairman of Silverado Policy Accelerator, a think tank in Washington D.C. We discuss the Russia Ukraine War, implications and possible scenarios going forward.

Dmitri Alperovitch on Twitter: https://twitter.com/DAlperovitchSilverado Policy Accelerator: https://silverado.org

Timestamps:

00:00 - Introduction

01:10 - How Dmitri predicted Russia would invade Ukraine

04:45 - Putin determined to change status quo

06:48 - Why Putin invaded now and not later

09:35 - What was Russia’s initial expectations and timeline for invasion?

11:28 - How does the Ukraine resistance change equation and options for Putin going forward?

14:55 - What are Putin’s leverage points?

19:35 - Chance of Putin political coup

23:50 - Will Putin use nuclear weapons?

28:05 - What are Russia’s demand and what a peace agreement could look like?38:30 - Communications in war, role of Starlink

43:30 - Top future scenarios

49:55 - What is Putin’s line in sand to attack a NATO country?

52:18 - What does Silverado Policy Accelerator do? Why started?

56:35 - Recommended people to follow for Russia Ukraine war

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Ukraine #Russia #Investing

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Lots going on with Elon’s involvement with Ukraine over the past week so I wanted to bring it all together and share my take.

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Lots going on with Elon’s involvement with Ukraine over the past week so I wanted to bring it all together and share my take.

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise

Tesla is getting it done. I explore the latest news of what's going on at Tesla's Gigafactory at Berlin.

Social

🐦 Twitter https://mobile.twitter.com/heydave7

🎧 Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/dave-lee-on-investing/id1493031991

🎙️Spotify https://open.spotify.com/show/2iin015s0k21Bt4ldep9XT?si=uBV4Ft8hQEu_GE4YSIDDGg

📸 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/heydave7

Dave Lee on Parenting, https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWD9b1BZqi2G2u30sGYIFrA

NOTE: Please don’t fall for scammers who might impersonate me or others in the comment section. I do NOT give out my number or ask people to contact me.

💁🏻‍♂️ Disclaimer: All content on this channel is for discussion and illustrative purposes only and should not be construed as professional financial advice or recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Should you need such advice, consult a licensed financial or tax advisor. All views expressed are personal opinion as of date of recording and are subject to change without responsibility to update views. No guarantee is given regarding the accuracy of information on this channel. Neither host or guests can be held responsible for any direct or incidental loss incurred by applying any of the information offered. Author is long TSLA and other stocks at time of original video publish date. When you buy through links in this video description, author may earn an affiliate commission.

Open an brokerage account at Interactive Brokers:

https://www.interactivebrokers.com/mkt/?src=daveleey&url=%2Fen%2Findex.php%3Ff%3D1338

Check out my archived articles/posts on Tesla and investing: https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/threads/articles-megaposts-by-davet.23473/#post-485768

#Tesla #TSLA #Stocks

Subscribe to Dave Lee on Investing on Soundwise