We offer up our 2021 predictions!
But first, in the spirit of transparency, we assess our 2020 predictions. How did we fare? Some right, some wrong.
Next year (2021):
In general, 2021 will be a bull year, as central bank intervention continues, the vaccine is distributed and corporate earnings are compared to a deflated 2020.
Within that general trend, we expect:
-A 10-15% correction post Memorial Day, as opportunistic buyers from March 2020 harvest some capital gains
-Emerging Market Outperformance; We set our sights on IEMG, EEM, BRZU & MELI
-Risk of corporate debt pressure, but only in certain sectors
The 2020s:
-Central bank printing presses rumble on, subsidizing equities as the bull market continues
-Emerging Market stocks outperform, as fund managers look for better prices on long positions
-Genomics become the new FAANGS. See ARKG
The 2030s:
-We worry that the age of printing money eventually leads to inflation, particularly in commodities, leading to a potential crisis
-But probably the TECH sector continues it's long march of dominating our lives and our portfolios
-The Genomics revolution continues
-East Asian equities begin to overtake America