Runcorn and Helsby has been Labour’s turf for decades — but the ground is shifting, and Reform UK can smell blood. In this week’s edition of Despatch, Gawain Towler — former director of communications for Reform UK — takes us inside the Cheshire constituency where poverty is entrenched, campaigning is curiously absent, and Keir Starmer’s team seems strangely quiet. Why is Labour pulling its punches in its 16th safest seat? What is Morgan McSweeney really playing at? And could Nigel Farage’s insurgents turn a protest vote into a political earthquake? Despatch unpacks how this by-election could be the first domino in a collapse of Labour’s red wall.

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