In July of 1969, while the world watched Apollo 11 head for the Moon, a speech sat folded in a White House desk drawer. Written by Nixon speechwriter William Safire, the memo titled "In Event of Moon Disaster" was a contingency address prepared for the very real possibility that Neil Armstrong and Buzz Aldrin would never leave the lunar surface. 

The ascent engine that had to fire to bring them home had no backup and had never been tested under actual lunar conditions. If it failed, two men would die on the Moon while the world listened.

This episode breaks down Safire's memo line by line, examining the rhetoric, the political strategy, and the emotional weight behind every word. We explore the grim contingency planning happening simultaneously in Houston, where young flight controllers faced the unbearable question of how long to maintain communication with a stranded crew. 

We talk about the Cold War stakes that made failure not just a tragedy but a potential strategic defeat for the United States, and how Nixon's political survival was tangled up in the outcome of a single rocket engine. We also dig into the moments that nearly made the speech necessary, from the computer alarms during descent to the broken circuit breaker switch that Aldrin fixed with a felt-tip pen. We discuss Michael Collins, the often-forgotten third astronaut who would have had to fly home alone, and what that journey would have meant for the rest of his life.

The episode covers the memo's discovery in 1999 by journalist James Mann in the National Archives, the way it reframed the Apollo 11 story for a generation that had only known the triumph, and the unsettling 2020 MIT deepfake project that used AI to show Nixon delivering the speech that was never given.

This is the story of the speech that was written to never be read, and what it reveals about courage, fear, and the impossibly thin line between humanity's greatest achievement and its greatest disaster.