DHUnplugged Podcast

DHUnplugged #304: An Infestation of Raccoons and Bears


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The debate over the effectiveness of central bank actions is raging on. Once an investor’s best friend, confidence is waning and markets are reacting. Following the best week of 2016, equities are once again seeing weakness as oil falls on OPEC comments.
The bearish position is strengthening, but should this be a sign to start to nibble again on stocks? Is this a contrary indication or something that we should heed?

Click HERE for Show Notes and Links
Markets moved out of the correction as of Monday, only to slump again on Tuesday. Oil to blame? Iran essentially saying that they think price freeze is stupid/Saudi Arabia won’t cut production. Oil got smoked on that news as well as fact that yesterday’s rally was not what it seemed….
Market Update Midday 2/23
Coming into the last few days of the month – do you think that the markets will be able to turn green? Most major indices are off slightly…

– Indices are trading very technical, the 2,050 level was key resistance and that was hit with selling. Today, markets stopped on daily   support and held
Not surprised: Consumer confidence falls in latest reading. Middle income confidence fell the most since October 2008.

– Still, Fed officials are talking up more rate hikes for this year.
Listening to the news, TV, reading… Bearish commentary is everywhere…. What does that mean?
Fitbit (FIT) announced earnings. Stock down 19%on weak guidance. (Looks like same game-plan as GoPro)

– Look for these one-hit-wonders as potential rally and fade candidates in the future.
Politics – Jeb Bush is out!
Lumber Liquidators (LL) Unbelievable: The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said earlier this month that tests on the company’s products showed minimal health risks, which renewed confidence in the chain as the stock rebounded. Now the agency has corrected those findings because of the math error (used feet instead of meters?) , saying formaldehyde exposure is three times higher than previously projected, although the risk of cancer remains low. Stock was crushed on Monday.
Home Depot (HD) out with earnings – company still looking good. Lowes (LOW) out tomorrow… Which do we prefer?
Do we want to chime in about the Apple/Feds rigmarole?
Oil plunge is starting to hit banks and energy sector companies. While stocks were suffering,  not much in the way of bankruptcy or otherwise. Now starting to see headlines about sales, div reductions, massive earnings shortfalls… (Massive build after the close tonight)
JP Morgan investor day – investment banking fees down 25% over year and sees some need to add to the reserves for bad debt related to oil related debt. Stock down 4% on the negative commentary from company
 

** ANNOUNCING THE FIRST (new and improved)  DHUnplugged Closest to the Pin Contest **

Walt Disney (DIS) …  Listeners will be  completing against John and Andrew
Now Open for entries through March 2nd (Final Price Date: March 11)

Some oddball Andrew stories:
Saw a raccoon in front of my house last night – called wildlife control and they gave me a sure fire way to get ride of it.
Had a very nice Uber driver. Woman driver had to take me to a boat ramp to pick up my car.
...more
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DHUnplugged PodcastBy Horowitz and Dvorak

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