SpaceX IPO coming – huge increase in valuation over past 3 months
Happy Hanukah – Eight Crazy Nights
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- Last Chance for CTP Cup 2025 participants
- Happy Hanukah - Eight Crazy Nights
- Sad News - Rob Reiner
- Fed decision is out....
- Overdue eco reports coming this week
- Oracle still problematic
- SpaceX IPO coming - huge increase in valuation over past 3 months
- Another Bankruptcy - cleaning up is not good business
- Oh my - Now Kevin AND Kevin
- Weight loss game continues
- One thing saved for last - a doozie...
- All time High
- Prospect of Robotaxi
- Even though sales hitting multi-year lows
Wall Street Never Sleeps?
- Nasdaq files to extend trading to 23 hours on weekdays
- Banks concerned about investor protections, costs, liquidity, volatility risks of nonstop trading
- Proponents argue round-the-clock trading benefits global investors
- That may create some additional volatility potential
- SpaceX aims for a potential $1.5 trillion market cap with an Initial Public Offering in 2026, which could become the largest IPO in history
- July 2025 tender valuation was $400B
- Dec 14th (4 months later) $800B
- Starlink is the primary money winner of this deal
- Tesla shares climbing even with nothing behind it - seemingly in sympathy for this IPO
---- TESLA does not have ownership of SpaceX
- OH - this could be the reason....U.S. deliveries dropped significantly in November—the lowest since early 2022—but this weakness has been overshadowed by the enthusiasm for autonomy.
- A son of legendary Hollywood director Rob Reiner and his wife, producer Michele Singer Reiner, Nick Reiner, is being held on suspicion of murder following their deaths, according to Los Angeles Police Department Chief Jim McDonnell. He’s being held on $4 million bail.
- Citing law enforcement sources and family friends, ABC News reported on Monday that Nick Reiner had recently returned to live at his parents' South Chadbourne Avenue home. The move was described as a temporary arrangement intended to help him stabilize.
- Not going to discuss the Truth Social post about this tragedy
- "Copper could hit ‘stratospheric new highs’ as hoarding of the metal in U.S. continues"
- Copper has gone from 5.77 to 5.30 (July to today)
- 6 Tops at this price since 2011
- Not seeing this as per the headline - seems like a Hunt Brothers special from the 1980s - CORNERING THE MARKET
---1980 - Silver went from $11 to $50 then crashed, bankrupting the Hunt Bros - after COMEX changed rules forcing them to cover positions
- After 35 years, the maker of the Roomba robot vacuum filed for bankruptcy protection late Sunday night. Following warnings issued earlier this year that it was fast running out of options, iRobot says it is entering Chapter 11 protection and will be acquired by its contract manufacturer, China-based Picea Robotics.
- The company says it will continue to operate “with no anticipated disruption to its app functionality, customer programs, global partners, supply chain relationships, or ongoing product support.”
- Remember that Amazon - The Amazon buyout of iRobot, maker of Roomba, was announced in 2022 for $1.7 billion but ultimately failed in January 2024 due to significant regulatory pushback, primarily from the EU, over anti-competitive concerns.
-- Amazon walked away with a $94 million termination fee
- President Donald Trump said Friday that Kevin Warsh has moved to the top of his list as the next Federal Reserve chair, though Kevin Hassett also remains in contention, according to the Wall Street Journal.
- Interesting that this comes days after Hassett said that we would not let outside suggestions influence his voting -
---In addition to putting heavier weight on Warsh getting the job, Trump repeated an assertion he has made in the past that the Fed chair ought to consult the president about interest rate decisions.
- Also of interest,
prediction markets had Hassett at 95% probability - now it moved to 50% - big payday for people in the know.
- Average home price is DOWN on year-over-year basis
- First time on national level since 2024
- Active listings in November were nearly 13% higher than November 2024, but new listings were just 1.7% higher
--- Houses are on market longer -
- Prices in Austin, Texas, are down 10% from last year; in Denver, they’re down 5%, according to Parcl Labs. Tampa, Florida, and Houston both saw prices fall 4%, and Atlanta and Phoenix saw price decreases of 3%.
- Zillow shares plunged more than 9% on Monday on worries that the online real estate platform could have a big new competitor: Google Search.
- Google appears to be running tests on putting real estate sale listings into its search results.
- The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday releases its long-awaited combined employment reports for October and November, but a number of key details will be missing after the government shutdown prevented data collection, including October's unemployment rate, resulting in the first-ever gap in that critical data series since inception in 1948.
- NICE JOB GANG!
- Some of the data will be estimated.
- It said it would not publish the headline CPI number or the so-called core CPI, which strips out the volatile food and energy components, for October. "BLS cannot provide specific guidance to data users for navigating the missing October observations," the agency said.
- Some info coming in are estimates - some delayed
- Unemployment at 4.6% - Latest report shows +64,000 added
- ISM Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing - both slowed over the last month
- Meanwhile the Fed cuts rates....
- A Federal Reserve split over where its priorities should lie cut its key interest rate Wednesday in a 9-3 vote, but signaled a tougher road ahead for further reductions.
- The FOMC’s “dot plot” indicated just one more reduction in 2026 and another in 2027, amid considerable disagreement from members about where rates should head.
- In addition to the rate decision, the Fed also announced it will resume buying Treasury securities. The central bank will start by buying $40 billion in Treasury bills, beginning Friday.
- Markets were all over the place on this as it was a little confusing at first - then it seemed that everyone loved (for one day)
- Why is the Fed moving up Treasury purchases to "immediately" from a few months from now?
- AND - dissension ! A larger group that usual of regional Fed bank presidents signaled they opposed the cut, and six policymakers said the benchmark federal funds rate should end 2025 in a range of 3.75% to 4%, suggesting they opposed the move.
- Long bonds have not moved at all on this news.
- Costco beat Wall Street’s fiscal first-quarter sales and revenue expectations.
- Sales rose 8.2% and digital sales jumped 20.5% compared with the year-ago quarter.
- Costco surpassed Wall Street’s quarterly expectations and posted year-over-year sales growth of 8.2% as the retailer attracted more digital sales and opened new locations.
- Earnings per share: $4.50 vs. $4.27 expected
- Revenue: $67.31 billion vs. $67.14 billion expected
- Costco does not provide year ahead guidance
- Shares down from a recent high of $855
- About 4.5 million pies were sold in the three days before Thanksgiving, which is equivalent to roughly 7,000 pies per warehouse.
- These were bakery pies (e.g., pumpkin, apple),
- Costco had more than $250 million in non-food online orders on Black Friday, a record for Costco’s U.S. e-commerce business.
- Approximately 358,000 whole pizzas were served at Costco's U.S. food courts, a 31% jump from last year. (500 pizza's per store)
- Retatrutide - Eli Lilly said its next-generation obesity drug delivered what appears to be the highest weight loss seen so far in a late-stage trial and reduced knee arthritis pain, clearing the first of several upcoming studies on the weekly injection.
- In a 48-week Phase 2 study, participants on the highest dose lost an average of 24% of their body weight.
- Recent Phase 3 results showed patients on the highest dose lost an average of 28.7% of their body weight after 68 weeks.
- The trials also showed improvements in related health conditions, including knee osteoarthritis pain, blood pressure, and liver fat
- This triple action is what makes retatrutide potentially more effective for weight loss than existing medications like Zepbound (tirzepatide), which targets two receptors, or Wegovy (semaglutide), which targets only one.
- PayPal Holdings Inc. applied to become a bank in the US, looking to take advantage of the Trump administration’s openness to financial-technology companies entering the banking system.
- The payments-focused firm submitted applications to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Utah Department of Financial Institutions to form a Utah-chartered industrial loan company, PayPal said in a statement Monday.
- If approved, PayPal Bank would help the firm bolster its small-business lending capabilities, according to the statement, which said the company has provided access to more than $30 billion in loans and capital since 2013.
Ford - Management Confused
- Instead of planning to make enough electric vehicles to account for 40 percent of global sales by 2030—as it pledged just four years ago—Ford says it will focus on a broader range of hybrids, extended-range electrics, and battery-electric models, which executives now say will account for 50 percent of sales by the end of the decade.
- The automaker will make hybrid versions of almost every vehicle in its lineup, the company says.
- All in on EVS cost them - Ford expects to record about $19.5 billion in special items, mostly during the fourth quarter.
---- The charges are related to a restructuring of its business priorities and a pullback in its all-electric vehicle investments.
- Australia has implemented a groundbreaking ban preventing children under 16 from accessing major social media platforms like TikTok, Instagram, and Facebook, effective December 2025, to protect them from harm, with significant fines for companies failing to enforce it, though messaging apps and gaming platforms are currently exempt.
- Reddit is suing
- Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat, Threads, TikTok, X (Twitter), YouTube, Reddit, Kick, and Twitch are all banned for kids under 16.
- Of all the eye-popping numbers that Oracle Corp. published last week on the costs of its artificial-intelligence data center buildout, the most striking didn’t appear until the day after its earnings press release and analyst call.
- The more comprehensive 10-Q earnings report that appeared on Thursday detailed $248 billion of lease-payment commitments, “substantially all” related to data centers and cloud capacity arrangements, the business-software firm said. These are due to commence between now and its 2028 financial year but they’re not yet included on its balance sheet.
- That’s almost $150 billion more than was disclosed in the footnotes of September’s earnings update.
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