Volatility is banded about without much thought about what it really means, and what it really measures. Volatility indices are linked to options pricing, and prices of assets do not necessarily correlate with total returns. So in this show Damien Klassen, Head of Investments at Nucleus Wealth and Walk The World Funds and I go … Continue reading "What Precisely Is Volatility?: With Damien Klassen"

I am sick and tired of so-called experts jumping to simplistic so-called solutions to solve the Australian Property Problem. The truth is, often they have a specific agenda, for example a Bank CEO who talks the market up, trying to increase loan growth, or politicians who try to justify their policies by claiming it’s about … Continue reading "Australian Property’s Three Body Problem"

We walk through the results from our latest surveys, tracking household financial pressure across mortgage, rental, investor and overall stress. Where are the hot spots? This is a segment from our recent live show. https://youtu.be/Fjp44eRLuF0 http://www.martinnorth.com/ Details of our one to one service are here: https://digitalfinanceanalytics.com/blog/dfa-one-to-one/ Go to the Walk The World Universe at https://walktheworld.com.au/ … Continue reading "The Latest On Mortgage Stress, Rental Stress And Financial Stress"

In this segment we walk though the latest home price scenarios for houses and units across the states, and across key household segments, based on where things may go over the next three years. These are not predictions but sensitivities. This is an extract from our recent live show. WA data will follow….

The Australian Property markets are teetering on the edge thanks to the expectation of more rate rises in the weeks ahead, including potentially one at the end of September, and another on Melbourne Cup Day in November, while auction listings are up a little, but clearance rates fell this week compared to last, according to … Continue reading "Property’s Spring Season Is A Damp Squib…"

Despite the prospect of more RBA rate hikes as soon as September, the Australian property markets are moving into the spring selling season as new stock comes on market, and vendors drop their price expectations. The market, currently in a downturn following three interest rate rises, while changes to negative gearing, CGT and SMSF purchasing … Continue reading "Aussies Capitulate To Lower Home Prices As Reality Hits!"

This is our weekly market update where we start in the US, cross to Europe and Asia, and end in Australia, covering commodities and crypto along the way. Remembering that September and October typically are the worse months for equity markets, it was no surprise to see significant market volatility across the week, given the … Continue reading "Looking Into The Jaws Of A Recession Or Worse?"

Sad to say, but the likelihood of significantly higher inflation, and higher interest rates globally, and locally are being cemented as we speak. And are we seeing the growing pains to a new financial system? On top of the continued attacks on vessels around the Strait of Hormuz, which has constructed oil supplies and lifted … Continue reading "The Inflation Rocket Just Got Ignited: Even More Rate Hikes Incoming!"

Today we step through our latest scenarios and stress analysis, and consider the future trajectory of home prices, and rents in the light of the latest news and data. Whilst some are suggesting a rebound in (some) prices later next year, the likelihood of more RBA rate hikes in the spring suggests a different path. … Continue reading "What Happens Next With Australian Property?"

We had fresh inflation warning from both Reserve Bank of Australia assistant governor Sarah Hunter and RBA deputy governor Andrew Hauser in the past couple of days, ahead of the Monetary Policy Meeting at the end of the month. And frankly it sent signals to the markets that they are likely to raise in interest … Continue reading "Another Crunch Incoming As More Rate Rises Are On The Cards…"