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About two months ago, @finm and I recorded a discussion about my now-published piece on “AI tools for Existential Security”[1] (for the podcast Fin has been running at Forethought). I’d never done something like this before, and liked the result a lot more than I thought I would![2]
I'm sharing a quick transcript here in case anyone appreciates section headers, hyperlinks, etc.. Please note that this is very rough; it's an unpolished, not-double-checked “MVP” edit of an AI-generated transcript, and will definitely have mistakes.[3]
Here's the episode itself. You should also be able to find it on most podcast apps. The discussion loosely follows the structure of the piece it focuses on.
My thinking on some of what we discuss here has changed a bit, but I'd still say most of this (sometimes with somewhat different emphasis, framings, etc.) and I wanted to quickly get [...]
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(01:41) Transcript
(01:44) Elevator pitch & how this relates to d/acc and def/acc
(05:24) Which kinds of AI applications seem most exciting?
(08:08) Getting more specific on applications & discussing adoption
(10:49) AI negotiation tools, privacy-preserving information-sharing
(19:10) Cybersecurity
(22:17) Things that might be possible as AI capabilities ramp up
(24:25) Win-win policy advice
(28:26) Why these clusters of applications?
(31:17) What about market effects (and other dynamics that might make it hard to make a counterfactual difference)?
(40:57) Methods: how can we accelerate beneficial AI tools?
(51:01) Applications that could be doable with today's models (or generally very soon)
(54:52) Why not focus on slowing risk-increasing things down?
(57:55) A pre-mortem
(59:56) (How) many more people should be working on this?
(01:04:04) Other upshots
(01:04:27) Speeding up automation of your area, using AI tools more
(01:06:48) Preparing for a world with much more abundant cognition
(01:11:27) Getting ready to help with automation
(01:13:04) Applications we're personally excited for
(01:15:19) Key open questions?
The original text contained 6 footnotes which were omitted from this narration.
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https://pnc.st/s/forecast/30c70e39/ai-tools-for-existential-security-with-lizka-vaintrob-
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Converting to a for-profit model would undermine the company's founding mission to ensure AGI "benefits all of humanity," argues new letter
This is the full text of a post from Obsolete, a Substack that I write about the intersection of capitalism, geopolitics, and artificial intelligence. I’m a freelance journalist and the author of a forthcoming book called Obsolete: Power, Profit, and the Race to Build Machine Superintelligence. Consider subscribing to stay up to date with my work.
Don’t become a for-profit.
That's the blunt message of a recent letter signed by more than 30 people, including former OpenAI employees, prominent civil-society leaders, legal scholars, and Nobel laureates, including AI pioneer Geoffrey Hinton and former World Bank chief economist Joseph Stiglitz.
Obsolete obtained the 25-page letter, which was sent last Thursday to the attorneys general (AGs) of California and Delaware, two officials with the power to [...]
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Outline:
(00:15) Converting to a for-profit model would undermine the companys founding mission to ensure AGI benefits all of humanity, argues new letter
(02:12) Nonprofit origins
(05:18) Nobel opposition
(06:34) Contradictions
(09:20) Justifications
(12:24) No sale price can compensate
(13:58) An institutional test
(15:44) Appendix: Quotes from OpenAI's leaders over the years
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https://garrisonlovely.substack.com/p/breaking-openai-alums-nobel-laureates
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I'm in the process of setting up The Jeremy Coller Centre for Animal Sentience at the LSE, and I have two new job ads out:
Research Officer in Animal Sentience (Animals and AI) - this is an open-ended, research-focused postdoctoral role looking at the impacts AI is having on non-human animals, ways of promoting beneficial uses, and ways of ameliorating harmful uses.
Centre Manager (Impact and Administration) - this person will work with me to run the Centre on a day-to-day basis and work towards its impact goals.
Both jobs are £42,679-£51,000pa, and based at the LSE in London, with the possibility of hybrid working. Anyone can apply from anywhere in the world. We can usually sponsor visas for successful candidates.
I'm looking for people with a sincere commitment to the Centre's mission! You can read about that mission over here. Please get in touch if this might [...]
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Crosspost from my blog that you should totally check out!
If I were an animal, I would be a bug. Statistically.
—David Sposito.
C.S. Lewis once said, “Christianity, if false, is of no importance, and if true, of infinite importance. The only thing it cannot be is moderately important.” In other words, the thing one cannot think is that Christianity is only a bit important—that following the way of Christ should be part of one's life, but not a big part. You should not be the sort of person who goes to church once a month, occasionally feels contrite about their sins, but basically ignores Christianity most of the time.
This is how I feel about insect suffering.
I wrote an article recently about insects. In short, I argued that there are so many insects that their suffering is the biggest deal in the world. Most insects live [...]
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Open Philanthropy's Farm Animal Welfare team is hiring!
We’re looking for a Program Assistant to support the team's work to reduce the suffering of farmed animals by managing processes, coordinating logistics, and keeping complex administrative projects on track.
We’re looking for someone who is:
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(01:38) Details
(02:39) A few final notes
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We're thrilled to share the results of our V-March (vegan in March) 2025 campaign!
The numbers speak for themselves:
- Reached over 7 million people across China
- More than 70,000 active engagements through comments and shares
- 600+ daily check-ins via our WeChat Mini Program
- 341 Sogdian Trees planted (reclaiming approximately 3410㎡ of desert)
- 3410.12 RMB donated to the Alashan SEE Ecology Association
By Arkadiusz Nowak, Marcin Nobis, Sylwia Nowak, Agnieszka Nobis,Anna Wróbel, Sebastian Świerszcz, Ewelina Klichowska,Iwona Dembicz & Grzegorz Kusza - Arkadiusz Nowak and Marcin Nobs (Eds): Illustrated Flora of Tajikistan and adjacent areas, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw 2020., CC BY 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=128815843Our survey reveals a powerful impact:
- Over 80% of participants plan to continue following a plant-based diet!
- Over 70% reported noticeable health improvements
- 67% plan to reduce meat intake by 40-80%
- 58% stayed fully plant-based throughout the [...]
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One year as a Charity Entrepreneur
When we founded NOVAH (No Violence At Home) in April 2024 through the Charity Entrepreneurship incubation program, we had a research-backed hypothesis that edutainment (mixing social messages in entertaining content) could effectively reduce domestic violence (technical term: intimate partner violence, IPV). Now, twelve months later, our first radio drama, Twubakane (meaning "Let's build together"), has reached ~30,000 listeners in Rwanda, where 24% of married women experience partner abuse annually.
This post reflects on our first year building an intervention from scratch, sharing lessons and surprises along the way that might be valuable for others considering similar paths.
In previous posts, we discussed more about the background of NOVAH and its evidence base, and we presented why gender-based violence is becoming a more established and recognized cause area among the EA community
The right partners accelerate progress
As a young organization with limited [...]
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Outline:
(00:15) One year as a Charity Entrepreneur
(01:14) The right partners accelerate progress
(02:13) Iterative research to solve unexplored problems
(03:51) AI accelerates content production and improves monitoring
(05:35) Small-scale M&E is very valuable to steer your program
(07:52) A lean model at scale thanks to cyclical work and cheap media
(09:08) What keeps us up at night
(09:57) What we would have done differently
(10:39) How you can support us to reach more people and generate evidence
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I speak to many entrepreneurial people trying to do a large amount of good through nonprofit organisations. I think this is often an error for four main reasons.
These arguments are most applicable to starting high-growth organisations, such as startups.[1]
Scalability
There is a lot of capital available for startups, and established mechanisms exist to continue raising funds if the ROI appears high. It seems extremely difficult to operate a nonprofit with a budget of more than $30M per year (e.g., with approximately 150 people), but this is not particularly unusual for for-profit organisations.
Capital Counterfactuals
I generally believe that value-aligned funders are spending their money reasonably well, while for-profit investors are spending theirs extremely poorly (on altruistic grounds). If you can redirect that funding towards high-altruism value work, you could potentially create a much larger delta [...]
The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.
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Article in Financial Times -
Excerpts “Multiple staff from US-based foundations and non-profits told the FT that they expected the Trump administration to end their tax exemptions for projects that involved spending overseas or were focused on climate or racial justice.
The likelihood has risen since President Trump threatened this week to remove Harvard's tax exempt status.”
It may also affect overseas aids apart from climate. I heard from a well connected friend this may be done via executive orders soon. Not sure how likely it is but seems plausible.
US philanthropies and non-profits groups focused on climate change fear that a potential loss of their tax-free status under the Trump administration could imperil their programmes.
Concerns have grown that the Trump administration is drafting an executive order on the eve of so-called Earth day next week that would have the effect of ending their tax-exempt [...]
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From the publisher's feed