Retail sales rose by 1.3 percent in October — its largest increase in eight months. What does this mean for the all-important holiday shopping in the weeks ahead? Will inflation keep shoppers away? Bryan Jordan, Nationwide's Deputy Chief Economist, shares his outlook on the holiday shopping season. [NFM-20130AO.57]

The U.S. economy has certainly seen turbulent times in 2022. And agricultural markets have not been immune to this, disrupted by geopolitics, weather events, and sharply rising costs for farmers throughout the year. In this episode, we look at events that impacted agricultural commodity prices with an outlook for 2023. [NFM-20130AO.56]

With inflation still high, the Fed just announced an increase of interest rates by three quarters of a percent, the sixth rate increase this year. Nationwide's Deputy Chief Economist Bryan Jordan and Senior Economist Ben Ayers provide their perspectives on the Fed's announcement and share their outlook on future rate increases.

How have these rate increases impacted the economy and financial markets?

How close are we to a recession?

With the FOMC meeting again next month, is there an appetite for another rate increase this year?

[NFM-20130AO.55]

Real GDP growth bounced back in the third quarter, increasing at an annualized rate of 2.6%. While still not strong, the renewed expansion for the economy is a further sign that a recession is not quite imminent. 

What trends do we see for consumers and businesses?

What is the likelihood of a recession? 

If a recession does occur, when could it start and how bad could it be?

[NFM-20130AO.54]

In addition to the many cyclical crosscurrents, the economy has also been hampered in recent years by several structural trends. Weakness in labor force and productivity growth have weighed on the underlying GDP trend and represent ongoing risk factors for the years ahead. Part two of our two-part series on the risks that weigh on economic growth focuses on productivity. [NFM-20130AO.53]

In addition to the many cyclical crosscurrents, the economy has also been hampered in recent years by several structural trends. Weakness in labor force and productivity growth have weighed on the underlying GDP trend and represent ongoing risk factors for the years ahead. Part one of our two-part series on the risks that weigh on economic growth focuses on the labor force. [NFM-20130AO.52]

Go beyond the pages of the quarterly Nationwide Market Insights (NMI) with Bryan Jordan, Nationwide's Deputy Chief Economist. In this podcast, Bryan provides additional perspective and commentary regarding key pages. View the quarterly report while you listen to this podcast. https://nationwidefinancial.com/economics

The North American International Auto Show just wrapped up its first assembly since 2019. This is a good time to share our outlook on the auto market, featuring insight from Ben Ayers - Senior Economist at Nationwide. Is auto production improving? How could a boost in supply impact new and used car prices? With the increase of electric vehicles and ride sharing, what shifts could we see in how consumers use their vehicles? [NFM-20130AO.50]

The FOMC held its September meeting this week, announcing another 75 basis point rate increase.

(*) What impact could this rate hike have on inflation and economic growth?

(*) Are more aggressive hikes on the horizon?

(*) Based on the Fed's recent actions, is the likelihood of a recession growing stronger?

Nationwide's Deputy Chief Economist Bryan Jordan and Senior Economist Ben Ayers reflect on the Fed's announcement and provide their perspectives on the economy. [NFM-20130AO.49]

August's CPI was higher than expected, putting further strain on the economy and alarming investors. In this episode, Nationwide's Deputy Chief Economist Bryan Jordan shares his perspective on the current state of inflation.

* Have we recovered from the supply-chain issues related to the pandemic?

* What else is driving inflation?

* What does the rising value of the dollar tell us?