Economy Guy

The 10 Year Treasury bond is rising rapidly in its interest rate.  This means the US Government must pay more interest on its newly created bonds.  Housing mortgage rates are rising slowly, and are expected to rise more rapidly.  What can the FED do to keep the rising interest rates from causing a stock market crash?

Several new indications of the US stock market being way too high were reviewed.  The US markets review showed the importance of the changes in the US 10 Year Treasury Bond.  An Option Hedge strategy was reviewed to protect yourself from a market crash.  A new indication of using the High Year Bond value as a precursor was reviewed.

I review some interesting international movements and review the markets and economic measures in the USA.  I review what true market experts are using to measure the "exuberance" of the market today.  Do you use any of these measures?  Perhaps you should.

Gamestop lost most of its value, but is still elevated above its fair value - this means the fight between the little investors and the Hedge Funds is still on.  The FED has shown many times in its history that it gets things wrong - what does the future hold?  Is bitcoin real, and what is it really?  Can you hold it in your hand?  The 10 Year Treasury is rising, and could be a precursor to a market crash.

The Dow lost 1000 points last week.  Why?  Was it just a correction, or did the GameStop (GME) story influence all of the participants in the market?  Why were the big boys and girls - hedge funds and brokerage firms - so upset about GameStop's action last week?  How did a bunch of small investors beat the Hedge Funds?  All this and more in this podcast.

A new organization.  I review the key precursors that can be use to predict the upcoming stock market crash.  How the FED makes its policy changes is reviewed and the top frothy stocks in the current stock market bubble.

A bond market technical sign shows that bonds have entered a bear market.  An expert shares his reasons what will be a precursor to a stock crash - and the bond bear market is one of them.  The environment at the start of 2021 for investing is explored and it is not very positive.

After reviewing the markets, I talk about taking more care with your philosophy in establishing investment ideas, and then review 4 things that could go wrong and 4 thing that could go right with the 2021 economy.  Then I review the major driver for the economy in 2021.

The markets for 2020 are reviewed with an excellent year for stocks, and better year for gold and smashing year for silver.  How did we get into this virus mess and how did the authorities deal with it?  What are some of the lessons learned about the virus in 2020?

HY bonds are discussed and their history as being a possible precursor to a stock market crash.  Gold is described as a place where purchasing power can be maintained.