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Are we at the end of a bull market? Are we about to see the bears set loose on Wall Street? No one knows for sure, but you can prepare. Today, Rob West welcomes investing expert and executive editor at Sound Mind Investing, Mark Biller to discuss an article in the SMI Newsletter, Beginning of the End, or Business as Usual? First, some definitions:
A bull market is defined as a market in which share prices are rising, which encourages buying.
A bear market is defined as a market in which share prices are falling, which encourages selling.
The SMI article talks about short-term market observations, and Mark says some basic investing ground rules are in order.
A person should only have money invested in the stock market if they can afford to leave it invested for at least five years.
Keep a long-term perspective in mind rather than looking for short-term gains. Short-term outlooks are often wrong.
Mark says not to abandon your long-term plan or let the rising bearishness scare you out of the market.
Rob asked why investors have been so pessimistic lately. Here are some factors that explain why.
Investors see how far this market has run since the March 2020 lows. Basically, stocks have doubled over the last 18 months, and the last -10% correction was a full year ago.
Politically speaking, the debt ceiling is an issue along with the massive infrastructure bill squabble that is going on.
The Federal government has started tapering off monthly bond purchases. While at the same time the aggressive government support for the past 18 months is dwindling as extended unemployment benefits, eviction moratoriums and other things have expired.
Inflation is an ongoing issue
Job growth is low, despite businesses being desperate for workers.
All of this combines to make for a very uncertain environment for economic growth as we head toward next year. Investors are always looking ahead and right now a lot of them are nervous about what they see.
Rob and Mark discussed whether we should be concerned about the current state of affairs. Mark stated that this is why time frames become so important. He also reminded listeners that whenever investors collectively rush to one side of the boat, the boat tends to tip back the other way to balance things out. Of course, none of this is any guarantee the market won't start sliding into a bear market tomorrow, but Mark reiterated his point to be patient, to avoid doing something irrational, and to stick with your long-term plans.
You can find the SMI article here:
https://soundmindinvesting.com/articles/view/beginning-of-the-end-or-business-as-usual
Next, Rob answered a few listener questions including the following:
I’m 71 years old and have a will in place. I’ve also been told that I need to have a trust. Do I need to have both, or just one of them?
I’m looking into getting my first credit card. Is there an advantage of going through my bank where I currently have accounts?
Remember, you can call in to ask your questions 24/7 at (800) 525-7000 or email them to [email protected]. Also, visit our website at MoneyWise.org where you can listen to past programs, connect with a MoneyWise Coach, and even download free, helpful resources like the free MoneyWise app.
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