Jefferson Starship sang a song many years ago called "Jane". Some of the words went..."Jane you're playing for fun, but I play for keeps!" I believe the market is like that. You cannot approach the market like it is for fun; at some point the market will play for keeps and our investment or our trade gets whacked.
I do a stock report for a trading community called Tackle Trading... you ought to check them out. There are a set of criteria I walk through to evaluate stock opportunities. While there are many criteria one should look through, I will not list them all; but here are a few critical ones.
1. Establish well-used moving averages The reason why this is important is because you want to see common areas where other traders or investors are making decisions. That is key, on every investment or trade you make someone is taking the other side of that investment. What do they see that you don't? What else do you need to be considering to build your confidence in your position? Take a moment to evaluate the other side of the investment or the trade and what they are considering.
Now some of this has to do with how you view your participation level in the market. If you consider you are a short term trader then you watch these moving averages very closely. If you are a longer term investor then you will still use them, but your frequency is certainly not at the same level.
What moving averages do you use? I suggest you have three moving averages.
2. Identify multiple time-frames to view the instrument your investing in or trading Once again the time frames you use will vary based on the kind of investor or trader that you are.
Here's a key tip: create moving averages on your charts that represent different timeframes! That has made all the difference for me.
Sometimes charts can get so busy, it is very difficult to get a cohesive view. Create a cohesive view and it will be a positive impact for you.
Much of this will require you to train your eyes to recognize opportunities. Over the years I have learned that it is the discipline TO the system more often than it is the system that is most critical.
How do you or I act, meaning how do we execute our system? That is a more critical part of financial investing. What rationale did you or I use to justify breaking a rule in our system?
One time I was hiking in the mountains; I was with a group of people, but we decided to split up and check out different parts of the mountain. We each had a GPS; and we had save the pin or the location of our camp. As night approached I decided to start heading back. It was a full moon, I had plenty of food and water and even some shelter I could create if needed. There was snow on the ground. The mountain was quiet. Almost too quiet.
I started back and it was dark now, other than the light of the moon. I was using my GPS to guide me back. However, with the light of the moon I could see the contour of the mountain, it sloped down to the left of me, and so did the trail I was on. Eventually I got to a point where my GPS was telling me to go to the right. However, my eyes and my brain were telling me to go to the left. I had an internal battle regarding which way to go. Am I going to use my instruments (my system) or will I go with what appears to be the correct way.
I ultimately decided to follow my system; at least in this case I did. I haven't always done that. I am grateful that I did, as the GPS was correct and I went up and over a mountain pass and down the other side to my camp.
Our investing and trading systems need to be followed; even when we have some indication things are going a different direction.
3. Find some way to represent momentum It is critical to have a representation of momentum on your charts; regardless of the kind of investor or trader that you are.
Sometimes short term momentum can mess with our minds and we get succored into a position. So, please note, that all of these items are to be taken together.
You want CONFLUENCE...you want them to work together.
So, when it is time to choose an opportunity for investment or trading evaluate: 1. moving averages 2. price action on multiple timeframes 3. momentum
Well, the market plays for keeps, but, according to Jefferson Starship it sounds like Jane was just playing for fun. Don't play for fun with your money...get a system and stick with it.
Thanks for joining, and until next time...stick with your system!