First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC 326, featuring a massive BMF Championship showdown between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira.

Hosts Dave Ross (@drosssports) and Rob Moreno (@TheRobbeo) are joined by Reed Kuhn (@Fightnomics) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into matchup dynamics, analytics, and model predictions ahead of fight night.

On this episode:

📊 Data-driven insights with Reed Kuhn

🥊 Holloway vs Oliveira BMF title fight breakdown

💰 Betting angles and market value

🎯 Model predictions across the card

Whether you’re betting the fights or just want sharper analysis heading into UFC 326, First Strike gets you ready for fight night.

🎧 Subscribe to First Strike wherever you get your podcasts.

🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com

Dave Ross — @drosssports

Rob Moreno — @TheRobbeo

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First Strike is back with a full betting preview of UFC Mexico, headlined by Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh.

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Dan Vreeland (@GumbyVreeland) to break down the card from a betting perspective, diving into model projections, matchup dynamics, and where the value might lie heading into fight night.

📊 Model-driven predictions

💰 Betting angles across the card

🧠 Moreno vs Kavanagh breakdown

🎯 Spots worth targeting (and avoiding)

Whether you’re looking for sharp analysis or actionable betting insight, First Strike gets you ready for UFC Mexico.

🎧 Subscribe and listen wherever you get your podcasts. Or watch on YouTube! (@FirstStrike-mma)

🐦 Follow the hosts on X: @drosssports & @TheRobbeo

🌐 More sports betting coverage at VSiN.com

00:00 - Welcome Back

01:13 - Previewing Brandon Moreno vs Lone’er Kavanagh

05:53 - A look at Marlon Vera vs David Martinez

08:00 - Expect Fireworks in Daniel Zellhuber vs King Green

10:00 - Diving Deeper in UFC Mexico

11:10 - Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

14:44 - Identifying some Prelim plays

18:19 - Welcome back Rob Moreno

20:38 - Extracting value out of Zellhuber vs Green

24:26 - A close look at Ailin Perez vs Macy Chiasson

28:06 - Advice from the data

31:16 - Main Event Model Predictions

37:44 - Wrap Up

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• The transition to Paramount Plus has made UFC more accessible.
• Viewers are willing to overlook some technical glitches for lower costs.
• The UFC is actively promoting finishes in fights.
• Strickland's fighting style may lead to a decision rather than a finish.
• There is value in betting on both Ege and Medich in their respective fights.
• Strickland's experience may give him an edge in the fight against Hernandez.
• Ronda Rousey's return is seen as a money grab rather than a serious comeback.
• The undercard features intriguing matchups that could surprise viewers.
• The importance of matchmaking in the UFC is highlighted by recent trends.
• Historical figures like Joe Frazier are essential to understanding the sport's legacy.

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First Strike is back with a full betting breakdown of UFC Vegas 113, live from the Meta Apex in Las Vegas.

Hosts Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Kyle Anthony (@KyleAnthonyUFC) to dive into bets, model predictions, and market reads for a card headlined by Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira.

📊 Model-driven fight projections

💰 Betting angles and value spots

🧠 How the numbers shape this week’s card

🔍 What bettors should (and shouldn’t) be targeting at the Apex

🎧 Subscribe to First Strike for weekly UFC betting previews and sharp analysis.

🎙️ Available wherever you get your podcasts.

🐦 Follow the hosts on X:

Dave Ross: @drosssports

Rob Moreno: @TheRobbeo

🌐 For more UFC and sports betting coverage, visit VSiN.com

00:00 — Cold Open / Hook

00:12 — Show Open Animation

00:20 — Introduction & Early Predictions

01:24 — Analyzing the Paramount Plus Experience

02:56 — Fight Card Breakdown: Bautista vs. Oliveira

06:32 — Nurmagomedov vs. Basharat: Tactical Breakdown

10:15 — Horiguchi vs. Albazi: Clash of Styles

13:26 — Final Thoughts & Upcoming Fights

13:39 — UFC Betting Outlook & Upcoming Events

14:29 — Paramount Plus Experience & Early Season Insights

16:54 — Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira Analysis

22:05 — Cong Wang Comeback & Fight Breakdown

27:03 — Jean Matsumoto vs. Farid Basharat

31:26 — Sean Strickland vs. Fluffy Hernandez Preview

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The UFC calendar rolls on with another massive title fight — and First Strike is back to break it all down.

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Reed Kuhn (@Fightnomics) to preview UFC 325, headlined by Alexander Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes. The crew digs into the numbers, betting markets, and stylistic matchups that matter most as the title picture continues to evolve.

On this episode:

📊 Analytical breakdowns with Reed Kuhn

💰 Betting angles, market movement & value spots

🎧 Subscribe to First Strike for weekly UFC betting previews and expert insight.

🎙️ Available wherever you get your podcasts.

00:00 — Dave Ross welcomes Reed Kuhn back to First Strike

00:39 — Reed Kuhn on Fightnomics fundamentals & evolving UFC models

02:06 — Where to find the Fightnomics book in 2026

03:36 — The Paramount+ era: does it change UFC analytics?

05:06 — UFC 325 Main Event: Volkanovski vs Diego Lopes 2

07:22 — Finish potential, totals movement & betting angles (Volk vs Lopes)

08:17 — Dan Hooker vs Benoit Saint Denis breakdown

10:42 — Totals talk & live-bet considerations (BSD fight)

11:37 — Mauricio Ruffy vs Rafael Fiziev model breakdown

13:31 — Decision prop talk & stylistic matchup notes
14:28 — Transition: Rob Moreno joins next
 

15:08 — Rob Moreno joins: how El Modelo was inspired by Fightnomics

15:29 — Why MMA modeling “clicked” compared to team sports

16:55 — VSiN Pro subscriber promo + upcoming betting calendar

17:46 — Super Bowl betting guide plug

18:05 — Ruffy vs Fiziev: over 2.5, toughness & finishing paths

21:19 — Benoit Saint Denis vs Dan Hooker: age, recency & model lean

24:42 — Round prop (1.5) discussion & BSD finish angle

26:15 — Alternate unders & BSD by finish

26:41 — Junior Tafa vs Billy Elekana: model fade & parlay angle

28:58 — Under 7.5 correlation & finish math

29:40 — Main Event breakdown: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2

30:25 — Why Rob is backing this fighter at the current price

33:38 — Totals repopulated (4.5): correlated betting angles

35:03 — If Lopes wins: wrestling adjustments & path to victory

35:34 — Final thoughts, subscribe reminder & sign-off
 

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The UFC is back — and First Strike kicks off the Paramount era with a full betting preview of UFC 324, headlined by Paddy Pimblett vs Justin Gaethje for the interim lightweight title.

Dave Ross is joined by Jordan Sherwood to break down early plays and angles (including the “Silva & Silva” parlay and a live dog look at Derrick Lewis), and Rob Moreno (“El Modelo”) is in for model projections and market reads.

Plus: what the “Paramount era” means for pacing, finishes, and presentation.

🎧 Available wherever you get your podcasts.

🌐 More betting coverage at VSiN.com.

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First episode of the new year!

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno return to First Strike with a look ahead to 2026 — including UFC betting tips for the year, a peek into the futures market, and an early conversation around UFC 324. Joined this week by special guest Lou Finocchiaro!

From long-term betting strategy to division outlooks and early market edges, the crew sets the tone for another big year on First Strike.

Programming note: We recorded this episode before the news broke that Kayla Harrison is out of next week’s fight against Amanda Nuñes due to injury.

👉 Subscribe for weekly UFC betting previews, sharp insights, and expert guests every fight week.

📲 Follow us across platforms: @drosssports | @TheRobbeo | @GambLou

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The curtain closes on 2025 with a special year-end episode of VSiN's First Strike.

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno look back on the biggest moments from the UFC betting year — including the biggest upsets, fighter of the year, and their favorite moments from a wild 2025 season.

The crew also gives a sneak peek at what’s coming in 2026, including the return of a special guest to kick off the new year. 

Thank you to everyone who tuned in, listened, and rode with us all year. We’ll see you in 2026. 👊

🎧 Subscribe and catch every episode wherever you get your podcasts.

📲 Follow us on all platforms: @drosssports | @TheRobbeo

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It’s the final event of 2025, and VSiN's First Strike is here with a full betting breakdown of UFC Vegas 112 👊

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno are joined by Kyle Anthony (@KyleAnthonyUFC) to preview a fun end-of-year fight card headlined by Brandon Royval vs Manel Kape.

From sharp angles to model projections, the crew breaks down the slate and delivers everything bettors need heading into the year’s last UFC event.

👉 Subscribe for weekly UFC betting previews, expert analysis, and top-tier guests.

📲 Follow us on X: @drosssports | @TheRobbeo | @KyleAnthonyUFC

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It’s the final PPV of the year, and VSiN's First Strike is here with a massive UFC 323 Betting Preview 🔥

Dave Ross and Rob Moreno break down a championship-stacked card featuring two title fights:

🏆 Merab Dvalishvili vs Petr Yan — Bantamweight Title

🏆 Alexandre Pantoja vs Joshua Van — Flyweight Title

This week, the crew is joined by two standout guests with sharp betting insights

🔹 Zayd Hussein (@Zayd__Hussein) & Nick Kalikas (@FightOdds) 

Get your full card analysis, best bets, “El Modelo” predictions, and all the angles you need for the biggest PPV of the year.

👉 Subscribe for weekly UFC betting previews, analytics, and expert guests.

📲 Follow us on all platforms: @drosssports | @The Robbeo

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