Theodore Cazals (@trueslazac) explains why French president Emmanuel Macron is unpopular, and why the French political system has entered a period of stability anyway.

William Kedjanyi (@KeejayOV3), Paul Krishnamurty (@paulmotty), and Pip Moss (@PipsFunFacts) analyze how British Prime Minister Keir Starmer could hold on to power.

Timestamps

0:10: Chougule introduces France segment

1:26: Chougule introduces UK segment

2:28: Intro ends

4:29: France interview begins

4:36: Cazals background

5:32: Cazals connection to prediction markets

6:50: Why Cazals lost money in prediction markets

11:44: Macron's approval ratings

12:53: French political system

13:37: Macron's political brand

17:13: Yellow Vest Movement

22:24: France Polymarkets

22:30: Macron out of office?

23:24: Impeachment

23:59: French legislative elections

25:52: Lecornu

26:14: Prime Ministers

26:58: Elisabeth Borne

30:48: Budget cuts

32:06: Pension reform

32:45: Reappointment of Lecornu

33:54: Lecornu out?

36:50: France segment ends

37:05: UK segment begins

37:18: Personnel changes?

38:53: Rachel Reeves out?

39:51: Cabinet reshuffle?

40:11: Starmer resigns?

41:37: Blair-Brown rivalry

43:28: Starmer relationship with MPs

44:11: Boris Johnson's ouster

45:43: Foreign policy

45:54: Starmer-Trump relationship

46:25: Greenland

49:05: Odds on Starmer leaving in 2026

Bet on French and British politics at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market.

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