The Mental Models Daily Podcast

Hindsight Bias


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Hindsight bias, also known as the "I-knew-it-all-along" effect, is the tendency for people to perceive past events as having been more predictable than they actually were before they occurred. It involves a distortion of memory where individuals mistakenly believe that they would have predicted an outcome or known the correct answer all along, despite not having done so.


I knew it all along... right? 🔮🧐 The illusion thatevents were predictable—after they’ve already happened.


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The Mental Models Daily PodcastBy Mental Models Daily

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