Market Moment Podcast

How Do Short Term Events Impact Long Term Plans?


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How do short-term market swings impact long-term retirement plans—and should you actually do anything when volatility spikes? In this episode of The Market Moment, Matt and Eli break down what recent market volatility really means for investors, especially those in or nearing retirement. While the headlines may focus on pullbacks in big tech and daily market swings, the bigger question is whether short-term events should change a well-built financial plan.

The conversation explores why volatility is historically normal, how bull markets regularly include 5–20% pullbacks, and why reacting emotionally can derail long-term outcomes. Using real data—from S&P 500 down days to the impact of missing just a handful of the market’s best days—Matt and Eli explain why discipline and preparation matter far more than prediction. They also dive into current market rotation, with money shifting away from large-cap tech and into sectors like energy, consumer staples, and international markets. For diversified investors, this shift may actually be a healthy and overdue development.

Most importantly, the episode focuses on retirement planning: how to structure income, why holding accessible cash can provide decision-making confidence, and how setting realistic return expectations (not 12% per year) helps build a plan that can withstand five to ten years of uncertainty.

Key topics include:

➡️ How short-term volatility impacts long-term retirement plans

➡️ Why intra-year drawdowns are completely normal—even in positive years

➡️ The surprising number of 1% down days in a typical year

➡️ Why missing the market’s best days can dramatically hurt returns

➡️ V-shaped recoveries and emotional decision-making

➡️ Sequence of returns risk in retirement

➡️ The importance of diversification during market rotation

➡️ Growth vs. “boring” sectors outperforming in 2025

➡️ Setting realistic return expectations for moderate portfolios

➡️ Why having a plan before volatility hits changes everything.

 

The episode wraps with a reminder that good markets are the best time to prepare for difficult ones. Locking in gains, managing risk, and building an income strategy before volatility shows up can make all the difference when it does.

 

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🍿 Watch Next: Eli's data brief... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8VAQZvQRhIE&t=2s

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📌 About The Market Moment Podcast: Hosted by advisors from Mach 1 Financial Group, LLC — a Registered Investment Advisor located in Rogers, Arkansas. We break down market trends, personal finance, retirement planning, and investing topics every week for everyday investors.

⚠️ Disclosure: The views expressed in this video are solely the opinions of the participants and are provided for informational purposes only. They should not be construed as investment advice, a recommendation, or a guarantee of future performance. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any securities or companies mentioned are for illustrative purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell. For more information about Mach 1 Financial Group LLC, please refer to our current disclosure brochure available through the SEC website or at disclosures.mach1fg.com.

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