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Tony discusses the market’s resilience against the Middle East war, record high Treasury yields, the equities sell-off, and more. He then takes a bullish position for an AI chip equipment stock and a bearish one in home construction before looking back at a trade of an American biopharmaceutical company.
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Oil prices surge higher as the Fed has issued an expected 25-bps rate hike in an effort to keep inflation in check. The markets have priced in one additional rate hike for 2026, and the outlook for energy suggests it could move even higher given geopolitical tensions and depleted reserves. Against this backdrop, Tony shares two bullish trade ideas, one in oil and another in tech.
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Tony discusses higher oil prices, the risk of a rate hike, and a stock market that’s weaker than it looks. He then shares an overall market hedge and a software trade before looking back at a position he took on an American computer networking company.
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Tony discusses rising Middle East tensions, which are creating macro pressures and fueling a more defensive market, with health care emerging as a leader. He then shares trade ideas in pharma and industrials before looking back at a recent trade in a US software company.
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Tony highlights how broad leadership is improving while tech is losing momentum in the divided markets. Additionally, he presents bullish trade ideas in streaming and defense and looks back at a recent trade in an American travel tech company.
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CPI day in America went as expected with a relatively tame print—clouding the decision on any potential rate hikes this year. As economic signals remain strong, geopolitics in the Middle East remain a wild card. Against that backdrop, Tony shares bullish trades in AI infrastructure and medtech while he looks back at a recent trade as it continues to break out.
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Tech roared back to life as tensions eased in the Middle East, sending markets back to all-time highs. Coupled with strong earnings, the breakout could be a bullish signal for equities moving forward. Against that backdrop, Tony shares two new trade ideas in semiconductors and tech.
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It was another down week for semiconductors as both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 saw a negative shift in momentum and the VIX spikes due to escalation in the Middle East. Despite the fears of prolonged conflict, the much-anticipated FOMC meeting did not result in a rate hike. Amidst the mixed macro signals, Tony shares two unexpected bullish trades in travel and tech.
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As diplomacy stalls in the Middle East, traffic in the Strait of Hormuz and throughout the Red Sea is also slowing down. Markets appear to be looking past the conflict, but with energy prices surging, investors may be overly optimistic about a resolution. Tony shares a bearish trade idea in a building supply company stuck in an unfavorable macro setup as well as a bullish opportunity in gold, which could benefit from the ongoing tensions with Iran.
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We’re seeing a healthy market under the surface through rotation and earnings strength, but oil remains a market wildcard as tensions renew in the Middle East. Despite a cooler CPI in June, the bond market appears to believe this is an exception and the inflationary trend could continue. Tony shares two bullish trades in tech companies that showed returns on their investment in AI.
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