The markets have been through a lot of volatility but the light is clearly visible at the end of the tunnel. Do you see what I see? Lets discuss

The sell off in Indian equities has been joined by global equities. The US market is late in the business cycle where it often slips into a recession. The yield curve is steepening causing equities to decline. Bond yields are rising along with the dollar. Not the ideal mix of Macros for a bull market. The bear is thumping the table.

Nifty has broken out ahead of RBIs monetary policy setting meeting on Friday. The mood is of enthusiasm around potential rate cuts as the economy and earnings slow down in India. Will one rate cut really solve the problem though needs to be seen

State elections in India are generating hopes of rally. But earnings have disappointed big time. Can the RBI save the day with rate cuts? Will Donald Trump's trade wars overwhelm all markets? Lots of questions.

Nifty continues to fall the most in global markets. This week the US market which was rising after Donald Trump's election also gave up all the gains. Now rising bond yields and a rising dollar haunt the market. The coming week will set the tone for how markets unfold over the coming twelve months.

The first significant correction in Nifty since March 2023. The stock market is getting oversold in the short term. US elections are adding to the uncertainty. How should we position ourselves?

Nifty made a new all time high this week. The Indian stock market is struggling with the idea that it is overbought or Overvalued. On the other hand, liquidity remains strong and demand has exceeded new supply. Understand this delicate balance. The interest rate cycle is show a trend reversal.

A lot of fear exists around investing in banking stocks. The fear may have been created by the narrative around savings going into bank deposits. The solution offered was higher taxes. On the other hand interest rates are about to start going lower. How does all this add up for the stock market?

The Growing liquidity at a global level and with equity mutual funds in India will continue to fuel a rally in the Indian stock market. The Reflation trade 2.0 refers to wave 3 of the commodity Cycle kicking off where Gold is leading the way Copper has bottomed out and a slow and steady rise in oil will follow falling inflation. This inversion is important to understand.

From the yen carry trade to the risk of recession the markets are back to discounting lower interest rates and a soft landing. Indian stock market has remained subdued due to the resurgence of the Adani scandal. These negatives should be discounted and we should join global stocks higher soon because sentiment is too bearish