Long term investors win when they respect macro risk, culture, and liquidity.
In this conversation, Thomas digs into how Jean-Baptiste thinks about capital deployment after two decades in private equity, from BC Partners CIO to his family office, board roles at Pershing Square and Howard Hughes, and now teaching at Sciences Po. 💡
He lays out his investor matrix in plain language: start with macro trends, never invest in what you do not truly understand, insist on durable competitive advantage, be obsessed with people and culture, and always buy optionality on both growth and exit. Simple to say, hard to practice.
The contrast between two deals says it all. Allflex, a boring sounding business tagging cows, became a global animal intelligence platform and a 1.5 billion capital gain. Pronovias, a bridalwear leader, showed how macro shocks, founder centric culture and liquidity constraints can turn a strong asset into a painful lesson. 📉
From there, the lens widens to the industry. Jean-Baptiste expects a tough vintage for private equity, consolidation among the 19,000 firms, and continued dominance for the giants who can scale into retail capital. At the same time, he is blunt on Europe, from shrinking capital markets to being absent in AI, and tells his own students that if they want to build ambitious companies, they should seriously consider going West. 🌍
Climate risk, energy constraints and AI mania all show up in his framework, but always through one question: what do the next ten years really look like for this business, its balance sheet, and its stakeholders?
"If you're not competing in AI, you're going to disappear economically."
#privateequity #investing #ai #europe #founders
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