Pricing of a March rate cut will likely be challenged in coming weeks.

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The SPX and RTY could signal an imminent cyclical recovery.

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Consensus is looking for December headline CPI to come in at +0.2% MoM, up from +0.1% in November as the recent decline in energy prices is now behind us.

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Consensus is looking for a headline reading of +0.2% MoM or +3.2% YoY, but what are the results in other prints?

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A pullback in rate cut expectations remains the single biggest risk to equity markets.  

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The SPX is currently trading below levels that signal a short-term reversal.

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Tomorrow’s Jobs Report has the potential to be an important near-term macro catalyst for markets given the recent back up in yields.  

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The three-day pullback in the S&P 500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RTY) comes as both benchmarks approach broad range resistance.  

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The SPX is approaching technical range resistance where we expect the index to decelerate and possible bearishly reverse.

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Tomorrow brings November core PCE and final Michigan consumer confidence with inflation expectations.

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