Ecaterina Bigos, Chief Investment Officer for Asia ex-Japan, and Daniel Morris, Chief Market Strategist, discuss how financial markets might evolve in 2026 and where the biggest opportunities and risks lie. In terms of developments to monitor, they weigh up topics such as the US’s ambition to produce more of what it consumes, the durability of capital spending on artificial intelligence, monetary policy, and Europe’s drive to boost competitiveness and strategic autonomy.

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The US economy is headed for a spell of slower growth in 2026 and while inflation may not fall much further, slack in the labour market should allow for additional cuts in the benchmark fed funds rate – overall, this is a favourable backdrop for US high-yield corporate bonds. Jack Stephenson, Investment Specialist for US High-Yield, tells Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris that high-yield credit is perhaps not the cheapest now, but the quality of bond issuers has improved notably.

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Geologically and meteorologically, Asia is vulnerable when it comes to the fallout from climate change. Crystal Geng, Asia ESG Research Lead, talks to Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about the factors driving Asia's push for decarbonisation, nature conservation, and greater equality.

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Emerging markets are generally in good shape, providing a supportive backdrop for EM bonds, in particular those in local currencies. On this week’s podcast, they also discuss the outlook for hard currency EM debt, particularly with an eye on expectations for the dollar, US monetary policy, trade and commodity prices.

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Economic growth in China has slowed over the past 2-1/2 years although Beijing has undertaken numerous fiscal measures to stimulate growth, encourage investment, prop up the property market and restore consumer confidence. Listen to Chi Lo, Global Market Strategist, and Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris, as they discuss the government’s efforts to steer the economy back on to a path of sustainable growth.

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What role can natural capital assets such as woodland, but also farmland, play in institutional investors' portfolios? Listen to our podcast with Celine Claudon, Chief Commercial Officer for International Woodland Company, and Andy Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insights Centre.

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Investing in European stocks on the basis of quality-focused criteria has gone through a rough patch, but as Carmine De Franco, Head of Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management, tells Andrew Craig, Co-Head of the Investment Insight Centre, investors should not lose faith: quality has a place in diversified portfolios implementing investment factors. Over the last 25 years, three types of factor investing — quality, growth and value—have stood out due to their distinct attributes and impact on portfolio performance at different phases of the economic cycle.

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Emerging market equities have overcome the initial fallout from US tariffs on imported goods, thanks, in part, to resilient demand in the US and a weak dollar. Zhikai Chen, Head of Global Emerging Market Equities, talks with Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris about how the market is adapting to a new paradigm.  

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Ahead of November’s COP30 climate summit, Thibaud Clisson, Climate Change Lead, explains where we stand on collective efforts to limit global warming and address the impact of climate change. What progress have stakeholders made over the past year? Can investors look forward to new pledges on topics such as climate financing for developing countries?

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Key themes in global equity markets besides artificial intelligence currently include renewable energy to power datacentres, defence, which is going through a super-cycle, and – perhaps unexpectedly – undervalued stocks in the healthcare sector. Nadia Grant, Head of Global Equities, talks Chief Market Strategist Daniel Morris through these megatrends.  

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