Three weeks into Iran’s uprising, this episode cuts through the viral “regime collapse is imminent” hype and forces a harder question: what does it actually take to topple a government that is organized, armed and fighting for its life? With Iran effectively dark under an extended internet blackout, the guest walks viewers through the brutal limits of open-source reporting, why comparisons to 1979 don’t cleanly fit today’s Iran and why fractured opposition movements almost always lose to disciplined regimes. You will come away with a clearer framework for reading the next headlines: what outside intervention can and cannot do, why “take out the leader” is not a plan, how sanctions and strategic pressure work over time and which regional and global players (from Beijing to Moscow to Riyadh) stand to gain no matter how the street battles end.