A close reading of recent statements and threats by President Erdogan and Turkish officials that target not only Greece, but also the US, as well as a consistent pattern of events over the last months, show that the risk of conflict between Turkey and Greece is on the rise. Ryan Gingeras, a professor in the Department of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School, an expert on Turkish, Balkan, and Middle East history, and the author of the forthcoming book The Last Days of the Ottoman Empire, joins Thanos Davelis to look at why a conflict between Greece and Turkey appears not only possible but increasingly probable, and why Erdogan - despite the risks involved - may choose to pursue this course of action.

Read Ryan Gingeras’ latest piece in War On The Rocks here: Why Erdogan Might Choose War With Greece

You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:

Ankara eyes bigger military in Anatolia, Turkish-occupied north of Cyprus

Greek PM calls for ‘respect for international law,’ as Europe’s new club meets

Heated exchange between Mitsotakis and Erdogan in Prague

Europe holds 44-leader summit, leaves Russia in the cold

PM says EU needs to counter gas market manipulation

Tensions flare over the EU’s new irresponsible big spender: Germany