This article is by Lee Jian and read by an artificial voice.
After a shaky yet hopeful year in the art world, Art Basel Hong Kong, 2026's first major art fair in Asia, is just around the corner. Set to kick off for three days starting Friday, this year's fair is anticipated to serve as a barometer for what many hope will be a recovering art scene.
As Asia's largest art fair, Art Basel Hong Kong typically draws between 80,000 and 90,000 visitors. This year, it will host 240 galleries from 41 countries, the same number of galleries as last year.
Its director, Angelle Siyang-Le, was bullish about the market ahead of the fair, pointing to strong performances at New York's marquee auctions late last year. At Sotheby's, a self-portrait by Frida Kahlo sold for $54.7 million, setting a new auction record for a female artist, while a portrait by Gustav Klimt fetched $236.4 million — among the highest prices ever achieved at auction.
"Established galleries continued to bring heavy hitters to the fair, including million-dollar works, showing that art fairs still hold significant weight," Siyang-Le told the Korea JoongAng Daily in an interview last month. "We definitely feel the market has become more stable from Q4 into Q1 of 2026, and there is more confidence overall."
Still, the broader picture remains complex. The global art market has struggled to regain momentum since the Covid-19 pandemic. Art sales fell 12 percent in 2024 on-year, marking a second consecutive year of decline, according to the Art Basel and UBS Global Art Market Report. The downturn extended to the beginning of 2025, with the three major auction houses — Christie's, Sotheby's and Phillips — recording an average 6 percent decline in sales in the first half of 2025 compared to the previous period.
And although high-profile auctions toward the end of last year showed signs of resilience, uncertainty persists amid ongoing economic unease and geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East.
Hong Kong itself, long a major art hub in Asia, has faced increasing instability as it navigates a more precarious position between China and the West, intensified by Beijing's tightening control since 2020. Yet it remains the region's original art market powerhouse, bolstered by its strategic location, ease of transport, tax-free status and a strong base of deep-pocketed collectors. The city ranks second only to New York in ultra-wealthy residents, according to Altrata's World Ultra Wealth Report 2025.
For galleries, on the front lines of the art market, where sales are made and losses felt, the upcoming Art Basel Hong Kong 2026 means different things: for some, it is a natural and necessary return; for others, a risk and a dream.
Hakgojae, the fair's regular, said it felt mounting pressure during the market slowdown of 2023 and 2024, but was still "able to glimpse signs of possibility" at last year's edition. The gallery has participated in Art Basel Hong Kong every year since its founding in 2013.
"Although the [geopolitical] situation in Hong Kong has changed from what it was in previous years, which brought some concerns, it was also an occasion that confirmed that where there is a crisis, there can also be an opportunity," said Lisa Shin, exhibition manager at Hakgojae. "It may not be the same as during the boom years, but I believe there is always a way forward."
Recent trends suggest that lower-priced works are outperforming ultra-high-value pieces, but Hakgojae does not see this as a limitation.
"I feel that this is not simply a matter of price, but rather a time when the artistic quality of a work becomes even more important," Shin said. "When purchases are not made as easily, collectors think more carefully and look more deeply into the completeness of the work and the artist's overall practice. I believe this shift can actually be a healthy sign."
Taking a long-term view, the gallery has continued to introduce artists who were previously less known in Hong Ko...