Analyzing schematic failures, the decline of the Pete Carroll system, and 2026 coaching pivots for the NFL's bottom-tier units.

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In this episode:

Examine the league’s bottom-tier defenses, which struggled to execute complex, positionless systems they did not fundamentally understand.

Why the blueprint of the Pete Carroll defensive system has officially reached its end as a winning model in 2026.

Explain the Dallas Cowboys pivot to Christian Parker’s 3-4 base Fangio scheme that utilizes 4-3 spacing and shades.

How the Cincinnati Bengals stabilized their season by shifting toward five-man pressures and multiple fronts after the bye week.

Dissect how the New York Jets reached a historical low by failing to record a single turnover despite employing a defensive head coach.

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Timestamps:

00:01 Introduction: NFL Defensive Dumpsters

01:31 Dallas Cowboys: The End of the Carroll System

10:33 Washington Commanders: Restructuring and Outliers

15:15 Cincinnati Bengals: A Tale of Two Halves

26:08 New York Jets: The Improbable Turnover Drought

34:49 Tennessee Titans: Robert Saleh’s Wide-Nine

39:33 San Francisco 49ers: Personnel Struggles and Transition

43:37 New York Giants: Recreating the Ravens Model

54:02 Chicago Bears: Volatility and Secondary Decisions

55:02 Conclusion: Offseason Outlook

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This week on Let's Talk Ball!, Cody and Felix dive into the first official show of the 2026 offseason. It has been a historic cycle with nearly 10 head coaching openings, and we are breaking down the hires, the schematic shifts, and the "bald-headed" defensive tree taking over NFL staffs.

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In this episode:

The Dolphins’ Hard Reset: We analyze Tyreek Hill's release and the probable move to Quinn Ewers as Miami's starter.

The Giants’ New Power Dynamic: John Harbaugh is now the clear alpha in New York, with the GM reportedly sequestered to a scouting-only role.

Raiders’ Youth Movement: The Raiders are leaning into innovation with Clint Kubiak and quarterback Fernando Mendoza.

The “Bald-Headed” Defensive Tree: We noticed a hilarious trend—Robert Saleh’s staff in Tennessee is officially the baldest in football history.

Best & Worst Hires: Kevin Stefanski to the Falcons earns our vote for the best hire, provided Michael Penix Jr. stays healthy.

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Timestamps:

00:00 Intro: The first official show of the 2026 offseason

00:50 Bengals: Al Golden’s defensive salvage job and Twitter "A-non" trolls

01:37 Dolphins: The Tyreek Hill release and the start of the Quinn Ewers era

06:11 Tua Tagovailoa: Injury risks and the "Chad Pennington" comparison

10:37 Raiders: Rob Leonard promoted to DC and Patrick Graham’s exit

15:59 Giants: John Harbaugh’s total control and Matt Nagy’s role

20:32 Denard Wilson: Why Wilson is the perfect "course correction" for the Giants

25:10 Ravens: Jesse Minter as the "McDonald Light" hire

29:25 Titans: Robert Saleh and the baldest "Milk Dud" staff in NFL history

33:17 Raiders Pt. 2: Clint Kubiak, Fernando Mendoza, and the "child head coach" strategy

39:59 Bills: Jim Leonard’s Wisconsin defense and the Joe Brady/Saints tie

42:17 Falcons: Kevin Stefanski and the potential Michael Penix Jr. explosion

45:32 Steelers: Mike McCarthy’s retread staff and Patrick Graham's arrival

47:35 Dolphins Pt. 2: Jeff Hafley and the front-office Packers reunion

49:21 Cardinals: Mike LaFleur and the family-owned internal hire trend

50:37 Browns: Todd Monken, Deshaun Watson, and "one and done" potential

55:34 49ers: Raheem Morris’s schematic pivot in San Francisco

56:10 Packers: Jonathan Gannon and the Brandon Staley comparisons

56:38 Chargers: Mike McDaniel and the Joe Alt/Rashawn Slater tackle duo

57:14 Jets: Frank Reich and the "Justice for Steve Wilks" debate

59:12 Chiefs: Eric Bieniemy returns, and DeMarco Murray joins the staff

01:00:23 Broncos: Davis Webb’s retention as a "Bo Nix move"

01:00:42 Commanders: David Blough’s fast rise to Offensive Coordinator

01:01:49 Cowboys: Christian Parker and the cerebral shift on defense

01:03:06 Lions: Drew Petsig and the transition from Dan Campbell’s play-calling

01:04:53 Buccaneers: Zac Robinson and the ever-growing Rams tree

01:06:43 Sean McDermott: Why the cycle’s top candidate didn’t get a job

01:07:46 Outro: MatchQuarters subscription and getting Felix out of the basement

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

From the 'B-Gap Blueprint' to the 'Modular Defense,' we go inside the film to see how the Seahawks squeezed the life out of Drake May and the Patriots’ offense.

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In this episode:

Mike Macdonald’s Defensive Masterclass: A deep dive into the “modular” defense and the surgical B-gap pressure that neutralized the New England Patriots.

Sam Darnold’s Redemption: The narrative of the 29-year-old quarterback exercising his career demons to become a Super Bowl champion.

Kenneth Walker’s MVP Performance: Analyzing the persistent Seahawks run game that eventually broke the dam and secured Walker the MVP.

The “Early” Patriots: Why Drake May and a young New England roster struggled to find comfort against a top-tier defensive unit.

Lessons for Young Coaches: Why this Super Bowl serves as a “pure” coaching blueprint for teaching modern defensive leverage and complexity.

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Timestamps:

00:00:01 - Super Bowl Viewing Rituals & Family Dynamics

00:01:49 - Post-Game Tape Study & Initial Reactions

00:02:13 - Sam Darnold’s Super Bowl Championship & Career Redemption

00:03:19 - Drake May’s Development & The “Early” Patriots

00:05:47 - Box Score Nuance: Kenneth Walker vs. Trash Yardage

00:09:40 - Mike Macdonald & The “Defensive Sean McVay”

00:10:44 - Building the Coaching Tree: Baltimore/Michigan Pipeline

00:14:43 - The Non-Negotiables: Turnovers & Explosives

00:17:36 - Defensive Schematic Breakdown: Harassing the B-Gap

00:19:44 - 5-Man “Dog” Pressures & Odd vs. Even Spacing

00:23:25 - Coverage Masterclass: Quarters, Tampa 2, & Match Concepts

00:26:33 - “Hot” Blitzes: 6-Man Pressure on 3rd & Long

00:28:43 - Devin Witherspoon: The Ultimate Defensive Leveraging Tool

00:30:22 - The Educator Mindset: Coaching the Player First

00:33:30 - Patriots Defensive Game Plan & Christian Gonzalez Analysis

00:38:56 - Offensive Turning Points: AJ Barner & Wide Zone Play-Action

00:43:03 - Drake May’s “I’m Young” Wall & Tight Window Struggles

00:47:33 - Offseason Outlook: Can the Seahawks Run it Back?

01:03:03 - Final Referendum on the 2025 Defensive Season

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

We preview Super Bowl LX by analyzing if Drake Maye and the "Zombie" Patriots can upset the "Darkside" Seahawks defense in a battle of efficiency versus explosive plays. Plus, we break down the latest 2026 NFL coaching carousel news, including Todd Monken to the Browns and Mike LaFleur to the Cardinals.

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In this episode:

- Preview the Super Bowl LX matchup, analyzing whether the “Zombie” Patriots’ deep-ball attack can disrupt the “Darkside” efficiency of the Seahawks’ defense.

- Identify the biggest X-factors for Sunday, including Sam Darnold’s “redemption tour” against the team that made him see ghosts and Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s potential MVP performance from the slot.

- React to the Cleveland Browns’ “wild” decision to hire Todd Monken and the potential defensive fallout if Jim Schwartz departs.

- Discuss the continued dominance of the Shanahan/McVay tree in the NFC West with Mike LaFleur taking the Cardinals job and Clint Kubiak heading to the Raiders.

- Break down the Baltimore Ravens’ internal succession plan, with Jesse Minter returning as Head Coach and Anthony Weaver joining as Defensive Coordinator.

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Timestamps:

00:00 – Intro: Live from “Radio Row” & Super Bowl Week

02:00 – Reaction: Todd Monken to the Browns & losing Jim Schwartz

07:03 – Mike LaFleur to the Cardinals: The Shanahan/McVay tree dominates the West

11:22 – Klint Kubiak to the Raiders & how coaching hires affect playoff teams

16:03 – Ravens Reload: Jesse Minter returns as Head Coach

21:21 – Giants Hire Denard Wilson & the lack of minority offensive coordinators

23:16 – Joe Brady stays in Buffalo & rumors of Jim Leonhard to the Packers

25:24 – Cowboys Staffing: Christian Parker & the intra-division rivalry

27:04 – Super Bowl LXI Preview: The “Zombie” Patriots vs. The “Death Star” Seahawks

32:38 – The Drake Maye “Cheat Code”: Can he beat efficiency with deep balls?

38:35 – Sam Darnold’s Redemption Tour: Facing the “Ghosts” one last time

44:47 – Super Bowl X-Factor: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (JSN) vs. the Patriots’ secondary

50:49 – Keys to Victory: How New England can manufacture an upset

56:49 – Final Super Bowl LX Score Predictions

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

We break down Indiana's "perfect" National Championship run and the schematic evolution of the NFL run game from Wide Zone back to Duo. Plus, we react to the Steelers' controversial hiring of Mike McCarthy and analyze how the Patriots and Seahawks punched their tickets to the Super Bowl.

In this episode:

Break down Indiana’s “perfect” National Championship victory and the fundamental-heavy approach that defined their historic season.

React to the latest NFL coaching hires, including why Mike McCarthy to the Steelers feels like the “worst hire” of the cycle.

Analyze the AFC Championship game, questioning the Broncos’ aggressive 4th-down decision-making in severe weather conditions.

Recap the Seahawks’ win over the Rams, focusing on Sam Darnold’s surprising efficiency and the Rams’ passive defensive strategy.

Detail the schematic evolution of the NFL run game as offenses shift from Wide Zone back to Duo to punish lighter defensive fronts.

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Timestamps:

00:00 - Intro: Indiana as the "Perfect" College Football Story

06:52 - Cignetti’s Philosophy: Being an "A**hole" About Fundamentals

13:21 - Schematic Breakdown: How Indiana’s "Wolves in Sheep's Clothing" Defense Stifled Miami

19:15 - NFL Coaching Carousel: Stefanski & Harbaugh Staff Moves

21:40 - Hafley to Miami & The End of Tua?

23:45 - Jesse Minter to the Ravens

25:50 - Robert Saleh to the Titans

27:39 - Mike McCarthy to Pittsburgh: The "Worst Hire" of the Cycle?

32:01 - Eric Bieniemy Returns to KC (The "Soft Firing")

35:03 - The Buffalo Bills: The Most Dysfunctional Job in the NFL

40:36 - AFC Championship: Broncos vs. Patriots & The Weather Factor

44:34 - Is Christian Gonzalez Actually a Lockdown Corner?

52:08 - NFC Championship: Rams vs. Seahawks Recap

01:02:25 - Schematic Trends: The Shift from Wide Zone Back to Duo

01:05:40 - The Cardinals Vacancy & Prediction for Chris Shula

01:10:02 - Outro

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© 2026 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

We break down the Bills' firing of Sean McDermott after their loss to the Broncos, analyze the hire of John Harbaugh to the Giants, and preview the Championship Sunday matchups: Patriots vs. Broncos and Rams vs. Seahawks. Plus, was that the best throw of Caleb Williams' life?

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In this episode:

The McDermott Firing & Coaching Carousel: We analyze the Bills’ decision to move on from Sean McDermott, the hiring of John Harbaugh by the Giants, and Kevin Stefanski landing in Atlanta.

Playoff Recap & Controversy: We break down the controversial finish to the Bills-Broncos game, the “meta” flip that doomed Buffalo’s roster construction, and Caleb Williams’ insane throw in the Bears’ loss.

The CJ Stroud Dilemma: We discuss the Texans’ offensive collapse against New England and debate whether Houston is stuck in “quarterback purgatory” regarding Stroud’s next contract.

AFC Championship Preview (Patriots vs. Broncos): We look at how the Patriots can attack Denver’s pass rush and how the Broncos will adjust with Jared Stidham stepping in for the injured Bo Nix.

NFC Championship Preview (Rams vs. Seahawks): We preview the Round 3 matchup between Seattle and LA, focusing on the Stafford vs. Darnold quarterback battle and the Jaxon Smith-Njigba X-factor.

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Timestamps:

» Part I: The Coaching Carousel & Front Office

00:00 The Bills Clean House Discussion on the firing of Sean McDermott and the promotion of GM Brandon Beane.

00:47 Roster vs. The Meta Analysis of how the Bills built a roster to beat the Chiefs/Bengals but failed to adjust to the league-wide shift toward 12 personnel.

05:43 The “Intellectual” Defensive Coach: A look at candidates like Brian Daboll and the trend toward hiring “intellectual” defensive minds similar to Mike Macdonald and Brandon Staley.

07:53 Stefanski to Atlanta Breakdown of the potential fit for Kevin Stefanski with the Falcons’ offensive weapons (Bijan Robinson, Drake London).

10:38 Ulbrich & The Wide-9 Shift: Why keeping Jeff Ulbrich signals a commitment to the Wide-9/Quarters-heavy defensive structures popularized by the Saleh tree.

12:50 The Harbaugh Clause: John Harbaugh to the Giants, and the unique contract clause stating he answers only to the owner.

» Part II: Schematic Analysis & Game Recaps

21:03 Gap Schemes vs. Speed: How the Bills utilized Pin-Pull concepts to exploit Denver’s speed, noting Denver’s 20th rank against Duo runs.

22:33 Motion to Disrupt Coverage Denver used motion on 75% of plays (a season-high) to force communication checks and disrupt Buffalo’s split-field rotations.

24:22 Erasing the Deep Ball Denver’s secondary held Josh Allen to 0-for-6 passing with 2 INTs on attempts of 20+ yards.

27:03 Texans Offensive Collaps:e A breakdown of C.J. Stroud’s struggles and the Texans’ inability to counter the Patriots’ game plan.

30:08 Patriots MOFO Spike The Patriots increased their Middle of Field Open (MOFO) usage to 60%, using weak rotation vs. 3x1 and split-field vs. 2x2 to eliminate crossing routes.

» Part III: Previews & Adjustments

32:59 Patriots vs. Broncos Preview: The matchup of the Patriots’ Man-Blocking/Duo schemes against the Broncos’ fast-flow defense.

40:35 The Caleb Williams Throw Reaction to the 45-yard cross-body throw from Caleb Williams in the Rams-Bears game.

46:02 Pressure vs. Condensed Sets Dennis Allen’s adjustment to blitz the edges and use DB pressure specifically against 12/13 personnel condensed formations, forcing the Rams into spread looks.

» Part IV: NFC Championship Preview

48:41 #1 Offense vs. #1 Defense Setting the stage for the Rams (Outside Zone) vs. Seahawks (Wide-9/Cover 2).

50:00 The Schematic Conflict The clash between the Rams’ outside run game and the Seahawks’ defensive front is designed to force runs inside.

51:27 The Cover 2 Weakness Identifying the Seahawks’ 16th-ranked DVOA vs. Tight Ends as the key area for Stafford to attack the interior of the Cover 2.

55:53 The JSN Factor: Why Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the X-factor for breaking down zone coverages in this matchup.

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

We break down the X's and O's behind the NFL's record-breaking Wild Card weekend, analyzing how Buffalo's disguised coverages and the Eagles' collapse defined the slate. Plus, we preview the National Championship clash between Indiana and Miami, explaining why the title will be decided by 'movement-based' defense versus raw trench power.

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In this episode:

The “Cignetti Bowl” Preview: We analyze the National Championship matchup, highlighting the shared James Madison roots of the defensive coordinators and contrasting Miami’s physical, NFL-prototype front with Indiana’s movement-based, stunt-heavy scheme.

Historic Wild Card Weekend: We recap a record-breaking opening round of the playoffs that featured more lead changes than the entire past postseason combined, headlined by Caleb Williams and the Bears rallying late to knock off the Packers.

Buffalo’s Cover 2 Masterclass: We break down how the Bills confused Trevor Lawrence by running “all the Cover 2s”—mixing various hybrid coverages and rotations to force mistakes despite playing a simple structure on paper.

The Eagles’ Statistical Anomaly: We discuss the Philadelphia Eagles' collapse and the heat on Nick Sirianni, noting the rarity of a team losing a playoff game despite being +2 in turnover margin and +65 in rushing yards.

The “Anti-Defense” Philosophy: We examine the modern defensive approach used by the Texans and 49ers, which relies less on exotic schemes and more on elite linebacker depth and precise vertical drops to shut down the intermediate passing game.

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Timestamps:

0:00 Intro: A Historic Wild Card Weekend

2:10 National Championship Preview: The "Cignetti Bowl"

5:00 Miami’s NFL Prototype Front vs. Indiana’s Movement-Based Defense

11:06 Natty Predictions: Why Mendoza Fits the Hoosiers

17:31 Rams vs. Panthers: Puka Nacua & The "Dome Quarterback" Dilemma

23:17 Bears vs. Packers: Caleb Williams Arrives in the 4th Quarter

28:36 Bills vs. Jaguars: Josh Allen’s Perfection vs. Trevor Lawrence’s Mistakes

31:37 Scheme Breakdown: How Buffalo Ran "All the Cover 2s"

33:20 49ers vs. Eagles: The Coaching Mismatch

35:35 The "Weak Hook" & The Value of Modern Linebackers

39:56 The Eagles' Collapse: Losing Despite Winning the Stats

45:40 Patriots vs. Chargers: The "Show Zone, Play Man" Game Plan

49:48 Texans vs. Steelers: The Nuance of "Anti-Defense"

53:01 The Coaching Carousel: Underrated Candidates & Predictions

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

Cody Alexander and Felix Johnson break down the shocking firing of Kevin Stefanski and the 2026 NFL coaching carousel before diving into a schematic preview of every Wild Card Weekend matchup. From the Seahawks' defensive dominance to the Eagles vs. 49ers rematch, get expert analysis and predictions for the first round of the NFL playoffs.

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In this episode:

Reactions to Major Firings: Cody and Felix debate the logic behind the “shocking” firing of Kevin Stefanski by the Cleveland Browns and the expected departure of Pete Carroll from the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Coaching Carousel: The duo analyzes potential landing spots for top candidates, identifying the Atlanta Falcons as a perfect fit for Stefanski while discussing openings for names like Mike Vrabel and Bill Belichick.

Defensive Deep Dives: Cody breaks down the “Legion of Boom 2.0” in Seattle, detailing how their zone-heavy scheme dominates the middle of the field, and examines the blitz-heavy nature of the Broncos’ defense.

Wild Card Matchup Previews: The hosts discuss the “Paper Tiger Bowl” between the Patriots and Chargers and explain why Vic Fangio and the Eagles’ defense are uniquely suited to stop the 49ers’ offense in their rematch.

Playoff Predictions: Predictions for the weekend slate include the Texans winning a low-scoring slugfest against the Steelers and the Jaguars potentially upsetting the Bills by controlling the ground game.

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Timestamps:

The Coaching Carousel

00:00 Intro: Draft season vs. Playoff season

00:38 Raiders fire Pete Carroll: Was it the meddling? Plus, Patrick Graham’s future

02:12 Jonathan Gannon out in Arizona: Why the scheme never gelled

03:54 The Stefanski Shocker: Why the Browns fired him and why it’s a mistake

05:07 The Falcons Opening: Is Stefanski the perfect bridge for Cousins and Penix?

08:58 Titans & Giants: Vrabel’s exit and the strange stability of NYG’s front office

14:26 The Dolphins: Why Mike McDaniel is safe for now

16:54 NFC East Shakeup: Cowboys/Commanders firing; DC candidates for Dallas

19:34 Coordinator Candidates: Jesse Minter and Chris Shula are ready for the jump

Defensive Trends & Regular Season Review

22:53 Defense wasn’t the problem: Analyzing the Lions and Colts

26:55 “Paper Tiger” Defenses: Why the Patriots and Chargers are deceiving

30:06 49ers Defense: The “Mosquito Defense” Bend but don’t break

33:08 Seahawks Defense: How Mike Macdonald recreated the Legion of Boom

Wild Card Weekend Previews

36:16 Steelers vs. Texans: A low-scoring slugfest & the Texans’ “ass-whooper” scheme

39:40 Jaguars vs. Bills: Can Jacksonville control the clock and upset Josh Allen?

42:58 Patriots vs. Chargers: The “Paper Tiger Bowl”

44:57 Panthers vs. Rams: Can Carolina run the ball enough to keep Stafford off the field?

47:58 Eagles vs. 49ers: Why Fangio and the Eagles are the worst matchup for Kittle & Purdy

51:08 Bears vs. Packers: Caleb Williams vs. a suspect Packers defense

54:59 Broncos Analysis: Heavy blitz dependency and offensive limitations

57:42 The Dream Super Bowl? A Seahawks vs. Broncos defensive battle

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© 2026 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

Cody and Felix break down the schematic issues plaguing the Cowboys and Commanders, and analyze how Brian Flores used specific pressure packages to confuse Jared Goff. The duo also discusses the Saints' resurgence, the Jaguars' playoff potential, and Caleb Williams' undeniable talent.

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In this episode:

- The continued dysfunction of the Las Vegas Raiders and the confusion surrounding their offensive staff structure.

- Dan Quinn’s defensive regression in Washington and the potential coordinator carousel looming for the Cowboys.

- Brian Flores’ tactical masterclass against the Lions and how he utilized specific pressure packages to rattle Jared Goff.

- Takeaways from the Chiefs-Broncos Christmas matchup, including the heated exchange between Bo Nix and Sean Payton.

- The contrast between Caleb Williams’ "undeniable" raw talent and the 49ers’ highly structured efficiency under Kyle Shanahan.

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Timestamps:

0:00 - Intro & The Raiders "Dumpster Fire"

5:02 - Cowboys vs. Commanders & Dan Quinn’s Future

10:08 - The Cowboys' DC Search: Why Flores/Leonard Might Not Happen

15:42 - Broncos vs. Chiefs: Bo Nix Yelling at Sean Payton

19:15 - Chargers vs. Texans & CJ Stroud’s Struggles

24:59 - Packers vs. Ravens: Derrick Henry’s Dominance

28:26 - Bengals vs. Cardinals: Arizona’s Defensive Injuries

32:30 - Steelers vs. Browns & Aaron Rodgers’ Sack Aversion

35:12 - Dolphins Recap & Todd Bowles on the Hot Seat?

37:55 - Saints vs. Titans: Why New Orleans is a 2026 Sleeper

41:25 - The Jaguars' Ascent & Liam Coen’s Impact

43:31 - Patriots vs. Jets & Drake Maye’s Potential

48:42 - Vikings vs. Lions: Brian Flores’ Masterclass vs. Goff

52:30 - Bears vs. 49ers: Caleb Williams vs. The Shanahan Machine

55:29 - Eagles vs. Bills Recap

56:22 - Seahawks vs. Panthers & Bryce Young

58:48 - Rams vs. Falcons & Kirk Cousins’ Future

1:00:06 - Outro

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.

Subtitle

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In this episode:

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Timestamps:

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© 2025 MatchQuarters | Cody Alexander | All rights reserved.