Lock Betting

NFL Week 4 has a much more meaningful feel to it, with the early-season picture beginning to take shape. Rams v Eagles is arguably the standout game of the Sunday slate, with both teams looking to respond after Week 3 defeats, while Chiefs v Raiders gives us a major AFC West clash between two teams that entered the week unbeaten. Jaguars v Bengals is another excellent AFC matchup, and Buffalo will look to continue their perfect start at home to New England. The NFL also returns to London with Colts v Commanders, while Chargers v Seahawks and Broncos v 49ers strengthen a very good late window. Detroit travel to Carolina on Sunday Night Football before Falcons v Saints rounds out the week on Monday night. By the end of Week 4, we should have a far better idea which hot starts are legitimate and which struggling teams are already in serious trouble.

Billi breaks down the latest blockbuster developments surrounding Manchester City, after their SHAM commercials were publicly exposed by the Premier League.

The independent commission found Man City guilty of:

• Man City arranged 'sham' contracts with a number of its commercial partners to artificially inflate the club's revenues and reduce its costs by more than £900m.
• The club filed accounts that concealed the true state of its finances from auditors and football regulators.
• Man City was significantly in breach of both the Premier League's and UEFA's spending limits.
• During the Premier League's investigation, Man City failed to co-operate and act in good faith towards the league.

This episode also looks at a handful of selected UEFA Nations League matches, including France versus Italy, which will be Zidane's first home game in-charge of France, and England's trip to Croatia. Both Croatia and England have begun their campaigns with a win over Czech Republic and a defeat to world champions Spain, and now they meet in Rijeka hoping to get the upper hand in Group 3. A Lamine Yamal masterclass dealt Croatia a heavy defeat away to Spain and their 4-2 defeat to England in the World Cup will still be fresh in their memory.

NFL Week 3 is headlined by a strong slate of heavyweight matchups, with Bills v Chargers, Ravens v Cowboys and Rams v Broncos all standing out. Buffalo will look to stay unbeaten against a Chargers side already under pressure, while Dallas face a major test against Lamar Jackson and Baltimore after an impressive Week 2 showing from Dak Prescott. Kansas City also travel to Miami looking to maintain their perfect start, with the Dolphins already badly needing a response. Elsewhere, Bengals v Steelers brings another physical AFC North matchup, while the week closes with Eagles v Bears on Monday Night Football. With unbeaten teams looking to establish themselves and several 0-2 sides already facing early-season pressure, Week 3 should give us a much clearer picture of who is genuine and who has simply benefited from a small sample.

NFL Week 2 is underway, featuring high-stakes divisional rivalries and teams looking to bounce back from tough season-opening results. Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals travel to meet C.J. Stroud and the Houston Texans. The Bengals look to capitalise on momentum after a Week 1 win over Tampa Bay, while Houston's defense aims to put the clamps on Cincinnati's explosive passing attacks. Elsewhere, in Denver, rookie Bo Nix faces Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars. Denver looks to clean up a sloppy, missed-tackle Week 1 performance against the Chiefs, while the Jaguars try to extend their dominance after shellacking Cleveland. Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Pittsburgh Steelers head to Foxborough to play Drake Maye and the New England Patriots, with both offenses desperate to establish consistency.

It would be a major shock if Bayern Munich didn’t beat struggling Union Berlin comfortably in Friday night’s Bundesliga clash at Allianz Arena. Vincent Kompany’s side have been a bit off their best in the opening weeks of the campaign, which is perhaps understandable after a World Cup summer.

Elsewhere, Stuttgart welcome Borussia Dortmund to the MHPArena for what should be one of the weekend’s most entertaining Bundesliga fixtures. Dortmund have made a perfect start, winning all three league matches and scoring three times in each of their last three games across all competitions. The developing partnership between Serhou Guirassy and Fabio Silva gives BVB enormous attacking quality, but they have looked vulnerable defensively when opponents have matched their intensity—conceding twice against both Hoffenheim and Villarreal.

Stuttgart have lost two of their opening three league matches, although a schedule featuring Bayern and Hoffenheim away has contributed to that slow start. They have still scored in every competitive game this season, average around 1.7 xG per Bundesliga match and recently produced four goals against Köln at the MHPArena. With Stuttgart likely to attack aggressively in front of their own supporters and Dortmund carrying several threats in transition, this has the ingredients for an open, high-scoring contest.

The NFL is back, and Week 1 gives us our first real look at every team after an offseason full of predictions, hype and unanswered questions. In this episode, I run through a selection of the biggest and most interesting games on the opening slate, breaking down the key matchups, new-look offences, coaching changes and potential Week 1 surprises. Which contenders will immediately live up to expectations, which favourites could be vulnerable, and where might the betting value be hiding? We’ll separate the genuine signals from the preseason noise and make our picks for a fascinating opening weekend of NFL action.

The NFC had its fun — now it’s time for the conference where apparently every division contains somebody who thinks they’re winning the Super Bowl. We’re going through all 16 AFC teams, separating the genuine contenders from the annual September bullshit, and figuring out where the sportsbooks might have left us some money. Buffalo are still chasing the big one, Kansas City remain Kansas City, Baltimore have another loaded roster, and the AFC South is once again asking us to believe that this is finally the year somebody becomes trustworthy.
We’ve got win totals, playoff odds, division markets and season-long bets, with absolutely no obligation to be polite about any of them. Are the Chiefs still kings of the West? Can Josh Allen finally drag Buffalo all the way? Are Houston ready to take another step? Which AFC North team survives the inevitable 17-game bar fight? And, most importantly, which teams are we betting on — and which ones wouldn’t get a penny of our money if they were playing against eleven traffic cones? 16 teams. Four divisions. Plenty of bets and probably several terrible takes. Welcome to the 2026 AFC Betting Preview.

One of the biggest boxing fights of the year is almost here! Ryan Garcia is set to defend the WBC Welterweight Championship on Saturday against Conor Benn. This event takes place at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the Main Card beginning at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Garcia enters this fight with a 25-2 record, with 20 wins by knockout. In February, Garcia won the WBC Welterweight title against Mario Barrios. That was Garcia’s first victory since December 2023. Garcia is taking on surging British superstar Conor Benn. Benn also has 25 career victories with only one loss and is coming off a win against Regis Prograis in April. Trash talk aside, Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn are two premier boxers and should deliver a fantastic fight on Saturday. Billi breaks down all of the betting lines before closing out with his Lock for the fight.

The Bundesliga’s smallest ever team, Elversberg, will put their 100 per cent record on the line when they welcome 35-time German champions Bayern Munich to the Ursapharm-Arena on Sunday.Elversberg have not only achieved a fairy-tale promotion to the Bundesliga, they are thriving in it, starting out with back-to-back wins over Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Monchengladbach, scoring seven goals in the process.That leaves them two points above Bayern in the standings, with Vincent Kompany’s side having been held to a surprise goalless draw by another of the newly-promoted sides, Schalke, last weekend having opened with a commanding 5-1 win over Stuttgart.

The AFC can keep its collection of superstar quarterbacks — today we’re crossing over to the NFC, where half the conference thinks it can reach the Super Bowl and the other half could be firing people by Christmas. We’re going division-by-division through all 16 teams, separating the genuine contenders from the frauds, the sleepers from the corpses, and trying to work out which sportsbooks have accidentally left us a price worth betting. Philadelphia are defending their throne, the NFC North has been turned upside down after Detroit somehow went from contenders to finishing bottom, and somewhere in the NFC South somebody is legally required to win the division.
We’ve got win totals, playoff markets, division bets and season-long plays — plus several teams we wouldn’t trust to look after a goldfish, never mind our money.

Can anyone catch the Eagles? Are the Lions about to go from last back to first? Is Caleb Williams finally ready to make Chicago dangerous? And can the NFC West survive an entire season without half the division ending up on an injury report? Four divisions, 16 teams and absolutely no intention of treating all of them with respect. Welcome to our 2026 NFC Betting Preview.