On Friday night 1-2-26, the Trump administration executed "Operation Absolute Resolve," a large-scale military strike in Venezuela that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, Cilia Flores. The operation, involving approximately 150 aircraft launched from 20 bases, was tactically successful with minimal reported U.S. casualties. Maduro is now being held at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn, facing federal prosecution in the Southern District of New York.
Despite its tactical execution, the operation raises profound legal, strategic, and geopolitical concerns. The administration justifies the invasion as an act of "self-defense" against drug trafficking, an interpretation of international law that is tenuous at best. The capture of a sitting head of state is defended by arguing Maduro's rule is illegitimate, a position that defers to the executive branch and could set a dangerous precedent for future interventions. Domestically, the administration failed to provide prior notification to the full "Gang of Eight" in Congress, as required by law.
Strategically, the operation appears shortsighted and incompetent. By removing Maduro but leaving his key allies—Diosdado Cabello and General Vladimir Padrino Lopez—in place, the U.S. has created a power vacuum that could lead to a successor just as problematic as Maduro or plunge the nation into civil war. The administration's engagement with the apparent successor, Executive Vice President Delcy Rodríguez, is contradictory, as she has publicly denounced the operation while the White House claims to be working with her.
The official justification centered on combating drug trafficking is undermined by thin evidence in the federal indictment and the president's own history of pardoning a convicted Latin American drug trafficker. President Trump has also openly cited seizing control of Venezuela's oil reserves as a key objective. Deeper analysis suggests a combination of other motivations, including presidential ego, potential financial grift involving associates, revenge against a long-standing adversary, and an attempt to distract from domestic issues.
This action signals a potential revival of an aggressive U.S. foreign policy in Latin America, which the president is terming the "Don-roe Doctrine." This raises the prospect of further interventions and protracted, costly nation-building efforts, which the American public historically opposes. The operation has already generated divided reactions domestically and internationally, indicating it is unlikely to produce a "rally 'round the flag" effect and carries significant political risks for the administration.