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In this episode of The Peter Zalewski Show™, the host examines how developers and sellside agents who bet on a World Cup buyer wave instead watched pending sales and asking prices fall.
The weekly podcast The Peter Zalewski Show™ features interviews with South Florida business leaders focused on real estate, finance and the economy.
The program - hosted by Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ - is broadcast live every Wednesday at 4 pm (Miami time) at MiamiCondo.Club and on Peter Zalewski’s social media accounts to watch the free live broadcasts.
The objective of the show is to deliver straight talk, share institutional knowledge and provide data-driven analysis on the macro and micro economic forces shaping the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
Episode Overview
In the July 22, 2026, episode of The Peter Zalewski Show™ podcast, host Peter Zalewski puts a number on the promises made ahead of the FIFA World Cup that started on June 11, 2026.
Coming into Miami’s World Cup involvement with seven matches and nearly 450,000 attendees passing through South Florida during the six-week tournament, developers and sellside agents pushed a narrative that the matches would generate a flurry of new condo buyers rushing into the tricounty region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach to sign a deal.
The tournament wrapped up in Miami on July 18, 2026, with the third-place match between England and France. The World Cup ended the following day on July 19, 2026, when Spain beat Argentina in New Jersey.
Zalewski's verdict on Miami's World Cup tournament for new condo sales was a zero.
Based on state and listing data compiled in the South Florida Condo Cliff Index™, Zalewski tracks the resale market in the tricounty region on a Week-over-Week basis from June 9, 2026, through July 21, 2026, the six-week span bracketing Miami’s World Cup matches.
Active listings did not climb on a flood of new buyers but actually fell 3.3%, a net loss of 808 units. Pending sales did not climb either, falling 4.7% for a net loss of 104 contracts.
Vintage units that are at least 30 years old—and make up 68% of the tricounty condo stock—told the same story, down nearly 3.2% in listings and about 4.3% in pending sales.
As for the pricing, buyers who did step forward drove pending sales prices down by nearly 1.7% Overall and about 3.8% on Vintage units, even as sellers moved the goalposts in opposite directions, nudging the Overall asking price up nearly 0.8% while the Vintage asking price slipped more than 1.8%.
Zalewski reads the split as Overall sellers still betting on a rescue the pending sales numbers already seemed to veto.
It is not to say buyers who came to South Florida for the World Cup could not come back but the immediate results show the tournament was probably more of a distraction than a buying opportunity, Zalewski said.
The episode arrives as sellers already squeezed by rising maintenance fees, hefty special assessments and pricey insurance premiums under the Florida Condo Association Financial Cliff now face a new deadline.
Fannie Mae is set to eliminate its Limited Review for condo mortgage applications in August 2026, a change Zalewski argues will make financing slower, harder and more expensive just as the 2026 Summer Buying Season of May through October enters its final stretch.
Zalewski makes the case that six weeks of global attention bought South Florida condo sellers nothing, and that anyone still waiting on a World Cup rescue is running out of runway before the 2026-27 Winter Buying Season of November through April resets the calculus.
The episode also serves as the latest breadcrumb in the build-out of the Condo Ratings Agency™, which is set to launch in November 2026 to coincide with the start of the 2026-27 Winter Buying Season.
The Agency is tracking nearly 13,000 condo associations and about 760,000 units across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
In this episode of Miami Condo Mondays™, the hosts discuss why the median monthly rental rate in the tricounty region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach has fallen 20% since 2022.
Miami Condo Mondays™ features Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ and veteran broker Jenny Huertas of CVRRealty.com in a weekly deep dive into South Florida condo real estate.
Recorded in Greater Downtown Miami, the podcast delivers an hour of high-level analysis on preconstruction condos, market trends and investment strategies for the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The show leverages more than 60 years of combined institutional knowledge as Zalewski provides the macro perspective and Huertas offers on-the-ground micro insights from her daily experience in the trenches.
The show streams live every Monday at 4 pm on the social media accounts of both hosts to provide an authoritative look at the latest shifts in the condo market.
Episode Overview
In this episode of the Miami Condo Mondays™ podcast on July 20, 2026, co-hosts Jenny Huertas of CVR Realty and Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ document the erosion of landlord pricing power across South Florida in the last five years.
The hosts contend that rents have entered a correction that mirrors the broader softening already underway in condo resale pricing in the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The numbers pulled by CVRRealty.com reinforce the claim.
The median monthly rental rate across Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties settled at $2,200 during the first half of 2026 from January through June, down from $2,750 during the same six-month period in 2022 but up $400 from the $1,800 median rent recorded in 2021, when Florida lifted its mask mandate and remote work fueled a wave of newcomers into the region.
On a price per square foot basis, the tricounty median monthly rental rate fell to $2.26 during the first half of 2026 from $2.82 in 2022.
During the 58-minute episode, the hosts trace the decline to a surge of corporate-owned rental towers undercutting individual condo owners with concessions unavailable to private landlords, including two months of free rent and security deposits as low as $500 in place of the traditional three months due at signing.
Despite South Florida’s current 3.8 months of rental supply qualifying as a Landlords Market, the bid-ask spread between asking and achieved rents tells a different story.
Miami-Dade County rental listings are striving for $2,930 monthly on a median basis yet achieve $2,500, a spread of 17.2%.
Broward County landlords are asking $2,300 and achieving $2,000, a spread of 15%.
Landlords in Palm Beach County are asking $2,650 but realizing only $2,200, a spread of nearly 21% for the widest of all in the three counties.
Zalewski notes the spread should run closer to 20% in a market where landlords hold genuine leverage, meaning Broward and Miami-Dade owners are conceding ground faster than the headline supply figures suggest.
Huertas shared a story about a recent negotiation from her own desk, where a prospective tenant countered a $3,300 listing with an offer of $2,600, illustrating how far renters are now willing to push.
The hosts tie the rent decline directly to valuations through the “1% Rule” of real estate investing, the screening tool used by private lenders to size a property against its monthly income.
They close the episode divided on the market’s outlook, with Zalewski bearish on landlords and Huertas bullish on tenants heading into the back half of 2026.
Click play above to watch the analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of Miami Condo Mondays™, the hosts examine why Broward County condos are listed for resale at a 52% discount off of the South Florida Overall average asking price of $947,900 per unit.
Miami Condo Mondays™ features Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ and veteran broker Jenny Huertas of CVRRealty.com in a weekly deep dive into South Florida condo real estate.
Recorded in Greater Downtown Miami, the podcast delivers an hour of high-level analysis on preconstruction condos, market trends and investment strategies for the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The show leverages more than 60 years of combined institutional knowledge as Zalewski provides the macro perspective and Huertas offers on-the-ground micro insights from her daily experience in the trenches.
The show streams live every Monday at 4 pm on the social media accounts of both hosts to provide an authoritative look at the latest shifts in the condo market.
Episode Overview
In this episode of the Miami Condo Mondays™ podcast on July 13, 2026, co-hosts Jenny Huertas of CVR Realty and Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ put Broward County in the spotlight, arguing the market is the best opportunity in the tricounty South Florida region for condo investors chasing a discount.
The numbers pulled by CVRRealty.com reinforce the claim.
Broward County carries an Overall average asking price of less than $453,000 per unit compared to the South Florida Overall average of nearly $947,900.
During the 61-minute episode, the hosts trace the gap to the county largely being built out during the 1970s and 1980s, decades before Miami-Dade County absorbed the bulk of new condo construction in the 21st Century.
Veteran broker Huertas walks viewers through what the stock of Broward County condos look like on the ground: shorter buildings, fewer units, self-parking, cement balconies and asking prices of $325 per square foot compared to transaction prices of $261 per square foot for the Overall market in the first half of 2026 between January and June.
The discount runs deeper in the Vintage condos that are at least 30 years old and now subject to Milestone Inspections mandated after the Champlain Towers South collapse on June 24, 2021.
Vintage condo listings in Broward County have an average asking price of more than $261,425—or $246 per square foot—compared to transaction prices of about $240,000—or $216 per square foot—for a bid-ask spread of less than 9%.
For comparison, Broward County’s Overall condo pricing has a bid-ask spread of more than 30%.
Zalewski attributes the pricing disparity to sellers pricing their units at arbitrary numbers to meet their unwarranted expectations rather than current market value.
In an on-the-spot analysis conducted during the episode, Huertas runs the numbers on her own team’s listings, where several units meet the “1% Rule” screening tool that measures whether monthly rent generates adequate revenue to justify a unit’s value.
The hosts close the episode by outlining the headwinds facing Broward County sellers, pointing to 11.1 months of condo resale supply—which qualifies as a Buyers Market—in Broward County, a 30-year fixed mortgage rate of 6.75% and the looming elimination of the limited review by Fannie Mae in August 2026.
Click play above to watch the analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of Miami Condo Mondays™, the hosts examine a South Florida condo market where listings have fallen to less than 23,625 units, yet the region still has nearly 11 months of supply.
Miami Condo Mondays™ features Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ and veteran broker Jenny Huertas of CVRRealty.com in a weekly deep dive into South Florida condo real estate.
Recorded in Greater Downtown Miami, the podcast delivers an hour of high-level analysis on preconstruction condos, market trends and investment strategies for the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The show leverages more than 60 years of combined institutional knowledge as Zalewski provides the macro perspective and Huertas offers on-the-ground micro insights from her daily experience in the trenches.
The show streams live every Monday at 4 pm on the social media accounts of both hosts to provide an authoritative look at the latest shifts in the condo market.
Episode Overview
In this episode of the Miami Condo Mondays™ podcast on July 6, 2026, co-hosts Jenny Huertas of CVR Realty and Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ test whether Miami’s run as a FIFA World Cup host city has translated into condo sales activity during the 2026 Summer Buying Season of May through October.
Developers spent the early weeks of the tournament stocking sales centers with match-day raffles and hospitality events, betting that fans flooding into town for group-stage and knockout matches would extend their visits into condo shopping trips.
Huertas—a veteran broker with 20 years of experience—reports a different reality from the trenches.
Locals already active in the market, not visiting fans, are the ones placing offers, and the overall pace looks like an ordinary Summer Buying Season rather than a tournament-driven surge.
During the 73-minute episode, Zalewski walks through the South Florida numbers behind that read.
Active listings in the tricounty region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach have fallen to less than 23,625 units from a level closer to 26,000 just months earlier, yet the region still carries nearly 11 months of supply, a level the hosts classify as an elevated Buyers Market.
The hosts also revisit the chaotic evacuation of the FIFA World Cup Fan Fest at Bayside Marketplace in Greater Downtown Miami during a lightning warning, a scene Huertas witnessed firsthand amid the Mexico vs. England match, as an example of how the World Cup consumed attention that developers had hoped would flow toward condo showrooms.
The episode also previews the Summer Buying Season backdrop taking shape headed into August, when the elimination of the Fannie Mae limited review for condo mortgage applications is expected to compound an already soft market.
Click play above to watch the analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
This is copy of a live podcast recorded Fridays at 4 pm featuring Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™.
This is copy of a live podcast recorded Fridays at 4 pm in Miami featuring real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™.
Welcome to Buy, Sell, Hold Miami™ weekly podcast for a no-nonsense perspective on South Florida real estate from a pair of locals with differing opinions.
Each week, real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and longtime analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ break down the housing market headlines, unpack policy changes and provide unfiltered analysis on everything from condo terminations to Vintage unit fire sales, luxury speculative homes to developer strategies.
Whether you are a homeowner, investor or real estate professional, Hernandez and Zalewski will give a local perspective on what is really happening across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach with no fluff, no hype and plenty of data-backed opinions.
We call balls and strikes on when to buy, sell and hold.
Episode Topics
For the July 10, 2026, podcast, Hernandez and Zalewski give their take on the following five topics:
Worst Time For The GoodTime
Miami Will Become A Chopper Town
Marinamania
Public Transit ≠ Priority
Live Local 4.0 Helps Local Developers
This podcast is broadcast live at 4 pm (EST) on the social media accounts of Daniel Hernandez and Peter Zalewski.
Episode Overview
In this July 10, 2026, episode of the Buy, Sell, Hold Miami™ podcast, real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and longtime analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ cut through the local rhetoric, delivering straight talk on five of the biggest topics of critical importance to South Florida investors.
The hosts debate each topic and declare whether it is a Buy, a Sell or a Hold. They do not always agree. The friction is the point.
During the 70-minute episode, Hernandez and Zalewski examine topics that range from a foreclosed Miami Beach hotel unloaded at auction for $100 to a Terminal Island helipad proposal by Citadel’s founder Ken Griffin, and a proposed mega yacht marina on the former Seaquarium site on Virginia Key to a $7.6 billion shortfall exposing Miami-Dade County's stalled transit rail promises.
The conversation also touches on newly sharpened punitive damages provisions under the Live Local Act and the statewide property tax referendum standoff. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis originally proposed eliminating taxes for homesteaded properties, but he is now distancing himself from the measure, explaining that Tallahassee lawmakers rewrote the proposed referendum for the November 2026 ballot.
Click play above to watch Zalewski’s analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of Miami Condo Mondays™, the hosts debate the massive pricing spread opening up along the chronological line between Before Surfside and After Surfside era units.
Miami Condo Mondays™ features Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ and veteran broker Jenny Huertas of CVRRealty.com in a weekly deep dive into South Florida condo real estate.
Recorded in Greater Downtown Miami, the podcast delivers an hour of high-level analysis on preconstruction condos, market trends and investment strategies for the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The show leverages more than 60 years of combined institutional knowledge as Zalewski provides the macro perspective and Huertas offers on-the-ground micro insights from her daily experience in the trenches.
The show streams live every Monday at 4 pm on the social media accounts of both hosts to provide an authoritative look at the latest shifts in the condo market.
Episode Overview
In this episode of the Miami Condo Mondays™ podcast on June 29, 2026, co-hosts Jenny Huertas of CVR Realty and Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ analyze the dawn of the SIRS (Structural Integrity Reserve Study) Generation of new developments.
This new era of construction is mandated by post-Surfside state laws requiring strict inspections, fully funded capital reserves and association transparency.
Following the five-year anniversary of the Champlain Towers South collapse in Surfside—where nearly 100 people died and a $1 billion settlement was paid out to the families of the victims—the market has officially bifurcated into two distinct periods: Before Surfside (1963 to June 24, 2026) and After Surfside (June 25, 2026 and beyond).
As developers roll out the first projects conceived for this new era—highlighted with the June 26, 2026, announcement of a 70-story Breitling tower in Miami’s Brickell Avenue Area submarket just two days after the five-year anniversary of the Surfside tragedy on June 24, 2021—a massive valuation chasm is opening.
Units in Vintage condo towers that are at least 30 years old have asking prices that are discounted by 40% off the broader Overall market average price.
During the 61-minute episode, Huertas and Zalewski evaluate whether preconstruction units will thereby command a 40% premium over that same Overall market, potentially creating a staggering 80-percentage-point price spread from the bottom of the ledger to the top.
With safety mandates now serving as the baseline legal standard for all new projects across the board, the hosts analyze whether these new towers can actually command their premium pricing.
The discussion targets the competitive, voluntary development upgrades buyers will expect when paying top dollar, including redundant elevator access, 24/7 on-site chief building engineers, proactive water-leak detection systems and an increased number of dedicated electric vehicle (EV) charging stations.
The episode also serves as the latest breadcrumb in the build-out of the Condo Ratings Agency™, a proprietary analytical platform set to launch in November 2026 to track and evaluate the financial feasibility and structural stability of nearly 13,000 condo associations across the tricounty region.
Click play above to watch the analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of The Peter Zalewski Show™, the host marks the anniversary of the Champlain Towers South collapse on June 24, 2021, by examining what buyers and sellers face in the years ahead.
The weekly podcast The Peter Zalewski Show™ features interviews with South Florida business leaders focused on real estate, finance and the economy.
The program - hosted by Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ - is broadcast live every Wednesday at 4 pm (Miami time) at MiamiCondo.Club and on Peter Zalewski’s social media accounts to watch the free live broadcasts.
The objective of the show is to deliver straight talk, share institutional knowledge and provide data-driven analysis on the macro and micro economic forces shaping the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
Episode Overview
On the five-year anniversary of the Champlain Towers South condo collapse, host Peter Zalewski pivots from the normal Wednesday livestream of The Peter Zalewski Show™ to air an in-depth conversation recorded June 18, 2026, with Oscar Musibay of Lee & Associates on the latest episode of the Miamees On Fire™ program.
The 64-minute discussion—recorded at the South Miami headquarters of Miami’s Community News—examines the South Florida condo market before and after the 40-year-old Champlain Towers South at 8777 Collins Ave. collapsed at 1:22 am on June 24, 2021.
Nearly 100 people died in the tragedy, and the families of the victims ultimately received a $1 billion settlement.
In the aftermath of Surfside, the Florida Legislature adopted measures now forcing cash-strapped unit owners to contend with rising maintenance fees, hefty special assessments and pricey insurance premiums.
This dynamic is called the Florida Condo Association Financial Cliff.
The episode also serves as the latest breadcrumb in the build-out of the Condo Ratings Agency™, set to launch in November 2026 to coincide with the start of the 2026-27 Winter Buying Season.
The Agency is tracking nearly 13,000 condo associations and about 760,000 units across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward, and Palm Beach counties, using state records to evaluate the financial feasibility, stability and viability of individual associations.
The Peter Zalewski Show™—which livestreams at 4 p.m. on Wednesdays—returns to its normal format next week.
Click play above to watch Zalewski’s analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of Miami Condo Mondays™, the hosts discuss why buyers are increasingly choosing older condos just five years after the Champlain Towers South collapsed in Surfside on June 24, 2021.
Miami Condo Mondays™ features Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ and veteran broker Jenny Huertas of CVRRealty.com in a weekly deep dive into South Florida condo real estate.
Recorded in Greater Downtown Miami, the podcast delivers an hour of high-level analysis on preconstruction condos, market trends and investment strategies for the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The show leverages more than 60 years of combined institutional knowledge as Zalewski provides the macro perspective and Huertas offers on-the-ground micro insights from her daily experience in the trenches.
The show streams live every Monday at 4 pm on the social media accounts of both hosts to provide an authoritative look at the latest shifts in the condo market.
Episode Overview
In this episode of the Miami Condo Mondays™ podcast on June 22, 2026, co-hosts Jenny Huertas of CVR Realty and Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ mark the five-year anniversary of the Champlain Towers South collapse in Surfside.
The hosts take stock of what has changed—and what has not—in the condo market along the Miami-Dade County barrier island.
During the 70-minute episode, Huertas and Zalewski revisit the early morning hours of June 24, 2021, when a 12-story, 136-unit building fell, killing nearly 100 people and triggering the most sweeping overhaul of the Florida Condo Law in history.
Five years later, the hosts assess the current state of the condo market where the tragedy occurred.
The stakes are considerable for cash-strapped unit owners who are struggling to afford condo living in South Florida.
An estimated 750,000 people—about 1.5 residents per unit—live in the more than 508,000 Vintage condos that are at least 30 years old in the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
Built in 1981, the Champlain Towers South was about 40 years old when it fell.
As part of the build-out of the Condo Ratings Agency™, Zalewski presents a breakdown of the more than 1,150 condo associations and nearly 69,400 units across the Miami-Dade barrier island—from South Beach north to Sunny Isles Beach—tracking how many projects qualify as Vintage.
The research shows Vintage condos currently have an average asking price of less than $639,000—or nearly 65% less than the $1.8 million Overall average asking price on the barrier island—as rising maintenance fees, hefty special assessments, and pricey insurance premiums squeeze owners on both sides of the age divide.
Click play above to watch Zalewski's analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
This is copy of a live podcast featuring Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate, Peter Zalewski of MiamiCondo.Club and guest Eliott Rodriguez, candidate for Florida's 27th Congressional District.
This is copy of a live podcast recorded Fridays at 4 pm in Miami featuring real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™.
For this week’s episode, former CBS News Miami TV anchor Eliott Rodriguez—who is now running for Congress in Florida’s 27th District—joined the discussion as a special guest to share his thoughts on the South Florida real estate market and much more.
Welcome to Buy, Sell, Hold Miami™ weekly podcast for a no-nonsense perspective on South Florida real estate from a pair of locals with differing opinions.
Each week, real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and longtime analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ break down the housing market headlines, unpack policy changes and provide unfiltered analysis on everything from condo terminations to Vintage unit fire sales, luxury speculative homes to developer strategies.
Whether you are a homeowner, investor or real estate professional, Hernandez and Zalewski will give a local perspective on what is really happening across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach with no fluff, no hype and plenty of data-backed opinions.
We call balls and strikes on when to buy, sell and hold.
Episode Topics
For the June 19, 2026, podcast, Hernandez, Zalewski and Rodriguez give their take on the following four topics:
As A Matter Of Fact, A Fact Is A Fact
Miami Will Become Affordable Again
Alligator Alcatraz. So What?
Condo Towers Are Safer Now
We Love Libraries
This podcast is broadcast live at 4 pm (EST) on the social media accounts of Daniel Hernandez and Peter Zalewski.
Episode Overview
In this June 19, 2026, episode of the Buy, Sell, Hold Miami™ podcast, real estate advisor Daniel Hernandez of Compass Real Estate and longtime analyst Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ are joined by special guest Eliott Rodriguez, the veteran CBS News Miami TV anchor who stepped away from a nearly 50-year journalism career to run as a Democrat for Florida's 27th Congressional District.
The hosts and Rodriguez debate five topics of critical importance to South Florida investors and declare each a Buy, a Sell or a Hold. They do not always agree. The friction is the point.
During the 57-minute episode recorded on the eve of the five-year anniversary of the June 24, 2021, Champlain Towers South collapse in Surfside, Rodriguez discusses why he left the anchor desk after a quarter century, addressing the sale of CBS parent company Paramount and his concerns about editorial independence under the new ownership.
The conversation turns to whether Miami real estate will be affordable again for the next generation, weighing the Florida Live Local Act against municipal pushback and a deficit-driven rise in mortgage interest rates.
Hernandez and Zalewski also press Rodriguez on Alligator Alcatraz and its effect on Miami’s crucial international buyer pool, before turning to whether condo towers are safer on the eve of the Surfside anniversary.
The hosts close the episode with Rodriguez on the proposed 2.5-acre land transfer on Biscayne Boulevard in Greater Downtown Miami to the Trump Presidential Library Foundation, a deal Zalewski estimates undervalues the Miami Dade College site by hundreds of millions of dollars.
It is a conversation that cuts through the hyperbole and gives people local perspectives, with a bit of an edge.
Click play above to watch Zalewski’s analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
In this episode of Condo Capitalism™, Peter Zalewski reflects on the state of the barrier island condo market as South Florida marks the Champlain Towers South collapse on June 24, 2021.
Condo Capitalism™ is a weekly podcast hosted by Peter Zalewski of the Miami Condo Investing Club™ that provides data-driven analysis on distressed real estate—foreclosures, shortsales and bank-owned REOs—in the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach.
The program tracks the Florida Condo Association Financial Cliff, where rising maintenance fees, special assessments and insurance costs are squeezing cash-strapped owners.
On the show, experts analyze how the national “two-sided risk”—rising inflation and falling employment—magnifies these local pressures, potentially forcing a capitulation by owners who can no longer afford condo living.
Join Peter Zalewski at MiamiCondo.Club for a livestream every weekday at 4 pm (Miami time). On-demand recordings of all shows are available here.
Episode Overview
In the June 18, 2026, episode of the Condo Capitalism™ podcast, host Peter Zalewski drills down into ZIP code 33154—covering Bal Harbour, Surfside and Bay Harbor Islands—to examine the Modern vs. Vintage condo split on the barrier island of Miami-Dade County.
The episode arrives on the eve of the five-year anniversary of the Surfside tragedy on June 24, 2021, when nearly 100 people died and a $1 billion settlement was paid to the families of the victims.
Vintage condos—defined as at least 30 years old—are at the center of the post-Surfside scrutiny.
Using state records compiled by the Condo Ratings Agency™, Zalewski determined that the nearly 7,400 condo units located in 138 associations in 33154 are split almost evenly between Modern units at 50.1% and Vintage units at 49.9%.
The Florida Legislature's post-Surfside reforms are now forcing cash-strapped unit owners to contend with rising maintenance fees, hefty special assessments and pricey insurance premiums, a dynamic known as the Florida Condo Association Financial Cliff.
The pressure is showing up in the Overall resale market where nearly 390 condos are listed in 33154 at an average asking price of $3.6 million with more than 15 months of supply. The Miami Condo Supply Tracker™ classifies this level of supply as a Deteriorating Buyers Market.
Nearly 160 Vintage condos are listed at an average asking price of $1.2 million per unit with about 10 months of supply for a Buyers Market.
Zalewski applies the 1% Rule of real estate investing to the ZIP code’s rental market to assess whether asking prices for both Overall and Vintage condos can be justified by underlying fundamentals, and makes the case that the window for data-driven buyers willing to do their homework is open.
The Condo Ratings Agency™ is designed to give those buyers the tools to act on that window when it launches in November 2026 to coincide with the start of the 2026-27 Winter Buying Season.
The Agency is tracking nearly 13,000 condo associations and about 760,000 units across the tricounty South Florida region of Miami-Dade, Broward and Palm Beach counties using state records to evaluate the financial feasibility, stability and viability of individual condo associations.
Click play above to watch Zalewski’s analysis, and use the timestamped timeline and the Top 10 Takeaways below to navigate the program on demand.
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