On 7 July the AFR published a list of 37 Economists who had answered a poll on when the RBA would next cut rates. 32 of them thought that the RBA would cut on 8 July. Only 5 of them did not believe the RBA would cut on 8 July. I was one of them. The RBA did not cut.

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that for the RBA to get inflation down to 2.5%, unemployment must rise above 4.5% in Australia.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that though the FED are easing quantitative tightening, US consumer demand is still too healthy to allow rate cuts.

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Our Model of US GDP says steady growth just below trend. Just where the Fed needs it to keep US Inflation falling.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox gives an update on the Fed Funds and the RBA Cash Rate. 

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Strong corporate profits drive corporate yields lower and stock prices higher.

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Inflation tells us why cash rates are where they are, and unemployment tells us where cash rates will be.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox uses the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator to model the US economy and explain why there is no incoming US Recession. 

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Following the Federal Reserve's latest two-day monetary policy meeting, Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says, "yes the FED rates will fall, but only so far."

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Following the RBA's recent decision to hold interest rates, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock said, "where we are now is where we need to be." Chief Economist Michael Knox gives his comments on this saying that the RBA are giving us stability for the near future.

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