Inflation tells us why cash rates are where they are, and unemployment tells us where cash rates will be.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox uses the Chicago Fed National Activity Indicator to model the US economy and explain why there is no incoming US Recession. 

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Following the Federal Reserve's latest two-day monetary policy meeting, Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says, "yes the FED rates will fall, but only so far."

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Following the RBA's recent decision to hold interest rates, RBA Governor Michelle Bullock said, "where we are now is where we need to be." Chief Economist Michael Knox gives his comments on this saying that the RBA are giving us stability for the near future.

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Following the latest meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox explains that the RBA minutes don’t say rate cuts are a shoo in at all.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox explains how the different dates of international financial years generate seasonal variation in the Australian and US stock markets.

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Michael explains how a boom in US corporate liquidity is driving US and Australian stock markets upwards.

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Michael Knox discusses the February 2024 RBA statement, commenting on monetary policy.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year will be shaded by a major program of quantitative tightening.

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Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox walks us through his model for the US Economy using the Chicago National Activity Indicator, which explains 78% of YoY growth in US GDP.

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