Johannesburg-listed coal and energy company Exxaro is expecting the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, the Bank of England and the South African Reserve Bank, among others, to start lowering official or policy interest rates during the remainder of this year.
"Such initial rate cuts would mark the end of the most aggressive rate hiking cycle in four decades," Exxaro CEO Dr Nombasa Tsengwa said during the company's presentation of first-half results on Thursday, covered by Mining Weekly. (Also watch attached Creamer Media video.)
With inflation rates retreating and interest rate cuts imminent, the global economy is expected to maintain its momentum throughout this year.
"However, it is worth noting that although South Africa CPI has been trending downwards, the mining CPI in this half was higher than in the second half of last year on the back of elevated electricity prices," Tsengwa pointed out.
Adding to the 12.7% higher electricity prices were elevated coke and refined petroleum costs owing to the increase in brent crude prices.
A highlight of Exxaro's half-year results were coal export sales of 3.2-million tonnes and a price realisation of 95% in line with its target.
The company, which is still within its 2024 market guidance, maintains its R12-billion to R15-billion cash book, which underpinned the board approving an interim dividend of R7.96 a share.
"We were able to successfully operationalise our decarbonisation and environmentally cleaner imperatives in the market by supporting our customers with higher quality, cleaner-burning coal products, in line with our decarbonation strategy," Tsengwa outlined.
Group revenue and earnings were lower owing to export prices, decreased domestic offtake and increased logistics costs.
"We're operating in a challenging environment, but despite tougher trading conditions, our cash generation of R4.8-billion resulted in a net cash position of R9.8-billion, setting a solid foundation to execute our growth strategy."
Tsengwa remarked that the recent South African election results and subsequent creation of the Government of National Unity has driven positive sentiment towards the country, but uncertainty still lingers in respect of policy execution.
RENEWABLE ENERGY
First-half green energy generation of 339 GWh was at an operational earnings before interest tax depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) margin of 79% on revenue of R652 million, underpinned by the annuity nature of the long-term offtake agreements.
The operating wind assets project financing of R4.2-billion for the windfarms will be settled by 2031. This has no recourse to the Exxaro balance sheet and is hedged through interest rate swaps.
"We say that the renewable energy business is a predictable business, albeit seasonal," Exxaro MD for Energy Leon Groenewald outlined for Mining Weekly.
"Winds in the second half are usually higher than in the first half. You'll see the numbers on generation is consistent with what we've seen in the first half. Also, the prediction for the second half is in line with what we've seen in the past with the 720 gigawatt hours," added Groenewald.
"The Ebitda margins are around 80%. We looked at the fixed costs and there's nothing that concerns us about our cost base. The debt you'll see coming down on synergies and that debt will be repaid by 2031, so there are no surprises."
FOUR TREES REPLACE EVERY REMOVED TREE
The 68 MW Cennergi Lephalale solar project is poised to power Exxaro's Grootegeluk coal mine with 176 GWh/y of green energy in the first quarter of 2025.
The R1.6-billion Lephalale solar photovoltaic power plant will provide Exxaro with a 27% reduction in Scope 2 emissions.
Exxaro's 2024 full-year guidance for wind energy generation is 700 GWh to 720 GWh of green electricity.
"We still plan our solar project that we are in construction with, for the first quarter of next year.
"We have lost some time. To clear 240 ha of bushveld is challenging. The number that we quoted last ...