Monday Match Analysis

The New Two will put the finishing touches on the 2025 season as Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner clash in the final of the Nitto ATP Finals on Sunday. Gill Gross preview and prediction...

0:00 Intro
2:45 Form
6:45 Shot Speed Factor
10:45 Sinner Finishing
15:45 Rally Length
20:45 Intangibles
26:08 Prediction

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On Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross runs through an exciting conclusion to the ATP Finals Group Stage. Then, he's joined by ThreadOfOrder Substack writer Hugh Clark to preview the semifinal matchups (Carlos Alcaraz vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jannik Sinner vs. Alex de Minaur). We'll discuss Alcaraz clinching year-end number one, Sinner's great serving and strategy, where Ben Shelton can improve his greatest strength, another nervous display from Alexander Zverev and how Alcaraz beat Lorenzo Musetti. With Hugh, we discuss Auger-Aliassime's backhand, technical keys to Alcaraz's great season, why Sinner is 12-0 lifetime against de Minaur and more.

0:00 Intro
1:00 Alcaraz Gets YE1
4:12 Sinner Perfect RR
6:45 Sinner Tactics
10:00 Shelton Serving
12:50 Zverev Forehand
14:35 Alcaraz vs. Musetti
20:00 Fritz Loss
21:20 Shelton Tactics
23:45 FAA def. Zverev
27:55 Seminal PREVIEWS

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Following a riveting Day 3 at the ATP Finals, Gill Gross breaks down Carlos Alcaraz's turnaround win against Taylor Fritz, Lorenzo Musetti fighting fatigue to overcome Alex de Minaur, Jannik Sinner handling a hobbled Felix Auger-Aliassime, Alexander Zverev continuing his lefty dominance against Ben Shelton, and Novak Djokovic's decision to skip the event.

0:00 Intro
0:30 Alcaraz def. Fritz
30:28 Musetti def. De Minaur
41:25 Sinner def. FAA
44:36 Zverev def. Shelton
48:28 Djokovic Skippage

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On Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross runs through the ATP Finals groups and makes predictions before welcoming Brad Gilbert onto the show. They discuss Felix Auger-Aliassime's surprise surge, Jack Draper's deflating injury, Novak Djokovic's upcoming decision to play or not to play, why Jannik Sinner has outperformed Carlos Alcaraz indoors and much more!

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0:00 Intro
2:00 ATP Finals Predictions
20:24 Brad Gilbert

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On the Mailbag, Gill Gross answers your comments, including: should the ATP Finals rotate locations and surfaces, can the Aryna Sabalenka vs. Nick Kyrgios Battle of the Sexes match be good for tennis, is it better to serve or receive first, the entertainment value of Jannik Sinner’s tennis, who deserves 8th spot more between Lorenzo Musetti and Felix Auger-Aliassime, the indoor struggles of Carlos Alcaraz and much more.

0:00 Intro
2:20 ATP Finals Locations
6:55 Battle of the Sexes
12:38 Coin Toss Choices
19:00 ATP Finals Format
20:06 Sinner Watchability
26:05 Who Deserves 8th Spot
30:35 Career Update
32:05 Sincaraz vs Big 3
35:00 Indoor Alcaraz
38:18 Zverev 2026 Outlook
40:13 Sincaraz Exhibition
41:36 Sinner 2nd Serve
45:03 Too Much Hardcourt
45:58 Andreeva Visa
47:30 Camera Angles
48:48 Sinner Indoor Streak
50:08 Netcord Apologies
51:51 Shot Quality Stats

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On Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross dissects Jannik Sinner’s victory over Felix Auger-Aliassime in the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters to lift that trophy for the first time in his career and extend the win streak on indoor hardcourt to 26. We’ll discuss Sinner’s improved percentage serving and dropshot, do a match summary, talk return quality, compare the backhands and put plus-one forehands under a microscope. Finally, we’ll address the importance of the number one ranking - how much does it matter than Sinner passed Carlos Alcaraz this week?

0:00 Intro
1:10 Title Run
3:00 Sinner Serving & Droppers
8:31 Match Summary
12:00 Sinner Return Quality
15:53 The Backhands
25:00 Serve Plus One
26:55 Felix Attitude
29:00 Number One Ranking

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Gill Gross breaks down all four quarterfinals at the 2025 Paris Masters in the following order. (0:42) Defending champion Alexander Zverev looked to snap a 5-match losing streak against Daniil Medvedev. (14:15) Jannik Sinner and Ben Shelton did battle. (23:35) Alex De Minaur looked to avenge his Roland Garros loss to Alexander Bublik, who aimed to reach his first career Masters 1000 SF. (38:40) And Felix Auger-Aliassime looked to continue his charge towards Turin against the streaking Shanghai champion Valentin Vacherot.

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On Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross analyzes Joao Fonseca’s biggest win yet, taking an ATP 500 crown in Basel and leaving Alejandro Davidovich Fokina disappointed in another final. We’ll also cover Jannik Sinner’s tight win over Alexander Zverev to repeat as champion in Vienna. Then we’ll preview the new-look Rolex Paris Masters in Bercy with dark horses, upset alerts, popcorn matchups and quarterfinal predictions.

0:00 Intro
0:30 Channel Announcement
2:20 Fonseca Development
9:55 Mental Game
12:50 Fonseca-ADF Analysis
22:00 Sinner def. Zverev Analysis
36:25 Sinner Variety
44:24 Vienna Takeaways
47:00 Paris-Bercy
49:10 Alcaraz Quarter
53:20 Fritz Quarter
59:49 Zverev Quarter
1:05:00 Sinner Quarter
1:07:28 Final Weekend

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Gill Gross comments on Holger Rune's torn Achilles injury before diving into comments made by Jack Draper and Taylor Fritz warning that player longevity and overall health is threatened by the demanding ATP schedule and slowing conditions...

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On Monday Match Analysis, Gill Gross breaks down Daniil Medvedev's long-awaited title triumph, beating Corentin Moutet in Almaty. Plus, Casper Ruud with a scintillating level in Stockholm to crush Ugo Humbert and win his first indoor title. Felix Auger-Aliassime used strong serving to take down Jiri Lehecka and continue his fine form with a title in Antwerp. And finally, Jannik Sinner beat Carlos Alcaraz to repeat as champion at the Six Kings Slam in Saudi Arabia.

0:00 Intro
1:10 ATP Race
2:07 Medvedev def Moutet Almaty
14:30 Ruud def Humbert Stockholm
26:36 FAA def Lehecka Antwerp
36:47 Sinner def Alcaraz 6 Kings

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