I spent about 30 years as a syndicated TV news reporter, and for about 15 of those years, I had an annual ritual.
Every December, I'd hit the streets with a videographer, stop random people and ask them the following three questions.
What percentage do you think stocks will go up or down next year?What do you think the cost of a barrel of oil will be this time next year?What do you think housing prices will do in the coming year?After I recorded answers from average folks on the sidewalk, I got answers to the same questions from Wall Street experts: the highly paid prognosticators employed by the biggest financial firms on the planet.
So, who do you think was right more often? People who barely knew the stock market, or people who earn 7 figures to make accurate financial predictions?
As it turns out, experts in stocks, oil and real estate tended to do slightly better than average people on the street. But the key word in that sentence was "slightly." There were many answers from many amateurs over the years that proved far more accurate than those of the pros.
This should come as no surprise. The world is a complicated place with infinite variables. Things happen all the time that nobody, even experts, can possibly see coming. (Recent example: Covid-19.)
But despite the fact that there's no way to reliably predict the future, that doesn't stop us from trying. Me, you and the experts on Wall Street: We can't plan if we can't at least try to guess what's ahead.
And that's what this week's "Money!" podcast is about. We're going to make some educated guesses about what's ahead for you and your money. As usual, my co-host will be financial journalist Miranda Marquit. Listening in and sometimes contributing is producer and novice investor Aaron Freeman. And this week, we have a special guest: Joe Saul See-hi of the legendary podcast Stacking Benjamins.
Want more information? Check out these resources:
Zillow's Hot Housing Takes for 2022Kiplinger: Where to Invest in 2022Fortune: Where the housing market is going in 2022 as told by 7 leading forecast modelsForbes: The Economic Outlook For 2022 Will Be Impacted By Supply Chain And Labor IssuesForbes: No Recession In 2022—But Watch Out In 2023Goldman Sachs: Outlook 2022: The Long Road to Higher Ratesgov: The U.S. economy to 2022: settling into a new normalBloomberg: Goldman Expects U.S. Economic Growth to Slow Sharply Next YearBarron's: What's Ahead for Crypto? 3 Themes and Stocks to Watch.Yahoo: Cryptocurrency Predictions for 2022Institutional Investor: What's Next for Crypto? Here Are 10 PredictionsInvestopedia: What to Watch in 2022Yahoo: Stock market 2022: Wall Street strikes a cautious tonecom: Will Home Prices and Rents Finally Fall? Our Bold Predictions on Real Estate in 2022Yahoo: Wall Street's 2022 outlook for stocksGoldman Sachs: Outlook 2022: The Long Road to Higher RatesTo see Stacy's stocks, click hereSubscribe to the Money Talks News newsletterTake our course The Only Retirement Guide You'll Ever NeedTake our course Money Made SimpleMiranda Marquit's websiteBecome a member: https://www.moneytalksnews.com/members/
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