The Muni Lowdown

Munis under pressure: Supply, shocks, and credit dispersion


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Paul Greaves and Kunal Kamal speak with John Miller, Head and CIO of Municipal Credit at First Eagle Investments, on how heavy supply and repeated system shocks are driving credit dispersion in munis and reshaping risk. In the episode, Miller discusses how recent developments in project finance have reinforced a broader shift in municipal markets away from broad market moves and toward issuer‑specific credit outcomes. He explains how today’s opportunity set differs from a year ago and where dispersion between stronger and weaker credits has become most apparent.

The conversation also covers First Eagle’s expansion of its municipal platform, including the launch of a Core Plus strategy, and how portfolio construction and liquidity considerations are evolving as credit selection plays a more central role.
Finally, the group examines the impact of record issuance levels and evolving federal policy expectations on muni valuations and behavior, before looking ahead to where credit stress may emerge over the next 12–18 months and the indicators investors are watching most closely.

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The Muni LowdownBy ION Analytics

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