Jonny and Tom dig into the uncomfortable reality of Europe's dependence on US-controlled AI — sparked by Anthropic's Fable 5 being banned outside America days after launch. They explore what the dystopian narrative Europe 2031 predicts for the continent, debate London's surprising rise as an AI talent hub, wrestle with what it means to build a business in the age of AI, and Tom reveals his open-source design tooling project, Kazam.
0:00 — Introduction & the content pipeline
Jonny and Tom kick off the episode and share their very low-tech approach to collecting topics throughout the week — a Slack thread — which immediately surfaced the biggest AI story of the moment.
1:27 — Fable 5, banned in minutes: the sovereignty wake-up call
Anthropic's most powerful model yet was blocked for all non-US citizens within four days of launch. What does it mean when critical infrastructure can be switched off by a foreign government overnight?
4:42 — Europe 2031: a cautionary tale
Jonny breaks down the 18,000-word narrative podcast europe2031.ai — a near-future story of Europe's failure to build sovereign AI capability, its dependence on open models that eventually disappear, and the grim choice between American and Chinese technology.
9:53 — What does this actually mean for you?
Tom pushes for practical takeaways. If AI vanished tomorrow it'd probably be fine — but the longer dependency grows, the harder it becomes to function without it. From job market effects to information control, the risks are subtle but compounding.
13:21 — Practical steps: diversify your AI diet
Rather than avoiding AI, Jonny argues for being intentional about where you get it from. Use open-weight models, try Mistral, explore OpenRouter — don't build critical dependency on US big tech whose incentives may not align with yours.
15:36 — The acceleration problem and European incentives
Tom reflects on how the structural incentives driving US and Chinese AI development will naturally widen the gap with Europe — even without any bad intentions from the US side.
17:18 — London rising: DeepMind, Cursor, and the talent story
Cursor just announced a 200-person London office. Tom traces how Demis Hassabis's insistence on keeping a London team when Google acquired DeepMind seeded a generation of AI talent — now paying dividends for the whole city.
19:14 — Nuance: AI isn't just bad or just good
Jonny argues for holding the tension — concentration of power is genuinely worrying, but the potential benefits to humanity (drug discovery, scientific breakthroughs) are also real. The podcast's purpose is navigation, not evangelism.
22:51 — Building a business in the AI era
The guys get into the meta-question: what is the right business model for an AI consultancy? Training vs. capability delivery, day rates vs. outcome-based pricing, what to give away free vs. what to keep — and why neither of them really has the answer yet.
35:24 — Tom's open-source project: Kazam
Tom reveals what he's been building — a lightweight open-source design framework for creating portable, lo-fi design micro-tools as single HTML files. No npm, no server, no dependencies. Inspired by a workshop where 60 designers built 60 tools in 3 hours.
Links
europe2031.ai
Jacob Heftmann
grillitype.com
Our 1 page HTML tool example: https://dither-shape-p.ooda.run/
Find us at nearfuture.works